Devoted-Route — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9.02K

Unrealized P&L

+$607

Hit rate

68.2%

Resolved

605

Trades

7,918

lifetime

Volume

$67.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$1.46K

15 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 16:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 134 days

Categories

Politics

54% 44% +$1,429

Other

33% 53% +$5,105

Tech

13% 72% +$2,523

Sports

0% 0% -$28

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 211 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+679	$200	100¢	$676	+$476	10-20 07:25
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	-423	-$343	92¢	$-391	-$48	08-28 19:37
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	+486	$32	22¢	$109	+$77	10-16 17:52
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	+322	$100	20¢	$64	-$35	09-29 09:11
us imports russian diesel by october 31	Yes	+3,397	$190	2¢	$54	-$135	10-18 06:35
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	+343	$31	16¢	$53	+$22	10-05 20:54
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	+225	$38	18¢	$40	+$2	10-12 10:00
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,190	$25	3¢	$38	+$13	10-18 18:47
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+254	$15	4¢	$10	-$5	05-08 18:28
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	Yes	+208	$50	4¢	$8	-$42	09-19 23:14
israel accuses iranproxies of plane stabbing incident by oct 31	Yes	+312	$25	2¢	$5	-$20	10-01 08:16
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	No	+655	$106	1¢	$5	-$101	10-20 05:17
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	+2,235	$105	0¢	$3	-$102	10-21 21:02
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	+998	$46	0¢	$3	-$43	10-20 05:23
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	+170	-$548	1¢	$1	+$549	10-20 05:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	5	$1.6K	909	909	+0	No	+$202	09-19 20:13
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	16	$1.6K	1,184	1,184	+0	No	+$692	09-20 15:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	76	$1.5K	19,857	14,168	+5,690	No	+$209	04-10 11:29
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?	32	$1.3K	2,070	1,263	+806	No	+$145	07-23 20:07
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	53	$1.2K	5,612	500	+5,112	No	-$369	09-21 08:09
will artemis ii launch by march 31	77	$1.1K	2,121	1,535	+586	No	+$1,087	02-15 23:09
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	8	$1.0K	1,668	1,000	+668	No	+$1,443	07-17 00:03
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	19	$1.0K	1,178	1,178	+0	Yes	+$508	09-20 20:29
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	1	$966	0	1,208	-1,208	Yes	+$966	05-22 01:00
will artemis ii launch by february 28	56	$912	1,125	972	+153	No	+$647	02-28 19:53
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	38	$871	3,982	298	+3,684	Yes	-$624	09-02 21:05
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	22	$867	1,398	1,228	+170	open	—	10-20 05:13
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	31	$841	5,916	2,960	+2,956	No	+$298	03-02 01:31
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	30	$774	1,470	787	+683	No	+$494	04-15 11:12
will spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy explode 995 876 365 284 849 486 211 172 221 678 984 722	35	$756	963	572	+391	No	+$307	04-06 07:01
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	16	$708	891	333	+558	No	+$499	10-04 21:51
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	22	$677	2,300	0	+2,300	open	—	10-24 09:29
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	14	$667	590	586	+4	No	+$198	05-21 22:01
will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	11	$657	455	455	+0	Yes	+$243	07-24 23:56
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	143	$637	23,085	8,427	+14,658	No	+$77	02-08 02:14
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	16	$631	472	472	+0	Yes	+$208	04-20 22:52
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	49	$628	804	656	+149	Yes	+$49	02-28 16:18
yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	6	$628	448	445	+3	Yes	+$211	08-10 17:03
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	8	$599	1,902	0	+1,902	No	+$1,303	10-03 13:26
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 1520	124	$560	6,974	3,000	+3,974	No	+$466	03-22 19:50
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	17	$541	868	614	+254	Yes	+$124	05-22 22:27
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	15	$525	2,698	0	+2,698	open	—	10-20 11:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	28	$497	1,913	1,945	-32	Yes	+$12	04-09 08:29
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	19	$471	3,150	0	+3,150	Yes	-$471	02-28 19:42
will artemis ii launch by february 7	13	$462	367	367	+0	No	+$217	02-01 15:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:55:01	Will The Democrats win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x5bbfa5…
10-28 16:16:02	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x5a46a8…
10-28 16:14:31	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 5.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0xb33f77…
10-28 15:53:29	Will The Democrats win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xc1d09d…
10-28 15:47:32	Will The Democrats win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xe58929…
10-28 15:47:23	Will The Democrats win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xed19ec…
10-28 15:23:55	Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	55	16¢	$9	0xdfebb9…
10-28 15:23:53	Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xdd0c62…
10-28 15:23:53	Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x262b9a…
10-28 14:51:07	Will RZP-Zehut win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	280	0¢	$0	0xbae8a3…
10-28 12:43:56	Will Together win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	364	4¢	$14	0xd1c22f…
10-28 12:42:05	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 5.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xd862bb…
10-28 11:34:22	Will Otzma Yehudit win 5.5-6.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xce12b8…
10-28 11:22:28	Will The Democrats win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	45	21¢	$10	0x4b3ed1…
10-28 11:06:32	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x580085…
10-28 11:04:17	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	80	31¢	$25	0x57342b…
10-28 10:09:17	Will Joint List win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	233	84¢	$196	0x04f08c…
10-27 23:56:27	Will The Democrats win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	366	0¢	$1	0x9e55da…
10-27 23:46:50	Will The Democrats win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	79	0¢	$0	0xdb5669…
10-27 23:31:20	Will The Democrats win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,312	0¢	$1	0x6a9377…
10-27 23:24:15	Will RZP-Zehut win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	145	0¢	$0	0x7a0dbb…
10-27 23:10:54	Will The Democrats win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	745	0¢	$1	0x88118c…
10-27 21:39:45	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	77	41¢	$31	0x92104d…
10-27 21:33:12	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	63	41¢	$26	0x45ee0b…
10-27 21:05:03	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	36	71¢	$26	0x4f2e72…
10-27 20:56:44	Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0x744ba1…
10-27 20:43:50	Will Joint List win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,512	6¢	$94	0xf82833…
10-27 20:11:57	Will Likud win the Israeli legislative election by 3% or more?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x01e1da…
10-27 12:35:14	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	9	48¢	$5	0xa024c7…
10-26 22:18:17	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	307	32¢	$98	0xc46adf…
10-26 18:29:57	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xb1772b…
10-25 09:02:57	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?	No	BUY	44	15¢	$7	0xe569d9…
10-24 21:15:48	Will North Macedonia win Junior Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x8bd1b4…
10-24 09:29:03	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0xfb75bf…
10-23 20:26:21	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	26	13¢	$3	0x05a19d…
10-23 08:07:05	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	26	13¢	$3	0xaa5494…
10-22 17:37:41	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	356	15¢	$53	0xe83674…
10-22 16:50:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x555db3…
10-22 14:54:14	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?	No	BUY	95	25¢	$24	0x3d2c2f…
10-22 14:17:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0x2b5bdb…
10-22 12:41:17	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	70	27¢	$19	0x39313c…
10-22 12:41:14	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	300	27¢	$81	0x6c816a…
10-22 09:52:32	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xc1740a…
10-22 09:51:20	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	63	28¢	$18	0x26ed58…
10-22 09:43:05	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x7b2526…
10-22 09:39:23	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	608	28¢	$169	0xe9f82b…
10-22 09:21:29	Will Éric Zemmour win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0xe2058f…
10-22 09:19:18	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0xa35133…
10-22 09:19:18	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	102	35¢	$36	0x0a9a52…
10-22 09:05:36	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xd2c417…
10-22 09:05:14	Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x2f10d3…
10-22 08:58:57	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf3ca98…
10-22 07:37:11	France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?	Yes	BUY	831	7¢	$55	0xadd173…
10-22 07:27:14	Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xea958f…
10-22 07:27:14	Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0xc28a13…
10-22 02:50:23	France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?	Yes	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0x638e12…
10-21 22:40:12	France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?	Yes	BUY	454	11¢	$50	0x6dbe3c…
10-21 21:08:00	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	129	41¢	$53	0x313f13…
10-21 21:02:29	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	BUY	77	3¢	$2	0x357568…
10-21 21:02:08	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0xdf61bd…
10-21 21:02:08	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xb56680…
10-21 21:02:08	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	110	41¢	$45	0x94c6e6…
10-21 21:02:08	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x8da0f1…
10-21 21:02:08	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0x666c96…
10-21 21:02:08	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	66	41¢	$27	0x38037f…
10-21 21:02:08	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x037453…
10-21 20:04:45	France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?	Yes	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x3dd84b…
10-21 20:02:45	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x7b5765…
10-21 20:01:57	France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?	Yes	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0xd67a0b…
10-21 19:52:30	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	243	41¢	$100	0xb94637…
10-21 18:42:41	France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?	Yes	BUY	130	20¢	$26	0xc955e4…
10-21 18:39:29	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	BUY	66	5¢	$3	0x3d8190…
10-21 18:39:29	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x204d25…
10-21 18:39:29	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0x10ebb0…
10-21 18:39:29	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	BUY	80	4¢	$4	0x10419b…
10-21 18:26:36	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xe4ae70…
10-21 18:26:35	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	BUY	67	4¢	$3	0xbf1621…
10-21 18:26:35	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	BUY	115	4¢	$5	0x11632d…
10-21 17:57:35	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	BUY	59	5¢	$3	0x37813e…
10-21 17:56:57	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0xbd99d7…
10-21 17:56:48	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0x96e24c…
10-21 17:56:48	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x2e4555…
10-21 14:43:48	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	BUY	85	5¢	$4	0xc903d8…
10-21 14:43:48	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x849fd8…
10-21 14:43:48	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x77bb86…
10-21 14:21:32	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xf93f22…
10-21 11:55:54	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	BUY	381	5¢	$18	0xb4524c…
10-21 07:02:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xe1c099…
10-21 07:02:30	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd48570…
10-21 07:02:30	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x9f8677…
10-21 03:06:54	Will Malta win Junior Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xef1a3a…
10-21 02:52:48	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x0f0d56…
10-20 23:25:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?	Yes	BUY	166	7¢	$12	0x7a7118…
10-20 22:53:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–10%?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x016cf6…
10-20 15:43:26	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x7aa38d…
10-20 15:14:50	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	Yes	BUY	423	6¢	$25	0x41d858…
10-20 11:11:08	Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	No	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0xb24154…
10-20 07:25:41	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0xae7fa9…
10-20 07:12:23	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe6c1dc…
10-20 06:55:05	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	32	28¢	$9	0xa50d1e…