Devoted-Route — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$317

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.2%

Resolved

Trades

4,752

lifetime

Volume

$32.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-08 20:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

46% 80% +$263

Other

34% 60% +$54

Tech

19% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	76	$1.5K	19,857	14,168	+5,690	open	—	04-10 11:29
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	29	$1.2K	2,030	1,225	+805	open	—	07-23 20:07
will artemis ii launch by march 31	77	$1.1K	2,121	1,535	+586	open	—	02-15 23:09
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	8	$1.0K	1,668	1,000	+668	open	—	07-17 00:03
will artemis ii launch by february 28	56	$912	1,125	972	+153	open	—	02-28 19:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	31	$841	5,916	2,960	+2,956	open	—	03-02 01:31
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	30	$774	1,470	787	+683	open	—	04-15 11:12
will spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy explode 995 876 365 284 849 486 211 172 221 678 984 722	35	$756	963	572	+391	open	—	04-06 07:01
will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	11	$657	455	455	+0	open	—	07-24 23:56
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	143	$637	23,085	8,427	+14,658	open	—	02-08 02:14
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	16	$631	472	472	+0	Yes	+$208	04-20 22:52
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	49	$628	804	656	+149	open	—	02-28 16:18
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	11	$602	436	586	-150	open	—	05-21 20:33
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 1520	124	$560	6,974	3,000	+3,974	open	—	03-22 19:50
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	17	$541	868	614	+254	open	—	05-22 22:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	28	$497	1,913	1,945	-32	Yes	+$12	04-09 08:29
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	19	$471	3,150	0	+3,150	open	—	02-28 19:42
will artemis ii launch by february 7	13	$462	367	367	+0	open	—	02-01 15:19
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	18	$433	603	603	+0	open	—	04-15 21:15
will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	47	$427	1,499	420	+1,080	open	—	04-11 01:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	13	$424	533	533	+0	Yes	+$24	04-26 18:27
Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?	18	$380	754	414	+340	Yes	+$108	04-25 22:23
will the 2026 state of the union address last 100 minutes or longer	8	$363	418	368	+50	open	—	02-24 21:15
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 1015	51	$362	1,646	590	+1,056	open	—	03-22 19:51
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	19	$351	10,286	200	+10,086	open	—	04-08 02:05
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	3	$344	78	485	-407	open	—	06-02 14:11
will the bangladesh jamaat e islami bji win between 70 and 99 seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	7	$338	670	51	+619	open	—	02-13 05:45
will angeliki stogia win the gorton and denton by election	42	$294	2,496	500	+1,996	open	—	02-25 07:52
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	22	$287	438	393	+45	open	—	02-18 17:00
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	64	$285	7,170	7,170	+0	open	—	01-29 16:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 20:01:06	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	SELL	37	75¢	$28	0x066187…
08-07 20:26:51	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xdb61e8…
08-07 20:25:40	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	345	47¢	$163	0x94d12c…
07-29 09:44:38	ukraine strikes another tanker in the caspian sea by july 31 2026 20260726221135932	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbac447…
07-26 23:44:21	ukraine strikes another tanker in the caspian sea by july 31 2026 20260726221135932	No	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x8890ee…
07-25 07:15:51	moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260720155944305	No	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x1b8aa8…
07-25 07:15:49	moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260720155944305	No	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0x879d1f…
07-25 04:12:09	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	BUY	2,353	0¢	$5	0x6e4712…
07-25 03:01:30	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0x73d2e4…
07-25 00:26:45	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	BUY	1,666	0¢	$5	0x4acadd…
07-25 00:14:21	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	BUY	490	0¢	$1	0xc55e9a…
07-25 00:12:40	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	BUY	145	1¢	$1	0x65a264…
07-24 23:57:06	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	BUY	186	5¢	$9	0xfdcd18…
07-24 23:57:01	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	BUY	420	4¢	$17	0x739537…
07-24 23:56:43	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfd996c…
07-24 23:56:43	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	SELL	343	99¢	$339	0x56d21a…
07-24 23:56:40	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0xa903a6…
07-24 22:58:27	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x4b778c…
07-24 22:58:25	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xf6f2da…
07-24 22:58:24	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x48bc19…
07-24 22:58:22	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	39	27¢	$10	0x622996…
07-24 22:58:13	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x3c6b41…
07-24 22:58:13	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0x0c2db4…
07-24 22:58:12	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	167	49¢	$82	0x7644b2…
07-24 22:57:57	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	212	47¢	$100	0x6201cf…
07-23 20:07:25	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	453	0¢	$0	0x57870d…
07-23 15:31:36	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x4a543b…
07-23 12:28:57	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0xc58fc5…
07-23 12:28:33	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	SELL	59	66¢	$39	0xa04879…
07-23 06:57:07	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	31	44¢	$14	0x7da0f1…
07-23 06:33:30	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x6e9df9…
07-23 00:01:22	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0x156f97…
07-22 23:01:25	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0x203968…
07-22 21:49:09	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xef15b2…
07-22 17:44:00	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	89	46¢	$41	0xc149d8…
07-22 17:43:54	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	SELL	42	54¢	$23	0xe4e6ff…
07-21 19:38:37	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	1,923	1¢	$25	0x3a1148…
07-21 19:18:30	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	240	2¢	$6	0xf393ff…
07-21 19:18:22	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xb293b7…
07-21 19:17:51	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	785	2¢	$19	0x7f9676…
07-21 19:10:15	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	453	5¢	$23	0x265196…
07-21 19:09:46	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xd42214…
07-21 19:09:40	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0x2516ce…
07-21 19:08:42	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	BUY	759	1¢	$10	0x58323b…
07-21 19:07:27	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe2a493…
07-21 09:54:13	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x14acae…
07-21 08:42:39	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xe17d20…
07-21 05:26:01	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	SELL	553	75¢	$415	0xb06fd8…
07-21 02:07:04	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	SELL	11	79¢	$9	0x901fe8…
07-21 01:52:00	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	SELL	32	79¢	$25	0x02d8cc…
07-21 00:01:48	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	SELL	88	79¢	$70	0xbd6cd5…
07-20 12:46:21	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	308	8¢	$25	0xedc675…
07-20 01:46:00	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	291	45¢	$131	0x56548a…
07-19 23:11:25	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	96	28¢	$27	0xa954d3…
07-19 23:03:58	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc473b1…
07-19 23:01:04	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	80	28¢	$22	0x43120a…
07-19 22:59:51	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x2d7ef8…
07-19 22:58:37	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x494448…
07-19 22:47:04	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	243	41¢	$100	0x73a3b2…
07-19 22:14:12	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 20 20260717012517323	Yes	BUY	376	2¢	$8	0xfe0b86…
07-19 22:07:30	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 20 20260717012517323	Yes	BUY	124	2¢	$2	0xe2e0b3…
07-19 18:32:57	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	SELL	46	20¢	$9	0x8b4019…
07-19 17:42:45	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 20 20260717012517323	No	SELL	90	90¢	$81	0x59c58b…
07-19 17:34:55	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	SELL	387	20¢	$77	0xf7e717…
07-19 13:31:01	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 20 20260717012517323	No	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xaa5bae…
07-19 00:06:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x0a6223…
07-18 20:22:09	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	163	18¢	$29	0xdf3b7c…
07-18 18:11:22	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	114	18¢	$21	0xb4e0e0…
07-18 12:27:21	Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0xaa6a49…
07-18 12:15:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 20 20260717012517323	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x9153c3…
07-18 12:06:48	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 20 20260717012517323	No	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x2b601f…
07-18 12:06:46	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 20 20260717012517323	No	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x399dee…
07-17 00:03:37	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	No	BUY	96	94¢	$90	0x72e66b…
07-16 22:56:25	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	No	SELL	500	94¢	$470	0xb04fb4…
07-16 22:53:25	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	No	SELL	500	88¢	$440	0x1ec06b…
07-16 22:47:53	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xd045c3…
07-16 22:46:49	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 16 20260713194149000	Yes	BUY	57	20¢	$11	0x52b850…
07-16 22:46:11	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	No	BUY	131	7¢	$9	0x112101…
07-16 22:46:04	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	No	BUY	795	1¢	$8	0x59fd0b…
07-16 22:39:47	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	No	BUY	625	4¢	$25	0x107301…
07-16 20:55:41	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 16 20260713194149000	No	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x6a601f…
07-16 20:45:44	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 16 20260713194149000	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x93d0f3…
07-16 19:39:40	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	SELL	617	22¢	$136	0x5de70b…
07-16 06:51:13	greater manchester mayoral election restore receives 10 first preference votes 20260713192957526	Yes	BUY	41	14¢	$6	0x3079c1…
07-15 17:37:22	greater manchester mayoral election restore receives 10 first preference votes 20260713192957526	Yes	BUY	70	18¢	$13	0xa8ae2c…
07-15 17:36:50	greater manchester mayoral election restore receives 10 first preference votes 20260713192957526	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x8322ab…
07-15 12:18:34	Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x040344…
07-15 10:32:28	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0x562dce…
07-15 05:04:05	Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xfac2b5…
07-15 05:03:49	Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x6b0108…
07-15 04:17:34	Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xcc8d88…
07-15 04:17:29	Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	99	10¢	$10	0xd42c3a…
07-14 21:27:49	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 16 20260713194149000	No	BUY	82	40¢	$33	0x2bc810…
07-14 20:25:16	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xd1ecd3…
07-14 19:36:22	trump alleges foreign election interference by july 16 20260714012947569	No	BUY	150	23¢	$35	0x3194cc…
07-14 17:48:13	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x7f6a11…
07-14 15:34:53	will ed miliband be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533209	No	BUY	152	2¢	$4	0xf3154b…
07-14 13:25:52	will trump say middle east during speech to the nation 20260713200621425	No	SELL	23	32¢	$7	0x062147…
07-14 11:36:20	will trump say middle east during speech to the nation 20260713200621425	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x8699eb…
07-14 11:31:13	will trump say middle east during speech to the nation 20260713200621425	No	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x52dcb5…