Devoted-Route — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$317

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.2%

Resolved

Trades

4,633

lifetime

Volume

$28.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-27 02:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

52% 80% +$263

Other

38% 60% +$54

Tech

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	76	$1.5K	19,857	14,168	+5,690	open	—	04-10 11:29
will artemis ii launch by march 31	77	$1.1K	2,121	1,535	+586	open	—	02-15 23:09
will artemis ii launch by february 28	56	$912	1,125	972	+153	open	—	02-28 19:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	31	$841	5,916	2,960	+2,956	open	—	03-02 01:31
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	30	$774	1,470	787	+683	open	—	04-15 11:12
will spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy explode 995 876 365 284 849 486 211 172 221 678 984 722	35	$756	963	572	+391	open	—	04-06 07:01
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	143	$637	23,085	8,427	+14,658	open	—	02-08 02:14
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	16	$631	472	472	+0	Yes	+$208	04-20 22:52
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	49	$628	804	656	+149	open	—	02-28 16:18
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	11	$602	436	586	-150	open	—	05-21 20:33
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 1520	124	$560	6,974	3,000	+3,974	open	—	03-22 19:50
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	17	$541	868	614	+254	open	—	05-22 22:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	28	$497	1,913	1,945	-32	Yes	+$12	04-09 08:29
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	19	$471	3,150	0	+3,150	open	—	02-28 19:42
will artemis ii launch by february 7	13	$462	367	367	+0	open	—	02-01 15:19
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	18	$433	603	603	+0	open	—	04-15 21:15
will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	47	$427	1,499	420	+1,080	open	—	04-11 01:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	13	$424	533	533	+0	Yes	+$24	04-26 18:27
Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?	18	$380	754	414	+340	Yes	+$108	04-25 22:23
will the 2026 state of the union address last 100 minutes or longer	8	$363	418	368	+50	open	—	02-24 21:15
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 1015	51	$362	1,646	590	+1,056	open	—	03-22 19:51
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	19	$351	10,286	200	+10,086	open	—	04-08 02:05
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	3	$344	78	485	-407	open	—	06-02 14:11
will the bangladesh jamaat e islami bji win between 70 and 99 seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	7	$338	670	51	+619	open	—	02-13 05:45
will angeliki stogia win the gorton and denton by election	42	$294	2,496	500	+1,996	open	—	02-25 07:52
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	22	$287	438	393	+45	open	—	02-18 17:00
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	64	$285	7,170	7,170	+0	open	—	01-29 16:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	23	$284	483	483	+0	Yes	+$17	04-08 01:45
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	16	$275	910	219	+691	open	—	06-13 22:43
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	18	$264	884	884	+0	open	—	05-19 00:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 02:13:41	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in july 2026 20260626153701906	No	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xc596dd…
06-27 02:12:56	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in july 2026 20260626153701906	No	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xeb4c4b…
06-27 02:05:34	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in july 2026 20260626153701906	No	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xe1b689…
06-26 00:35:59	will futuro nazionale get more votes than lega in the next italian general elections 20260609154254296	No	SELL	46	31¢	$14	0x8702b3…
06-25 00:56:53	will ed miliband be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533209	No	BUY	317	3¢	$9	0x0d09a9…
06-24 22:52:25	will yvette cooper be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533204	No	BUY	118	3¢	$3	0x536cfa…
06-23 08:46:50	burnham unopposed in 2026 labour leadership contest 20260622161338971	No	SELL	156	29¢	$45	0x47ec76…
06-23 02:19:01	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x2edc27…
06-22 21:52:29	burnham unopposed in 2026 labour leadership contest 20260622161338971	No	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x6f008a…
06-22 06:58:20	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	126	46¢	$58	0x99ba05…
06-22 06:32:59	will futuro nazionale get more votes than lega in the next italian general elections 20260609154254296	No	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x8aa179…
06-22 01:51:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	No	BUY	119	13¢	$15	0xc729d3…
06-22 01:41:26	will futuro nazionale get more votes than lega in the next italian general elections 20260609154254296	No	BUY	28	28¢	$8	0xf733ba…
06-21 10:03:17	will futuro nazionale get more votes than lega in the next italian general elections 20260609154254296	No	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x352397…
06-20 11:52:10	will futuro nazionale get more votes than lega in the next italian general elections 20260609154254296	No	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x5709dd…
06-19 12:41:20	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	No	BUY	158	13¢	$21	0x19139e…
06-13 22:43:43	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x945164…
06-11 11:14:52	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xb20975…
06-11 10:07:21	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	No	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0x4cb793…
06-11 08:58:09	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x8954e8…
06-11 08:57:36	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x958109…
06-11 08:57:21	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	90	43¢	$39	0x48fb2f…
06-11 08:51:25	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	113	20¢	$23	0xadee67…
06-11 08:36:33	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x885710…
06-11 08:35:42	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x7cad53…
06-10 01:35:04	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x9cf587…
06-09 15:36:46	will the malaysian house of representatives be dissolved by december 31 2026 20260604155615146	No	SELL	22	65¢	$14	0x4f4b14…
06-08 11:23:54	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	113	22¢	$25	0xd2b434…
06-07 12:06:00	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	113	22¢	$25	0x2376fe…
06-07 09:04:01	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	108	23¢	$25	0xd0d0dd…
06-07 07:02:55	will the malaysian house of representatives be dissolved by december 31 2026 20260604155615146	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xdee92d…
06-07 04:25:15	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	108	23¢	$25	0x70d12c…
06-06 09:38:22	will the malaysian house of representatives be dissolved by december 31 2026 20260604155615146	No	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0xcd2112…
06-05 21:05:40	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	133	32¢	$43	0x4d5a1e…
06-05 20:36:49	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	58	32¢	$19	0x799e9e…
06-05 20:23:49	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0xb89a19…
06-05 20:22:46	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	36	25¢	$9	0xcf1e87…
06-05 19:45:45	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	28	32¢	$9	0x3ad8f7…
06-05 17:38:10	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	147	25¢	$37	0x398d4a…
06-05 17:37:58	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0xd2c0dd…
06-02 18:09:43	will douard philippe advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x629a46…
06-02 14:11:00	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	485	67¢	$325	0xd8843a…
06-01 08:07:49	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0xea2224…
06-01 05:23:02	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	57	25¢	$14	0xf8d904…
05-31 13:39:22	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x860c0e…
05-31 13:38:42	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	SELL	339	10¢	$34	0x3f68aa…
05-31 13:29:48	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	SELL	153	10¢	$15	0xb49269…
05-31 12:33:10	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x9b2838…
05-31 12:00:09	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xd0f52f…
05-31 11:14:41	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x918c73…
05-31 11:14:41	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x8d4a66…
05-31 11:14:41	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x7d7eef…
05-31 11:14:41	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0x754a69…
05-31 11:14:41	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x6724de…
05-31 11:14:41	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0x622175…
05-31 11:14:41	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0x3d1108…
05-31 11:14:41	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x120288…
05-31 11:14:41	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x08542b…
05-31 11:14:41	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x07f062…
05-31 11:14:39	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xdec391…
05-31 11:14:39	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0xb4d2d3…
05-31 11:14:39	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xb3e207…
05-31 11:14:39	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0x940173…
05-31 11:14:39	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x8d1fcf…
05-31 11:12:12	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xc56e82…
05-31 11:09:47	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0xf996b8…
05-31 11:08:47	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	161	3¢	$5	0x8ad9e8…
05-31 10:37:43	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	79	3¢	$2	0x5b06ce…
05-22 22:57:00	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x4ae913…
05-22 22:50:07	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x04c079…
05-22 22:46:33	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	SELL	132	52¢	$69	0x67a619…
05-22 22:46:02	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x588a9c…
05-22 22:45:53	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xd9f4bb…
05-22 22:45:51	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	SELL	56	52¢	$29	0x3fb62f…
05-22 22:34:51	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x6b6ed5…
05-22 22:27:01	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	92	10¢	$9	0x106b13…
05-22 22:26:41	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x5ea089…
05-22 22:26:29	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xe2936d…
05-22 22:24:49	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	110	10¢	$11	0xa8ffbb…
05-22 22:24:46	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	42	10¢	$4	0x0b1f8f…
05-22 21:23:12	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	42	21¢	$9	0x7a8b87…
05-22 21:11:12	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	81	21¢	$17	0x9d4459…
05-22 20:48:20	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	123	15¢	$18	0x60b392…
05-22 20:43:32	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	188	80¢	$150	0xb94a34…
05-21 20:33:11	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	SELL	512	78¢	$399	0x968f1a…
05-21 01:00:13	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	192	44¢	$84	0xcad5e4…
05-20 23:22:46	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	303	51¢	$154	0xf7ff40…
05-20 23:20:42	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	300	46¢	$138	0x0dda39…
05-20 22:19:18	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0xa2d4fe…
05-20 21:46:59	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	26	32¢	$8	0xd6165c…
05-20 21:17:56	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xb46293…
05-19 15:39:06	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	SELL	55	45¢	$25	0xd33c19…
05-19 15:05:58	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0x96bd21…
05-19 13:25:53	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x94b450…
05-19 13:24:31	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	SELL	12	45¢	$6	0xbcf31e…
05-19 12:33:13	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x5716e8…
05-19 08:01:40	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x6b064a…
05-19 01:33:31	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 20?	No	BUY	184	74¢	$136	0xdf0467…
05-19 00:14:04	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	No	SELL	720	15¢	$108	0x196991…
05-17 14:38:10	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	29	18¢	$5	0x3a4824…