Experienced-Calculus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.68K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.6%

Resolved

Trades

267

lifetime

Volume

$7.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 05-18 12:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

82% 75% +$1,493

Politics

17% 50% +$199

Crypto

0% 33% -$3

Sports

0% 0% -$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	3	$804	595	595	+0	Yes	+$124	05-11 23:07
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$586	385	385	+0	No	-$1	05-18 12:04
Will the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$550	765	0	+765	Yes	+$215	05-02 07:32
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	9	$530	539	539	+0	open	—	05-18 12:04
Will the Labour Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	6	$467	660	0	+660	Yes	+$193	05-08 01:13
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$340	254	360	-105	Yes	+$40	05-18 12:04
Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$297	444	0	+444	No	+$147	05-06 07:24
Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$260	995	0	+995	No	+$735	04-27 10:19
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	3	$220	136	136	+0	Yes	+$20	05-04 18:44
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$211	256	12	+244	Yes	+$55	05-04 18:10
Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	2	$200	400	0	+400	Yes	+$200	04-30 23:07
Will the Conservative Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$197	308	0	+308	Yes	-$197	05-06 07:26
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on May 17?	11	$196	153	153	+0	No	-$5	05-16 22:27
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 17?	14	$166	154	154	+0	No	-$24	05-16 22:46
Will the Conservative Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	6	$150	429	0	+429	Yes	-$150	05-07 08:48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 17?	3	$119	161	0	+161	No	+$42	05-16 22:33
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 17?	13	$106	130	130	+0	Yes	-$93	05-18 02:02
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 17?	5	$102	140	30	+110	Yes	-$99	05-18 02:02
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 18?	5	$101	156	0	+156	No	+$55	05-17 02:20
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?	17	$101	156	0	+156	No	+$55	05-17 10:40
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 18?	13	$101	143	0	+143	No	+$42	05-17 04:11
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 19?	6	$100	156	0	+156	No	+$55	05-18 01:28
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on May 19?	2	$100	163	0	+163	No	+$63	05-18 00:12
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 18?	7	$100	122	0	+122	No	+$22	05-17 15:02
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 17?	12	$99	138	0	+138	No	+$39	05-16 17:07
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 17?	4	$99	213	0	+213	Yes	-$99	05-17 02:38
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 19?	4	$99	133	0	+133	No	+$34	05-18 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 18?	4	$96	142	0	+142	No	+$45	05-17 10:42
Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	1	$93	124	0	+124	No	+$31	05-04 19:10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 18?	2	$76	105	0	+105	No	+$29	05-17 17:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 12:04:18	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	360	58¢	$208	0xc6f55a…
05-18 12:04:16	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	360	53¢	$190	0x0fc8eb…
05-18 12:04:04	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	385	76¢	$292	0x349644…
05-18 02:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 17?	No	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0xb2f227…
05-18 02:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 17?	No	SELL	95	5¢	$5	0x5ca640…
05-18 01:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 17?	No	SELL	36	5¢	$2	0xdc587c…
05-18 01:28:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 19?	No	BUY	79	64¢	$51	0x4537e6…
05-18 01:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 19?	No	BUY	32	74¢	$24	0x028169…
05-18 01:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 19?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x2e90e4…
05-18 01:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 19?	No	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x9c593e…
05-18 00:58:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 19?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x8c558e…
05-18 00:49:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 19?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x41cd3e…
05-18 00:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 19?	No	BUY	52	74¢	$39	0x81d066…
05-18 00:41:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 19?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf91708…
05-18 00:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 19?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x1276f3…
05-18 00:35:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 19?	No	BUY	28	66¢	$18	0xd79586…
05-18 00:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 19?	No	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x029501…
05-18 00:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 19?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x6ece1c…
05-18 00:25:47	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 19?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xaf0324…
05-18 00:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on May 19?	No	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xfe3c85…
05-18 00:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 19?	No	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x57d8f2…
05-18 00:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 19?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xded97e…
05-18 00:02:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 19?	No	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x1421e1…
05-18 00:02:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on May 19?	No	BUY	121	62¢	$75	0xe04f06…
05-18 00:02:01	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 19?	No	BUY	33	64¢	$21	0x5ba620…
05-17 17:46:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 18?	No	BUY	65	72¢	$47	0x34aa91…
05-17 17:28:56	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	172	57¢	$98	0xf871d0…
05-17 16:53:40	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	3	57¢	$1	0x0ba1d4…
05-17 15:45:25	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xfe6303…
05-17 15:29:38	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x9e7883…
05-17 15:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 18?	No	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0x77a5ec…
05-17 14:30:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 18?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x8b7938…
05-17 12:59:29	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on May 18?	No	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x434dc9…
05-17 12:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 17?	No	BUY	71	78¢	$55	0xe81811…
05-17 11:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 18?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xacc496…
05-17 11:24:56	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on May 18?	No	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x204d31…
05-17 11:24:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on May 18?	No	BUY	22	57¢	$13	0x533d7a…
05-17 10:51:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 17?	No	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x94db65…
05-17 10:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 18?	No	BUY	26	71¢	$18	0x1d2ae8…
05-17 10:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 18?	No	BUY	34	71¢	$24	0xe03346…
05-17 10:42:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 18?	No	BUY	36	68¢	$25	0xac9fe1…
05-17 10:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?	No	BUY	32	64¢	$21	0xf58aad…
05-17 10:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$7	0x471547…
05-17 10:14:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x4c3b00…
05-17 10:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x38d303…
05-17 10:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?	No	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x2ae17a…
05-17 10:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x4ce602…
05-17 10:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xabd97d…
05-17 10:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x4e54e2…
05-17 10:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x8215d9…
05-17 10:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x69431c…
05-17 10:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 18?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb41a06…
05-17 10:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 18?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xb926b9…
05-17 09:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xd35653…
05-17 09:37:17	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x088f5c…
05-17 09:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on May 18?	No	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x89f8b6…
05-17 08:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xce8e41…
05-17 08:51:41	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 18?	No	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x43ffb0…
05-17 08:40:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 18?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x7c09d6…
05-17 07:27:59	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 18?	No	BUY	96	68¢	$65	0xe3981c…
05-17 06:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x141907…
05-17 06:49:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 18?	No	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0xa5ff61…
05-17 06:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 18?	No	BUY	71	83¢	$59	0x7a7a28…
05-17 06:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 18?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc52a75…
05-17 06:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 18?	No	BUY	39	82¢	$32	0xa5ab54…
05-17 06:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 18?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x14056d…
05-17 04:15:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 18?	No	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x41f727…
05-17 04:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 18?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x3518d2…
05-17 04:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 18?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe1429e…
05-17 03:04:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 18?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x31c957…
05-17 02:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 18?	No	BUY	36	80¢	$29	0x27c9d0…
05-17 02:43:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 18?	No	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0x3ce30c…
05-17 02:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 17?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9d457f…
05-17 02:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 17?	No	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x180949…
05-17 02:34:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 18?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x50247a…
05-17 02:33:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 17?	No	BUY	106	46¢	$49	0x26c353…
05-17 02:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xf7c708…
05-17 02:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 18?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0xead30f…
05-17 02:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 18?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x673636…
05-17 02:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 18?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x10ee18…
05-17 02:31:02	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 17?	No	BUY	56	46¢	$26	0xb9c6d1…
05-17 02:20:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 18?	No	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0x0d95dd…
05-17 02:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 18?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$9	0xbe17aa…
05-17 02:18:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 18?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x7639b9…
05-17 02:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 18?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xdd4a3e…
05-17 02:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 18?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x77df37…
05-17 02:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 18?	No	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0xb08a89…
05-17 02:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 18?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x49a98b…
05-17 02:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 18?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xffdf67…
05-17 02:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 18?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x1aae99…
05-17 02:14:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 18?	No	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0xea553e…
05-17 02:14:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 18?	No	BUY	31	70¢	$22	0xb05913…
05-17 02:07:35	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 18?	No	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xc1a097…
05-17 02:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 18?	No	BUY	49	64¢	$31	0xc47484…
05-17 02:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 18?	No	BUY	23	80¢	$19	0x1d0744…
05-17 02:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 18?	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xe8b499…
05-17 01:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 18?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xd4aeea…
05-17 01:42:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 18?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x8564ed…
05-17 01:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 18?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x3c534a…
05-17 01:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 17?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x1dfaf7…