Will the Conservative Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Yes won
Total volume
$7,374
Trades
189
Unique wallets
82
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-07
First seen
2026-04-16
last 05-11 18:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.8¢
(top1%: 81% YES on $786
vs crowd: 82% YES on $5.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $94 | $25 | +$69 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 16 | $3.7K | $43 | +$3.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $98 | $493 | $395 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 47 | $244 | $359 | $115 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $636 | $150 | +$487 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 15 | $2.5K | $134 | +$2.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 12 | $30 | $60 | $30 |
| Median | 23 | $37 | $42 | $4 |
| Below median | 16 | $153 | $76 | +$77 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $6 | $29 | $22 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $784 | $425 | +$359 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piercing-Formation 0x9578…f066 | Yes | +1,305 | $1,264 | $1,264 | 3 | 05-08 17:42 |
| Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | Yes | +1,012 | $1,011 | $1,011 | 6 | 05-11 18:48 |
| Burdensome-Judgment 0xd24b…ef76 | No | +970 | $352 | $368 | 5 | 05-07 21:40 |
| Experienced-Calculus 0x90ff…4fe2 | No | +429 | $150 | $150 | 6 | 05-07 08:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c55…aaaa | No | +300 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 05-08 05:05 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +243 | $25 | $25 | 7 | 05-08 18:09 |
| Devoted-Route 0xf5e4…471a | No | +205 | $-36 | $132 | 5 | 05-08 05:05 |
| Muted-Primary 0x9163…82ae | Yes | +100 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 05-06 22:57 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +95 | $38 | $38 | 9 | 05-08 17:06 |
| Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | Yes | +92 | $56 | $56 | 10 | 05-06 14:52 |
| Unwilling-Evocation 0xfa7e…f37e | No | +70 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-06 02:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | +60 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 04-26 16:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x57a5…5097 | No | +54 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 05-03 22:50 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 17:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xa246…796f | No | +50 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 04-19 21:05 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | +30 | $17 | $17 | 4 | 05-06 07:26 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | +30 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 05-06 10:25 |
| Creative-Purr 0xeb72…2514 | Yes | +23 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-07 04:03 |
| Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 04-16 13:51 |
| Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | No | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 17:51 |
| Gray-Conduct 0xc84f…16e9 | No | +20 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-05 22:24 |
| Responsible-Painting 0x85b8…6b6a | Yes | +19 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 05-05 20:22 |
| Glaring-Instance 0x1fcc…701b | No | +12 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-06 08:34 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +11 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 04-26 16:28 |
| Kooky-Polarisation 0xd9ea…4b6e | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 18:19 |
| Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | +10 | $-0 | $0 | 3 | 05-08 18:19 |
| Frequent-Billing 0xc86b…675c | No | +10 | $4 | $6 | 2 | 05-06 02:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xcaee…964c | No | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-06 02:49 |
| Quarterly-Comeback 0x5a22…17a6 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-03 10:19 |
| Shiny-Body 0x7952…8cd3 | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xad7d…b35e | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-03 23:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x49ea…4bc4 | No | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-06 03:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf24…75a8 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 18:48 |
| Tan-Vitro 0x1c7d…1d42 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 20:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x433a…ada2 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 11:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x540b…b500 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 12:48 |
| Kooky-Pleat 0x83b0…687e | No | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 04:03 |
| Tough-Clarinet 0x8bf1…796e | No | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 04:03 |
| Single-Mantel 0x28c1…ba5f | No | +6 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-07 08:48 |
| Worse-Teepee 0xa159…ac8e | No | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-06 14:26 |
| Delayed-Help 0x4888…f20b | No | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 04:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x8982…9a34 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 15:35 |
| Shimmering-Contour 0xc474…d697 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 04-20 10:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 18:48:47 | Key-Plough 0xd9b1…5614 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x94f7e6… |
| 05-11 18:48:47 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x94f7e6… |
| 05-09 19:24:55 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | Yes | BUY | 31 | 100¢ | $31 | 0xc50a6e… |
| 05-09 19:24:55 | Faithful-Dumbwaiter 0xe8d0…6d36 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 100¢ | $31 | 0xc50a6e… |
| 05-09 08:48:51 | Each-Jeans 0x2b9d…adc0 | Yes | SELL | 592 | 100¢ | $591 | 0x1997f8… |
| 05-09 08:48:51 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | Yes | BUY | 592 | 100¢ | $591 | 0x1997f8… |
| 05-09 06:41:44 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | Yes | BUY | 49 | 100¢ | $49 | 0x63887f… |
| 05-09 06:41:44 | (anonymous) 0x52f4…ab89 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 100¢ | $49 | 0x63887f… |
| 05-08 18:19:51 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d5d91… |
| 05-08 18:19:51 | Kooky-Polarisation 0xd9ea…4b6e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x8d5d91… |
| 05-08 18:09:30 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x710934… |
| 05-08 18:09:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x710934… |
| 05-08 18:09:30 | Prickly-Teletype 0xfc00…b460 | No | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x710934… |
| 05-08 18:09:30 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x710934… |
| 05-08 17:58:11 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xca648d… |
| 05-08 17:58:11 | Rusty-Chasm 0x0f07…d756 | No | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xca648d… |
| 05-08 17:51:07 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x73c147… |
| 05-08 17:51:07 | Prickly-Teletype 0xfc00…b460 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x73c147… |
| 05-08 17:51:07 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | Yes | BUY | 260 | 100¢ | $259 | 0x73c147… |
| 05-08 17:51:07 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | No | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x73c147… |
| 05-08 17:51:07 | Buoyant-Offense 0x526e…3bd0 | Yes | SELL | 140 | 100¢ | $139 | 0x73c147… |
| 05-08 17:42:22 | mrworldwide 0x98d0…f14a | Yes | SELL | 1,208 | 100¢ | $1,201 | 0x12afb2… |
| 05-08 17:42:22 | Piercing-Formation 0x9578…f066 | Yes | BUY | 1,208 | 100¢ | $1,201 | 0x12afb2… |
| 05-08 17:06:33 | Quarrelsome-Context 0xe508…9b4d | Yes | SELL | 4 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xa3185a… |
| 05-08 17:06:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xa3185a… |
| 05-08 15:58:48 | Piercing-Formation 0x9578…f066 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x52044e… |
| 05-08 15:58:48 | Devoted-Parliament 0x552e…d7fb | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x52044e… |
| 05-08 15:58:48 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x52044e… |
| 05-08 05:05:50 | Quarrelsome-Context 0xe508…9b4d | Yes | BUY | 4 | 84¢ | $3 | 0x1a391f… |
| 05-08 05:05:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 4 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x1a391f… |
| 05-08 05:05:11 | (anonymous) 0x1c55…aaaa | No | BUY | 300 | 12¢ | $36 | 0x77d66e… |
| 05-08 05:05:11 | Devoted-Route 0xf5e4…471a | No | BUY | 192 | 13¢ | $25 | 0x77d66e… |
| 05-08 05:05:11 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 100 | 15¢ | $15 | 0x77d66e… |
| 05-08 05:05:11 | Each-Jeans 0x2b9d…adc0 | Yes | BUY | 592 | 87¢ | $516 | 0x77d66e… |
| 05-07 23:24:45 | Devoted-Route 0xf5e4…471a | No | SELL | 2 | 39¢ | $1 | 0xbd1722… |
| 05-07 23:24:45 | Peaceful-Statistic 0xf4d2…7ba4 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0xbd1722… |
| 05-07 21:40:15 | Rusty-Chasm 0x0f07…d756 | No | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xddb573… |
| 05-07 21:40:15 | Devoted-Route 0xf5e4…471a | No | BUY | 10 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xddb573… |
| 05-07 21:40:15 | Burdensome-Judgment 0xd24b…ef76 | No | SELL | 30 | 25¢ | $8 | 0xddb573… |
| 05-07 08:48:25 | Experienced-Calculus 0x90ff…4fe2 | No | BUY | 346 | 35¢ | $121 | 0xf67128… |
| 05-07 08:48:25 | mrworldwide 0x98d0…f14a | Yes | BUY | 1,208 | 64¢ | $775 | 0xf67128… |
| 05-07 08:48:25 | Single-Mantel 0x28c1…ba5f | No | BUY | 0 | 37¢ | $0 | 0xf67128… |
| 05-07 08:48:25 | Burdensome-Judgment 0xd24b…ef76 | No | BUY | 845 | 36¢ | $304 | 0xf67128… |
| 05-07 08:48:25 | Red-Quince 0xcecf…e206 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 59¢ | $10 | 0xf67128… |
| 05-07 04:03:20 | Single-Mantel 0x28c1…ba5f | No | BUY | 6 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xb9d31d… |
| 05-07 04:03:20 | Tough-Clarinet 0x8bf1…796e | No | BUY | 6 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xb9d31d… |
| 05-07 04:03:20 | Creative-Purr 0xeb72…2514 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 63¢ | $15 | 0xb9d31d… |
| 05-07 04:03:20 | Kooky-Pleat 0x83b0…687e | No | BUY | 6 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xb9d31d… |
| 05-07 04:03:20 | Delayed-Help 0x4888…f20b | No | BUY | 6 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xb9d31d… |
| 05-07 03:29:06 | Optimistic-Leg 0x14e6…90f4 | No | SELL | 24 | 36¢ | $9 | 0x85c2e9… |
| 05-07 03:29:06 | Burdensome-Judgment 0xd24b…ef76 | No | BUY | 24 | 36¢ | $9 | 0x85c2e9… |
| 05-06 22:57:39 | Muted-Primary 0x9163…82ae | Yes | BUY | 100 | 64¢ | $64 | 0xb790e9… |
| 05-06 22:57:39 | Burdensome-Judgment 0xd24b…ef76 | No | BUY | 100 | 36¢ | $36 | 0xb790e9… |
| 05-06 21:09:54 | Faithful-Dumbwaiter 0xe8d0…6d36 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 64¢ | $20 | 0x4f7889… |
| 05-06 21:09:54 | Burdensome-Judgment 0xd24b…ef76 | No | BUY | 31 | 36¢ | $11 | 0x4f7889… |
| 05-06 15:06:48 | Zealous-Node 0xbf85…45a7 | No | SELL | 38 | 35¢ | $13 | 0x8b2b43… |
| 05-06 15:06:48 | Experienced-Calculus 0x90ff…4fe2 | No | BUY | 38 | 35¢ | $13 | 0x8b2b43… |
| 05-06 14:52:05 | Zealous-Node 0xbf85…45a7 | No | BUY | 38 | 39¢ | $15 | 0xbe6f68… |
| 05-06 14:52:05 | Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 61¢ | $23 | 0xbe6f68… |
| 05-06 14:26:53 | Worse-Teepee 0xa159…ac8e | No | BUY | 6 | 38¢ | $2 | 0xb1a604… |
| 05-06 14:26:53 | Experienced-Calculus 0x90ff…4fe2 | No | BUY | 4 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xb1a604… |
| 05-06 14:26:53 | Zealous-Node 0xbf85…45a7 | No | SELL | 10 | 37¢ | $4 | 0xb1a604… |
| 05-06 13:01:22 | Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 61¢ | $6 | 0x2b9ddf… |
| 05-06 13:01:22 | Zealous-Node 0xbf85…45a7 | No | BUY | 10 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x2b9ddf… |
| 05-06 11:39:54 | (anonymous) 0x9f5a…a32f | No | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xe96d7a… |
| 05-06 11:39:54 | Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0xe96d7a… |
| 05-06 10:25:54 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 10 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x58200b… |
| 05-06 10:25:54 | Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 61¢ | $6 | 0x58200b… |
| 05-06 10:22:38 | Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0x3bd40d… |
| 05-06 10:22:38 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0x3bd40d… |
| 05-06 10:21:30 | (anonymous) 0x0558…6d24 | No | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x416d8e… |
| 05-06 10:21:30 | Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x416d8e… |
| 05-06 09:03:46 | Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 61¢ | $2 | 0xe9d0b6… |
| 05-06 09:03:46 | (anonymous) 0x375c…1d70 | No | BUY | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0xe9d0b6… |
| 05-06 08:34:20 | Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x4f2627… |
| 05-06 08:34:20 | Glaring-Instance 0x1fcc…701b | No | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x4f2627… |
| 05-06 08:34:18 | Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0xd1c974… |
| 05-06 08:34:18 | (anonymous) 0xad7a…3003 | No | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xd1c974… |
| 05-06 08:18:30 | Experienced-Calculus 0x90ff…4fe2 | No | BUY | 8 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x9c27dc… |
| 05-06 08:18:30 | Shiny-Body 0x7952…8cd3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x9c27dc… |
| 05-06 07:26:38 | (anonymous) 0xb458…30cd | No | BUY | 4 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x3c2fb6… |
| 05-06 07:26:38 | Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 61¢ | $2 | 0x3c2fb6… |
| 05-06 07:26:06 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 65¢ | $6 | 0x1ab2fd… |
| 05-06 07:26:06 | Experienced-Calculus 0x90ff…4fe2 | No | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x1ab2fd… |
| 05-06 07:23:20 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | No | SELL | 8 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x1581a1… |
| 05-06 07:23:20 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0x1581a1… |
| 05-06 07:23:20 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x1581a1… |
| 05-06 07:23:20 | Experienced-Calculus 0x90ff…4fe2 | No | BUY | 22 | 34¢ | $8 | 0x1581a1… |
| 05-06 07:01:12 | (anonymous) 0x468e…6b7e | No | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xc0dde6… |
| 05-06 07:01:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xc0dde6… |
| 05-06 03:03:24 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 7 | 42¢ | $3 | 0x114d2e… |
| 05-06 03:03:24 | (anonymous) 0x49ea…4bc4 | No | BUY | 7 | 42¢ | $3 | 0x114d2e… |
| 05-06 02:57:52 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 25 | 23¢ | $6 | 0x0abf5d… |
| 05-06 02:57:52 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | No | BUY | 8 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x0abf5d… |
| 05-06 02:57:52 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x0abf5d… |
| 05-06 02:57:52 | Crowded-Acceptance 0xa34d…b57f | Yes | SELL | 7 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x0abf5d… |
| 05-06 02:49:02 | (anonymous) 0xcaee…964c | No | BUY | 9 | 42¢ | $4 | 0x62d26c… |
| 05-06 02:49:02 | Frequent-Billing 0xc86b…675c | No | SELL | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x62d26c… |
| 05-06 02:49:02 | Crowded-Acceptance 0xa34d…b57f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 58¢ | $4 | 0x62d26c… |
| 05-06 02:36:22 | Piercing-Formation 0x9578…f066 | Yes | BUY | 82 | 58¢ | $48 | 0xb2183b… |