Buoyant-Offense — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.73K

Unrealized P&L

+$129

Hit rate

60.8%

Resolved

222

Trades

754

lifetime

Volume

$101.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$134

Open exposure

$10.0K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 01:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 114 days

Categories

Politics

61% 52% -$3,100

Other

35% 51% -$576

Crypto

3% 33% -$104

Pop-Culture

0% 75% +$65

Sports

0% 0% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	+10,334	$6,804	68¢	$7.1K	+$260	11-01 01:35
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	+3,419	$1,778	52¢	$1.8K	-$17	11-01 01:49
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	+1,435	$1,105	78¢	$1.1K	+$7	11-01 01:50
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	+52	$34	64¢	$33	-$1	10-31 22:35
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+561	$150	5¢	$30	-$120	09-23 06:32
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	+1	$1	80¢	$1	+$0	10-26 15:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	17	$11.7K	18,916	18,916	+0	Yes	-$1,819	09-20 20:32
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	6	$8.0K	11,285	951	+10,334	open	—	11-01 01:35
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?	34	$5.6K	3,096	3,096	+0	Yes	+$448	08-05 02:20
Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	2	$5.5K	2,941	2,941	+0	Yes	+$388	07-22 03:41
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	8	$4.8K	3,533	3,533	+0	No	+$635	07-19 00:10
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	4	$3.5K	1,886	1,886	+0	Yes	+$222	06-24 03:46
Will the Conservative Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	7	$2.5K	1,384	1,384	+0	Yes	+$61	05-05 05:24
Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	15	$2.0K	1,221	1,221	+0	Yes	+$366	05-08 15:53
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	3	$1.8K	3,419	0	+3,419	open	—	11-01 01:49
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	4	$1.6K	1,039	1,039	+0	Yes	-$53	06-11 22:03
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	5	$1.5K	931	931	+0	Yes	-$162	08-05 03:11
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	7	$1.4K	1,385	1,385	+0	No	-$55	04-30 14:51
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	4	$1.4K	769	769	+0	No	+$162	09-13 21:26
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$1.3K	699	699	+0	No	+$71	06-22 02:45
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	3	$1.3K	839	839	+0	Yes	-$34	06-19 02:12
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	5	$1.2K	1,619	0	+1,619	No	-$1,219	08-05 15:55
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	2	$1.1K	1,435	0	+1,435	open	—	11-01 01:50
Will Johnny Garrett be the TN-06 Republican nominee?	7	$1.1K	603	602	+0	Yes	+$76	08-07 00:28
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$1.0K	552	552	+0	Yes	+$56	06-22 02:47
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	7	$976	549	880	-331	No	+$209	01-19 20:57
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	9	$896	494	494	+0	Yes	+$39	08-05 06:22
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 5%?	5	$798	442	442	+0	No	-$2	08-12 11:05
Will Darline Graham Nordone win Richland County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?	3	$792	471	471	+0	Yes	+$38	08-22 14:11
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	5	$775	470	470	+0	Yes	+$15	05-24 18:58
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	3	$747	421	421	+0	Yes	+$10	03-17 17:34
Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	2	$741	399	399	+0	No	+$55	07-01 03:23
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?	7	$733	1,348	1,348	+0	open	—	09-08 17:43
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	16	$731	896	896	+0	open	—	08-21 17:05
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$687	538	538	+0	Yes	+$146	03-07 12:00
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	2	$665	366	366	+0	Yes	+$65	06-24 03:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 01:50:48	Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,429	77¢	$1,100	0x981bd4…
11-01 01:49:27	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	1,923	52¢	$1,000	0x6200e0…
11-01 01:35:25	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,334	66¢	$6,800	0xacea4c…
10-31 23:04:51	Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x752bd3…
10-31 22:57:58	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	1,481	52¢	$770	0xfa672e…
10-31 22:35:00	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	66¢	$34	0x7314ed…
10-31 21:10:21	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	182	65¢	$118	0x2b1883…
10-31 17:40:00	Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xb5e22b…
10-31 17:31:51	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	166	65¢	$108	0xd0f840…
10-31 17:22:51	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xc026cb…
10-31 17:09:48	Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x6f2128…
10-31 17:08:49	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xfc3542…
10-31 16:19:33	Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	SELL	187	45¢	$84	0xce3067…
10-29 17:54:11	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	951	63¢	$599	0x1ab118…
10-29 06:05:56	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	541	62¢	$338	0xe8431b…
10-29 04:09:05	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	62¢	$99	0xb013f5…
10-29 04:08:23	Will voter turnout be 70% or higher in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	234	45¢	$105	0x3d05c4…
10-28 15:47:40	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	238	66¢	$157	0x573699…
10-28 09:35:29	Will The Democrats win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0x2c44db…
10-28 08:41:34	Will The Democrats win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xbac374…
10-28 08:12:50	Will The Democrats win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0x129b61…
10-28 08:12:49	Will The Democrats win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x378221…
10-28 08:12:38	Will The Democrats win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xa51888…
10-28 06:22:55	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xf2a575…
10-28 05:26:38	Will The Democrats win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x50d700…
10-27 15:27:21	Will The Democrats win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	174	69¢	$120	0x4ec177…
10-27 04:03:23	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x65c441…
10-26 15:53:36	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	128	76¢	$97	0xc7258a…
10-26 15:53:20	Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	SELL	187	52¢	$97	0xbe7c20…
10-26 15:24:50	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3ff669…
10-25 19:29:08	Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	237	87¢	$207	0xa8df4f…
10-25 07:26:48	Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	146	68¢	$100	0x9d6b0e…
10-25 07:21:51	Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xb5e2e7…
10-25 07:20:56	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xcafaa0…
10-25 05:02:26	Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	237	99¢	$235	0x0dd9e1…
10-24 13:32:21	Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	237	63¢	$150	0x3fa597…
10-18 10:25:11	Will voter turnout be 70% or higher in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	234	32¢	$75	0xa00d20…
10-18 09:50:47	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	80¢	$69	0xc6de64…
10-18 07:57:29	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	81¢	$70	0xe70d8a…
10-18 05:46:32	Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0x774be0…
10-17 14:40:00	Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	82	68¢	$56	0xf9eb46…
10-17 14:39:33	Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	SELL	111	52¢	$58	0xd56c16…
10-12 16:21:24	Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	SELL	55	34¢	$19	0x95f018…
10-09 09:03:12	Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x29b4a3…
10-09 09:01:58	Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0xe332d4…
10-09 09:00:55	Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xfd6569…
10-09 08:52:40	Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x0ddbc3…
10-09 07:51:49	Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xf5ba06…
10-09 07:37:30	Will the Green Party candidate win 20-25% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc452b3…
10-09 07:27:30	Will the Green Party candidate win 20-25% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xdb56e1…
10-09 06:40:01	Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	BUY	435	57¢	$249	0xbce2cc…
10-09 06:22:15	Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5797fc…
10-08 23:31:20	Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 0-5%?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xbb8ac3…
10-08 18:17:48	Will Ewan Cameron finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	No	BUY	33	57¢	$19	0x133b82…
10-08 18:17:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	No	SELL	27	71¢	$19	0xe65d07…
10-07 17:15:34	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x7d4173…
10-07 15:51:11	Will the Green Party candidate win 20-25% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	No	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x1e0123…
10-07 15:05:49	Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 0-5%?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8796a4…
10-07 10:07:21	Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 0-5%?	No	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0xc6f1c4…
10-07 10:07:21	Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 0-5%?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x28200a…
10-06 03:24:39	Will the Green Party candidate win less than 20% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xab5316…
10-06 03:24:06	Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 0-5%?	No	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x57171a…
10-06 03:18:46	Will the CAQ win fewer than 5 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x04a1de…
10-06 03:18:25	Will the CAQ win 5 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x67bee2…
10-05 19:48:59	Will the CAQ win fewer than 5 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Yes	BUY	17	81¢	$14	0x264400…
10-05 16:10:41	Will the CAQ win 5 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x437748…
10-05 16:10:16	Will the Green Party candidate win less than 20% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	No	SELL	204	89¢	$181	0xd5826f…
10-05 07:07:11	Will the Green Party candidate win less than 20% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	No	BUY	204	87¢	$177	0x512054…
10-05 03:56:20	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	SELL	180	99¢	$178	0x54cc41…
10-04 20:29:43	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0e9e6b…
10-04 20:29:29	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election by 21% or more?	Yes	SELL	68	8¢	$5	0x0ad0b9…
10-02 07:56:14	Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x89fa06…
09-28 20:54:14	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	180	54¢	$97	0xa2f7e4…
09-28 20:41:06	Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	No	BUY	96	42¢	$40	0x8ea6a4…
09-28 20:06:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x923ed7…
09-26 13:23:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	436	12¢	$52	0x145f0a…
09-23 06:32:35	Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	561	27¢	$150	0xcf8a2e…
09-23 06:18:44	Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	763	25¢	$188	0x5efeb9…
09-21 18:54:42	Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	763	32¢	$244	0x53ac20…
09-21 18:54:24	Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	361	73¢	$263	0x563433…
09-21 06:55:26	Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	105	3¢	$3	0xd18182…
09-21 03:47:29	Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	361	67¢	$241	0x451acf…
09-20 21:00:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	490	14¢	$70	0x779a85…
09-20 21:00:19	Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	61¢	$68	0x2f41bc…
09-20 20:37:53	Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	63¢	$70	0xbb6a9a…
09-20 20:36:44	Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf52069…
09-20 20:32:58	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	4,580	2¢	$88	0x8c7348…
09-20 20:27:07	Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	SELL	3,486	0¢	$16	0xe42709…
09-18 06:45:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	600	13¢	$80	0x368f19…
09-18 06:01:16	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election by 21% or more?	Yes	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0x1808e7…
09-18 04:24:10	Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	635	16¢	$100	0x44712b…
09-18 04:23:28	Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	1,285	16¢	$200	0xaf5326…
09-17 17:10:31	Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	134	14¢	$19	0x82a936…
09-16 03:15:31	Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	375	16¢	$60	0x894101…
09-16 03:11:24	Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	630	16¢	$100	0x9cf997…
09-16 03:08:22	Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?	Yes	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0xc1a78a…
09-15 21:47:46	Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?	Yes	BUY	45	87¢	$39	0x1bcf79…
09-15 17:45:30	Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?	Yes	BUY	75	88¢	$66	0xacb5e7…
09-15 17:45:09	Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	78	84¢	$66	0xc6de14…
09-14 19:38:03	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	665	23¢	$153	0xbfcb2e…