Buoyant-Offense — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$529

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

83.9%

Resolved

Trades

293

lifetime

Volume

$22.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$77

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-03 14:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

52% 80% +$488

Politics

46% 0% $-5

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$46

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes		+21	$14	69¢	$15	+$1	06-03 14:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Conservative Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	7	$2.5K	1,384	1,384	+0	Yes	+$61	05-05 05:24
Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	15	$2.0K	1,221	1,221	+0	Yes	+$366	05-08 15:53
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	7	$976	549	880	-331	open	—	01-19 20:57
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	6	$843	1,385	209	+1,176	open	—	04-26 19:15
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	3	$747	421	421	+0	open	—	03-17 17:34
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$687	538	538	+0	open	—	03-07 12:00
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	5	$606	420	420	+0	open	—	03-24 17:09
will heart for the hague hvdh win the most seats in the hagues 2026 municipal election	6	$590	353	353	+0	open	—	03-15 15:06
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	4	$545	559	509	+50	open	—	03-22 19:51
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	4	$532	280	280	+0	open	—	01-22 19:39
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	3	$496	372	372	+0	No	$-5	01-08 23:14
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in April?	8	$485	345	345	+0	open	—	04-08 19:06
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	7	$470	425	425	+0	open	—	03-09 07:18
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	5	$433	299	299	+0	open	—	04-02 03:19
will morality unity honour mech win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	5	$415	240	240	+0	open	—	04-20 04:03
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	2	$411	323	323	+0	Yes	$-9	05-11 22:32
us downs another iranian drone by february 28	9	$354	756	756	+0	open	—	02-19 19:29
will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$352	214	214	+0	open	—	04-12 19:45
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$339	320	320	+0	open	—	03-09 07:06
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	2	$306	301	301	+0	open	—	03-12 17:56
Will Kanye tweet again by May 31?	3	$300	173	173	+0	Yes	+$46	05-07 16:45
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$280	211	211	+0	open	—	03-23 11:20
will john cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 texas republican primary	2	$277	227	227	+0	open	—	03-04 04:27
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	3	$276	160	160	+0	open	—	03-22 19:49
will the bangladesh jamaat e islami bji win fewer than 40 seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	4	$259	270	270	+0	open	—	02-11 15:00
will matt goodwin reform finish third in the gorton and denton by election	4	$233	151	151	+0	open	—	02-27 04:30
Will the Conservative Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	5	$224	140	140	+0	Yes	+$55	05-08 17:51
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	2	$219	117	117	+0	open	—	05-31 22:00
will joo cotrim figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$211	117	117	+0	open	—	01-18 19:16
will the us strike 1 countries in february 2026	2	$208	116	116	+0	open	—	02-04 17:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 14:50:30	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0x43e2a8…
06-02 17:37:56	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in May?	Yes	SELL	133	0¢	$0	0x8a8edb…
05-31 22:00:05	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	117	99¢	$116	0x35d222…
05-30 20:49:39	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	117	88¢	$103	0xf5dd7c…
05-16 11:24:01	Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	67	85¢	$57	0x4e1671…
05-14 21:29:20	Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	67	87¢	$58	0x88dbfe…
05-14 21:16:32	Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	59	99¢	$59	0x9abb13…
05-13 19:22:47	Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	59	76¢	$45	0x8a13ea…
05-11 22:32:54	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	323	62¢	$201	0x0065ef…
05-11 21:00:24	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	323	65¢	$210	0x6283fa…
05-08 17:51:07	Will the Conservative Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	140	100¢	$139	0x73c147…
05-08 15:53:49	Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	602	100¢	$601	0xe979c4…
05-08 14:33:07	Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x61bd82…
05-08 13:58:42	Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	80	95¢	$76	0xcee882…
05-08 13:41:05	Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	80	95¢	$76	0xda97dd…
05-07 16:45:10	Will Kanye tweet again by May 31?	Yes	SELL	173	100¢	$173	0x8731e8…
05-07 03:37:09	Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	287	92¢	$265	0x31d4b4…
05-06 20:10:31	Will Kanye tweet again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	67	54¢	$36	0x05c285…
05-06 16:46:16	Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	71	94¢	$67	0x4bd5c0…
05-05 05:24:28	Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	305	77¢	$235	0x0921bc…
05-05 05:24:00	Will the Conservative Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	265	90¢	$239	0x127dfa…
05-04 17:41:46	Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	110	66¢	$72	0x4d4e10…
05-04 03:47:46	Will Kanye tweet again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	106	86¢	$91	0x20b42a…
05-04 03:47:24	Will the Conservative Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xfa26b1…
05-04 03:47:08	Will the Conservative Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0x3c0ab9…
05-03 23:01:48	Will the Conservative Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x29e686…
05-03 22:50:06	Will the Conservative Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x187e78…
05-03 22:45:06	Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0x5c9b05…
05-03 20:36:44	Will the Conservative Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x0c8296…
05-03 20:28:00	Will the Conservative Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x00fb15…
05-03 19:33:36	Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x9c60f2…
05-03 19:32:42	Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	322	62¢	$200	0x420ebd…
05-03 19:31:52	Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	400	64¢	$256	0x12cb9a…
05-03 19:27:20	Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xfe054d…
05-03 19:24:40	Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1f9538…
05-03 19:22:00	Will the Conservative Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	1,118	92¢	$1,029	0x0ac0fe…
04-30 14:52:06	Will the Conservative Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	550	91¢	$500	0x91c873…
04-29 16:58:06	Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x119656…
04-29 14:40:16	Will the Conservative Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	568	88¢	$500	0xa0ece8…
04-26 19:15:14	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	1,006	54¢	$540	0x95a747…
04-24 14:28:06	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	170	44¢	$75	0x98acfa…
04-22 22:03:08	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	77	48¢	$37	0xf425e9…
04-22 03:27:00	Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0xe3c977…
04-22 03:25:44	Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x647ba5…
04-22 03:24:24	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?	No	SELL	63	98¢	$62	0xe2282b…
04-21 17:25:06	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?	No	BUY	63	83¢	$52	0x8031d4…
04-21 17:24:44	Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	84	63¢	$52	0x0bf9aa…
04-20 04:12:00	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x0c077e…
04-20 04:03:40	will morality unity honour mech win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	50	95¢	$47	0xc02601…
04-19 21:05:50	Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	84	43¢	$36	0x0f8ebc…
04-19 21:05:18	Will the Conservative Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	110	63¢	$70	0xa63025…
04-19 21:03:28	Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xfee676…
04-19 20:59:04	will morality unity honour mech win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	117	99¢	$116	0x51fd11…
04-18 12:49:10	will morality unity honour mech win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	167	82¢	$137	0xd40f31…
04-18 12:00:58	will morality unity honour mech win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	72	77¢	$56	0x31f1c1…
04-18 08:47:58	will morality unity honour mech win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	72	82¢	$59	0x1600f8…
04-18 08:13:42	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	132	57¢	$75	0x679266…
04-15 19:13:40	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	132	58¢	$76	0x6ab885…
04-14 02:52:37	will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	No	SELL	123	5¢	$6	0x1a1d5a…
04-13 20:49:39	will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	No	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x7631c1…
04-13 20:49:23	Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	18	66¢	$12	0xba1ec8…
04-13 18:59:01	will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	No	BUY	83	27¢	$22	0xf6cd6f…
04-13 18:58:45	Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	33	66¢	$22	0xc03f65…
04-13 14:08:45	Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	51	66¢	$34	0xf3e101…
04-12 19:45:13	will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	179	94¢	$168	0xf006fe…
04-08 19:07:17	will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	179	73¢	$130	0x63ba65…
04-08 19:06:51	Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in April?	Yes	SELL	146	91¢	$132	0xc90c04…
04-02 03:20:49	Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in April?	Yes	BUY	146	73¢	$106	0x45f064…
04-02 03:19:31	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	Yes	SELL	128	83¢	$106	0x8750d6…
04-01 07:43:51	Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in April?	Yes	SELL	94	60¢	$56	0x010f91…
03-31 20:56:07	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	Yes	BUY	128	69¢	$88	0x0e4bab…
03-31 20:55:59	Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in April?	Yes	BUY	94	64¢	$60	0xf84636…
03-31 19:36:21	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	Yes	SELL	171	64¢	$109	0xcffb4e…
03-31 16:35:27	will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	35	66¢	$23	0x83d04b…
03-30 20:17:25	Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in April?	Yes	SELL	52	60¢	$31	0xf0430a…
03-29 09:51:26	will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x6c50ba…
03-29 09:44:00	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 31	Yes	SELL	63	52¢	$33	0x67965f…
03-28 15:32:07	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 31	Yes	BUY	63	31¢	$20	0x9b4aa8…
03-28 10:42:09	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	Yes	BUY	43	68¢	$29	0xe0da1f…
03-28 10:37:11	Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?	Yes	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x48c7a2…
03-27 18:15:19	Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in April?	Yes	BUY	52	57¢	$29	0xf27fa3…
03-27 16:59:05	Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?	Yes	BUY	38	83¢	$31	0x447b0b…
03-27 16:28:45	Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	80¢	$14	0xa903f3…
03-27 16:27:37	pakistan military action against afghanistan by march 31	Yes	SELL	19	71¢	$14	0x71570a…
03-27 16:00:03	Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in April?	Yes	SELL	54	56¢	$30	0x9c0568…
03-25 21:39:55	Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in April?	Yes	BUY	54	75¢	$40	0xf90ca8…
03-25 21:34:59	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x5317e8…
03-25 20:46:29	pakistan military action against afghanistan by march 31	Yes	BUY	19	39¢	$7	0xbe3acf…
03-25 20:46:13	houthis successfully target shipping by march 31	Yes	SELL	83	9¢	$7	0xa516eb…
03-24 20:06:41	will liberal alliance win the third most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	Yes	BUY	65	86¢	$56	0x66d407…
03-24 20:05:23	will venstre win the third most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	No	SELL	61	92¢	$56	0x57c6cf…
03-24 17:10:17	will venstre win the third most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	No	BUY	105	81¢	$85	0xc17b98…
03-24 17:09:59	Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	SELL	161	53¢	$85	0xcdf71c…
03-23 11:20:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	75	34¢	$26	0x43c48f…
03-23 11:20:11	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	211	62¢	$131	0x84144c…
03-22 19:51:51	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	211	71¢	$150	0x95ca7c…
03-22 19:51:15	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xea54d2…
03-22 19:49:55	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0x7c521e…
03-22 13:37:37	north korea missile testlaunch by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x560162…
03-21 22:21:53	will laure lavalette be the next mayor of toulon	Yes	BUY	41	39¢	$16	0xb5f743…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	84	$40.6K	3,498	06-01 20:56
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	83	$211.5K	18,161	05-31 21:59
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	75	$7.87M	12,590	05-31 03:42
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	73	$8.42K	1,648	05-13 20:30
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	72	$108.4K	10,385	03-28 14:26
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	69	$583.2K	12,666	06-09 20:56
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	67	$154.8K	23,057	06-09 20:47
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	58	$87.8K	718	06-08 20:15