Realized P&L
+$333
Unrealized P&L
-$149
Hit rate
83.7%
Resolved
1,519
Trades
3,923
lifetime
Volume
$79.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$4.06K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 10-27 10:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 162 days
Categories
Other
68% 85% +$342
Politics
16% 85% -$110
Sports
10% 60% +$197
Crypto
5% 42% -$155
Tech
1% 77% +$57
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +460 $419 92¢ $425 +$6 10-27 10:40
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +464 $419 83¢ $386 -$33 10-26 18:07
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +323 $300 94¢ $305 +$5 10-23 15:25
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +313 $300 97¢ $305 +$5 10-19 23:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +317 $297 96¢ $304 +$7 10-27 03:59
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +314 $300 66¢ $207 -$93 10-25 09:12
No one announced as next James Bond? No +235 $170 76¢ $178 +$8 10-14 14:03
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +150 $120 98¢ $147 +$27 10-12 02:51
next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026 No +148 $120 97¢ $143 +$24 10-17 13:13
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? No +141 $120 98¢ $138 +$19 10-05 23:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +142 $120 96¢ $137 +$18 10-02 12:53
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +140 $120 97¢ $136 +$17 10-05 11:58
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31? No +141 $120 96¢ $136 +$16 10-22 08:00
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +150 $120 90¢ $134 +$14 10-20 11:53
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +144 $120 87¢ $125 +$6 10-05 05:09
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +143 $120 84¢ $119 -$1 10-14 07:17
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? No +142 $120 84¢ $119 -$1 10-26 21:04
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +150 $120 78¢ $118 -$2 10-20 23:45
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +141 $120 80¢ $112 -$8 10-24 05:20
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +71 $60 93¢ $66 +$7 10-14 16:52
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +225 $61 24¢ $55 -$6 10-14 09:03
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +70 $59 72¢ $50 -$9 08-14 02:22
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +55 $44 80¢ $44 $0 09-28 23:12
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +37 $30 98¢ $36 +$6 10-09 15:02
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +50 $26 68¢ $34 +$8 10-01 13:13
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +145 $120 20¢ $29 -$90 10-20 18:57
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? Yes +148 $120 15¢ $22 -$98 10-16 07:56
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +18 $15 99¢ $18 +$3 09-30 13:46
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? Yes +50 $22 32¢ $16 -$6 10-01 15:00
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? No +54 $9 20¢ $11 +$2 09-29 02:33