Definite-Polarization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$804

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.3%

Resolved

Trades

2,663

lifetime

Volume

$138.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 06-09 16:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% +$804

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 197 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8AM ET	45	$3.6K	2,712	2,712	+0	open	—	05-22 13:14
btc updown 15m 1776202200	17	$3.0K	2,050	2,023	+27	open	—	04-14 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11AM ET	5	$3.0K	2,043	2,043	+0	open	—	04-28 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10AM ET	3	$3.0K	2,368	1,523	+845	open	—	05-14 15:48
btc updown 15m 1775844900	30	$2.5K	1,636	1,636	+0	open	—	04-10 18:26
btc updown 5m 1775563200	3	$2.4K	1,415	1,386	+29	open	—	04-07 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6AM ET	27	$2.3K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-29 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11AM ET	49	$2.2K	1,456	2,068	-612	open	—	05-22 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6AM ET	24	$2.1K	1,408	1,408	+0	open	—	04-30 11:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11AM ET	7	$2.1K	1,247	1,247	+0	open	—	05-19 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7AM ET	21	$1.8K	1,038	1,400	-362	open	—	05-21 11:49
ethereum up or down april 24 2026 12pm et	7	$1.6K	931	918	+14	open	—	04-24 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	48	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$490	05-13 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1AM ET	1	$1.4K	1,567	0	+1,567	Down	+$117	05-13 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10AM ET	10	$1.4K	900	900	+0	open	—	05-16 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12PM ET	15	$1.2K	2,300	0	+2,300	open	—	04-29 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5AM ET	4	$1.2K	690	690	+0	Up	+$15	05-06 10:00
btc updown 15m 1777039200	2	$1.2K	850	818	+33	open	—	04-24 14:12
btc updown 15m 1776879900	31	$1.2K	1,161	1,000	+161	open	—	04-22 17:50
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 8am et	2	$1.0K	734	704	+30	open	—	04-20 13:06
btc updown 15m 1776943800	3	$1.0K	2,020	0	+2,020	open	—	04-23 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6AM ET	13	$1.0K	661	661	+0	open	—	05-19 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11AM ET	27	$992	700	700	+0	Down	+$310	05-13 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$991	607	607	+0	open	—	05-03 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	26	$978	1,950	0	+1,950	Down	$-978	05-13 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	3	$975	789	789	+0	Down	+$589	05-13 20:15
bitcoin up or down april 3 2026 12pm et	8	$971	710	704	+6	open	—	04-03 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	10	$958	1,441	0	+1,441	Down	+$482	05-13 05:24
btc updown 15m 1777031100	23	$899	529	519	+9	open	—	04-24 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1PM ET	3	$895	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	05-14 17:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 16:03:12	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x3191b2…
06-09 16:03:12	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	88	51¢	$45	0x0ae542…
06-09 16:03:10	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x6f9d41…
06-09 15:33:10	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0x02c7c2…
06-09 15:19:15	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6a0ddb…
06-09 15:00:15	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	34	51¢	$17	0x8e6d3d…
06-09 15:00:15	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	36	51¢	$18	0x3ecd5c…
06-09 13:01:36	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xfde0cd…
06-09 12:44:58	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	38	93¢	$35	0x8c456f…
06-09 12:16:18	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	38	37¢	$14	0xd06ff2…
06-09 11:25:48	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xf0634b…
06-09 10:07:13	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0x5a0d4e…
06-09 09:08:10	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0xf0f181…
06-09 09:08:10	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x14ed84…
06-08 15:01:33	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	45	46¢	$21	0xbb7a7e…
06-08 15:01:10	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	150	48¢	$72	0xbe3efa…
06-08 13:10:00	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x882ac2…
06-08 13:06:09	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0xaedf72…
06-08 13:06:09	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0x057256…
06-08 13:06:06	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf9e588…
06-08 13:06:04	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x23f033…
06-08 13:06:03	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xab6e83…
06-08 13:03:31	btc updown 15m 1780923600	Down	BUY	46	59¢	$27	0xe69ed3…
06-08 13:03:31	btc updown 15m 1780923600	Down	BUY	41	59¢	$24	0x55cb8e…
06-08 13:03:31	btc updown 15m 1780923600	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x3da8d1…
06-08 13:03:30	btc updown 15m 1780923600	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf4a4a7…
06-08 13:03:30	btc updown 15m 1780923600	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x53efb5…
06-08 12:45:04	btc updown 15m 1780922700	Down	BUY	85	50¢	$42	0x4cd3c6…
06-08 08:45:15	btc updown 15m 1780908300	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe00754…
06-08 08:45:15	btc updown 15m 1780908300	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0xcc8ebe…
06-08 08:45:15	btc updown 15m 1780908300	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xa0f3ab…
06-08 08:45:15	btc updown 15m 1780908300	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x860e47…
06-08 08:45:15	btc updown 15m 1780908300	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x73db06…
06-08 08:45:15	btc updown 15m 1780908300	Down	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0x0d235d…
06-08 08:32:28	btc updown 15m 1780907400	Down	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xf287b1…
06-08 05:51:16	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 1am et	Up	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x3a735a…
06-08 05:06:55	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x971f8d…
06-07 21:08:40	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0x2ddd09…
06-05 15:23:33	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x3279ac…
06-05 15:03:06	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	35	49¢	$17	0x6398f4…
06-05 15:01:30	btc updown 15m 1780670700	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x28449c…
06-05 14:49:39	btc updown 15m 1780670700	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xda9d06…
06-05 14:49:39	btc updown 15m 1780670700	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xbacfe4…
06-05 14:49:39	btc updown 15m 1780670700	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb6f2f9…
06-05 14:49:39	btc updown 15m 1780670700	Up	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0x604da7…
06-05 13:00:33	btc updown 15m 1780664400	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb543e3…
06-05 13:00:31	btc updown 15m 1780664400	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xfbb7dc…
06-05 13:00:31	btc updown 15m 1780664400	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xaeedf4…
06-05 13:00:31	btc updown 15m 1780664400	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x67d173…
06-05 13:00:31	btc updown 15m 1780664400	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x125be4…
06-05 12:53:03	btc updown 15m 1780663500	Up	BUY	67	52¢	$35	0x913f83…
06-05 09:16:24	btc updown 15m 1780650900	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe03d4e…
06-05 09:16:24	btc updown 15m 1780650900	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x7a897a…
06-05 09:16:24	btc updown 15m 1780650900	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x22d229…
06-05 09:16:22	btc updown 15m 1780650900	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x89b324…
06-05 08:34:16	btc updown 15m 1780648200	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x75ce5c…
06-04 18:30:31	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 2pm et	Up	SELL	81	86¢	$69	0x2bcde9…
06-04 18:08:51	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xd00204…
06-04 17:36:24	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	78	7¢	$5	0xa26989…
06-04 17:00:22	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbeced6…
06-04 17:00:22	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x7060b3…
06-04 17:00:21	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb120b5…
06-04 17:00:21	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x95206a…
06-04 17:00:21	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x53b876…
06-04 17:00:19	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xbd0e31…
06-04 17:00:19	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9114c2…
06-04 16:58:40	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0xc69958…
06-04 16:04:30	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xbe9720…
06-04 15:22:04	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0xd6ce51…
06-04 15:00:03	btc updown 15m 1780585200	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xee5d90…
06-04 15:00:03	btc updown 15m 1780585200	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe9f3b2…
06-04 15:00:03	btc updown 15m 1780585200	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xe7e0d3…
06-04 15:00:03	btc updown 15m 1780585200	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xaa0793…
06-04 14:58:46	btc updown 15m 1780584300	Up	SELL	58	12¢	$7	0x6bd387…
06-04 14:48:19	btc updown 15m 1780584300	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x1152c5…
06-04 13:04:31	btc updown 15m 1780578000	Down	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xf1bdc5…
06-04 13:03:22	btc updown 15m 1780578000	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x7900ab…
06-04 13:03:21	btc updown 15m 1780578000	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xeb47a7…
06-04 13:03:21	btc updown 15m 1780578000	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd346c3…
06-04 13:03:21	btc updown 15m 1780578000	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x5c511c…
06-04 13:03:21	btc updown 15m 1780578000	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x44241e…
06-04 13:03:21	btc updown 15m 1780578000	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x27f707…
06-04 13:03:21	btc updown 15m 1780578000	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x1be7ab…
06-04 13:03:19	btc updown 15m 1780578000	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x3e3d30…
06-04 13:03:19	btc updown 15m 1780578000	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x05958c…
06-04 12:45:39	btc updown 15m 1780577100	Down	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xb5f855…
06-04 11:10:58	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xeded61…
06-04 11:10:58	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0xe37c09…
06-04 11:10:58	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x99ae5d…
06-04 11:10:58	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x76351a…
06-04 11:10:58	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4ed522…
06-04 11:10:58	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	19	40¢	$7	0x04c232…
06-03 16:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x1f80d2…
06-03 15:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0x863429…
06-03 15:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x258fb6…
06-03 15:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x03c500…
06-03 14:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xb5ada8…
06-03 14:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x618eb5…
06-03 12:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xad6d98…
06-03 11:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x2419f6…