Definite-Polarization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$776

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

1,609

Trades

4,689

lifetime

Volume

$192.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 10-30 15:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 178 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% -$773

Other

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8AM ET	45	$3.6K	2,712	2,712	+0	Up	+$566	05-22 13:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 21:30 UTC	17	$3.0K	2,050	2,023	+27	Down	+$1,023	04-14 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11AM ET	5	$3.0K	2,043	2,043	+0	Up	+$1,045	04-28 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10AM ET	3	$3.0K	2,368	1,523	+845	Up	+$58	05-14 15:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 18:15 UTC	30	$2.5K	1,636	1,636	+0	Down	+$769	04-10 18:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 12:00 UTC	3	$2.4K	1,415	1,386	+29	Up	+$395	04-07 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6AM ET	27	$2.3K	1,500	1,500	+0	Down	+$703	04-29 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11AM ET	49	$2.2K	1,456	2,068	-612	Up	+$94	05-22 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6AM ET	24	$2.1K	1,408	1,408	+0	Down	+$689	04-30 11:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11AM ET	7	$2.1K	1,247	1,247	+0	Up	+$400	05-19 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7AM ET	21	$1.8K	1,038	1,400	-362	Down	+$645	05-21 11:49
ethereum up or down april 24 2026 12pm et	7	$1.6K	931	918	+14	Down	+$220	04-24 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12PM ET	4	$1.6K	2,041	1,003	+1,038	Up	-$508	10-16 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4AM ET	7	$1.5K	1,317	1,317	+0	Down	-$3	10-16 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	48	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$490	05-13 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1AM ET	1	$1.4K	1,567	0	+1,567	Down	+$117	05-13 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10AM ET	10	$1.4K	900	900	+0	Up	+$440	05-16 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12PM ET	15	$1.2K	2,300	0	+2,300	Down	-$1,242	04-29 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5AM ET	4	$1.2K	690	690	+0	Up	+$15	05-06 10:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 14:00 UTC	2	$1.2K	850	818	+33	Down	+$435	04-24 14:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 17:45 UTC	31	$1.2K	1,161	1,000	+161	Up	+$80	04-22 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	4	$1.1K	860	860	+0	Down	+$105	10-27 10:00
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 8am et	2	$1.0K	734	704	+30	Up	+$414	04-20 13:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 11:30 UTC	3	$1.0K	2,020	0	+2,020	Up	+$1,012	04-23 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6AM ET	13	$1.0K	661	661	+0	Up	+$318	05-19 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11AM ET	27	$992	700	700	+0	Down	+$310	05-13 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$991	607	607	+0	Up	+$211	05-03 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	26	$978	1,950	0	+1,950	Down	-$978	05-13 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	3	$975	789	789	+0	Down	+$589	05-13 20:15
bitcoin up or down april 3 2026 12pm et	8	$971	710	704	+6	Up	+$302	04-03 16:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xd925b4…
10-30 15:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	150	16¢	$24	0x761cc0…
10-30 14:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x6124ca…
10-30 14:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x8a2631…
10-30 13:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	64	64¢	$41	0x10e4d4…
10-30 12:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	183	48¢	$88	0xe8aefc…
10-30 12:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	493	51¢	$252	0x5b9184…
10-30 12:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0xbdbead…
10-30 12:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0xb8dad7…
10-30 12:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0xb51aaa…
10-30 12:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x699fea…
10-30 12:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x4d6480…
10-30 12:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0xdc47b2…
10-30 12:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$5	0x2a8c4a…
10-30 11:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x264064…
10-30 10:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	35	46¢	$16	0x619f66…
10-30 10:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	32	53¢	$17	0xb0cc6c…
10-30 10:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0x783c8b…
10-30 10:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0x297c15…
10-30 10:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	198	50¢	$99	0x4a38ef…
10-30 10:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdfe3b0…
10-30 10:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x97a0cf…
10-29 16:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	256	50¢	$128	0x33dad3…
10-29 16:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x538b3a…
10-29 16:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x30273f…
10-29 16:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x13033c…
10-29 16:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xcd4554…
10-29 16:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x90b45a…
10-29 16:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x21a349…
10-29 16:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xd7b662…
10-29 13:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xe46774…
10-29 13:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	250	59¢	$148	0x160985…
10-29 12:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	31	50¢	$16	0x08c99c…
10-29 12:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	328	50¢	$164	0x00401e…
10-29 12:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xfc56af…
10-29 12:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xd93dd9…
10-29 10:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x154bba…
10-29 08:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb472ca…
10-29 04:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	114	99¢	$113	0xfe5ec6…
10-29 04:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xd10a44…
10-28 17:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	156	98¢	$152	0xc635b6…
10-28 16:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	156	54¢	$84	0xe8263b…
10-28 16:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	104	18¢	$19	0xfe3a70…
10-28 16:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xa4f13f…
10-28 15:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xb471ae…
10-28 15:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x62c55d…
10-28 15:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	385	39¢	$150	0xb9f78f…
10-28 14:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	32	56¢	$18	0xc8279b…
10-28 14:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	42	45¢	$19	0xe825cf…
10-28 14:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	42	57¢	$24	0x0ea45b…
10-28 13:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	281	53¢	$150	0x537349…
10-28 06:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	82	86¢	$70	0x1774f5…
10-28 05:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	64	75¢	$48	0x4b7df3…
10-28 05:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	57	71¢	$40	0x9f3522…
10-28 04:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0x3ad50b…
10-28 04:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	142	5¢	$7	0x6ba51d…
10-28 04:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	142	12¢	$17	0x1cb1ee…
10-27 19:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	61	74¢	$45	0x48c47c…
10-27 17:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	38	45¢	$17	0x92013d…
10-27 16:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	262	38¢	$100	0x4a2ff1…
10-27 16:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xcbb58d…
10-27 16:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	396	49¢	$194	0xbfadee…
10-27 16:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xb0ec66…
10-27 16:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x070799…
10-27 16:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x78a1c4…
10-27 16:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x75b51e…
10-27 16:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x06f7ce…
10-27 16:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xa5b14f…
10-27 16:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0x66ec72…
10-27 16:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcf1f7b…
10-27 16:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa0c1ba…
10-27 16:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x92274a…
10-27 16:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9cfdcf…
10-27 16:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	196	49¢	$96	0xa5c1ef…
10-27 16:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xefa512…
10-27 16:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xebf728…
10-27 16:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc469fe…
10-27 16:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9e0107…
10-27 16:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x8b189f…
10-27 15:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc91f2b…
10-27 15:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1fc111…
10-27 15:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0x1100ae…
10-27 15:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	237	38¢	$90	0xf80af4…
10-27 15:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	254	51¢	$129	0x06c588…
10-27 15:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb84aed…
10-27 15:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x318c8f…
10-27 15:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xc7c6a4…
10-27 15:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x34fb2b…
10-27 14:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x73a1b2…
10-27 14:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	56	62¢	$35	0x569c6e…
10-27 14:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x4f3658…
10-27 13:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	8	45¢	$3	0x8d176e…
10-27 13:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	106	45¢	$48	0xcd86ed…
10-27 13:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x58dbdd…
10-27 12:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	54	83¢	$45	0x80db55…
10-27 11:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xe5a6be…
10-27 11:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5ab9ff…
10-27 11:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x27619d…
10-27 11:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8b5394…
10-27 10:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	529	34¢	$180	0x423f9b…