Overlooked-Formicarium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

678

Trades

695

lifetime

Volume

$14.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 08-18 03:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 105 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 98% +$17

Other

7% 94% -$37

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down on july 25 2026	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-25 15:37
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-04 04:00 UTC	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	07-04 07:58
bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 5pm et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	06-11 21:57
ethereum up or down on august 15 2026	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	08-15 15:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	05-10 03:56
xrp up or down july 17 2026 7pm et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-17 23:57
bitcoin up or down on july 3 2026	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-03 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-30 20:56
xrp up or down july 10 2026 6pm et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-10 22:58
bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 2am et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-05 06:58
bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 5am et	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	07-04 09:58
Ethereum Up or Down on May 31?	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-31 15:39
solana up or down on august 15 2026	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	08-15 15:30
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-29 16:00 UTC	1	$50	53	+53	Down	+$3	07-29 19:50
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-04 16:00 UTC	1	$50	52	+52	Up	+$2	07-04 19:50
bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 2am et	1	$50	52	+52	Up	+$2	07-23 06:55
ethereum up or down june 10 2026 2pm et	1	$50	52	+52	Down	+$2	06-10 18:57
bitcoin up or down on june 21 2026	1	$50	52	+52	Up	+$2	06-21 15:39
solana up or down on august 14 2026	1	$50	53	+53	Down	+$3	08-14 15:33
wti closes above 74 on june 22 2026	1	$50	54	+54	Yes	+$4	06-22 20:44
bitcoin up or down on august 15 2026	1	$50	53	+53	Up	+$3	08-15 15:30
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 04:00 UTC	1	$50	53	+53	Up	+$3	08-17 07:52
xrp up or down june 30 2026 1pm et	1	$50	53	+53	Down	+$3	06-30 17:56
bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 8am et	1	$50	53	+53	Up	+$3	07-07 12:55
wti closes above 85 on august 17 2026	1	$50	51	+51	No	+$1	08-17 20:44
wti closes above 78 on august 6 2026	1	$50	51	+51	Yes	+$1	08-06 20:54
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-07 16:00 UTC	1	$50	54	+54	Up	+$4	08-07 19:53
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-18 12:00 UTC	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	07-18 15:53
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-24 00:00 UTC	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	07-24 03:57
ethereum up or down july 11 2026 7am et	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	07-11 11:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 03:13:36	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x14b5f1…
08-17 20:44:28	ng up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xdcb40c…
08-17 20:44:24	wti closes above 85 on august 17 2026	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x76c4fb…
08-17 15:39:55	xrp up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x3fa72c…
08-17 15:39:51	solana up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x907d9f…
08-17 15:39:48	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 17?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x01ff1c…
08-17 15:39:43	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 17?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x97080f…
08-17 15:39:40	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 17?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0fdbf8…
08-17 15:39:37	ethereum above 1900 on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x5e9127…
08-17 07:52:43	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x674e7f…
08-16 19:53:09	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-16 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xa389cd…
08-15 18:55:27	ethereum up or down august 15 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x187b06…
08-15 15:46:18	ethereum up or down on august 15 2026	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x3d12d7…
08-15 15:30:49	solana up or down on august 15 2026	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x5ceba1…
08-15 15:30:46	bitcoin up or down on august 15 2026	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x3201fa…
08-15 15:30:43	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on August 15?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x110695…
08-14 20:53:46	ng up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xcc4586…
08-14 20:53:43	xagusd up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x07e46c…
08-14 18:43:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x35c771…
08-14 15:33:40	solana up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x485b0a…
08-14 15:33:37	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 14?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd2bba2…
08-14 15:33:33	xrp above 1 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x9881fc…
08-14 03:50:51	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1980cd…
08-13 20:57:49	Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x64eca1…
08-13 20:32:09	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on August 13?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x16fcd7…
08-13 16:58:31	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd83acd…
08-13 16:58:27	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x369e36…
08-13 16:58:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x242301…
08-13 14:55:52	ethereum up or down august 13 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x5365d0…
08-13 06:56:09	solana up or down august 13 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x983cc3…
08-13 01:44:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xacbe93…
08-12 16:57:24	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x632df3…
08-12 15:40:18	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 12?	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x8d1e6b…
08-12 15:40:15	ethereum above 1900 on august 12 2026	No	BUY	32	91¢	$29	0x71710c…
08-11 23:28:40	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xa146c1…
08-11 21:55:21	bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe6e862…
08-11 15:31:13	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on August 11?	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xbc7956…
08-11 15:31:10	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 11?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xf3f450…
08-11 15:31:07	xrp above 1 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x0446dd…
08-11 08:28:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x2fad01…
08-10 17:59:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xc885f5…
08-10 17:59:01	ethereum up or down august 10 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x55451b…
08-10 15:40:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 10?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x0ebc79…
08-10 15:38:06	bitcoin above 64k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x064b46…
08-10 15:38:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 10?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xfd6321…
08-10 15:37:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 10?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x9ac907…
08-10 06:09:22	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7acb98…
08-09 15:37:31	bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x1e140c…
08-09 05:59:43	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x233435…
08-08 03:13:34	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2b3249…
08-07 19:53:52	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-07 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xdbfeb6…
08-07 03:58:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x6f0611…
08-06 20:54:44	wti closes above 78 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x3b3d44…
08-06 15:35:23	bitcoin up or down on august 6 2026	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xf41798…
08-06 15:35:18	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 6?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x177a8f…
08-06 15:35:15	ethereum above 1900 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6b67b4…
08-06 15:31:26	solana up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x06b7bd…
08-06 11:09:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf59bc4…
08-05 15:31:42	bitcoin up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x11dfac…
08-05 15:14:18	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xb3017f…
08-05 11:44:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xcbba3d…
08-05 03:54:44	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-05 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x7f79d1…
08-04 08:13:23	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x274970…
08-04 08:13:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xe8e8d8…
08-04 00:59:06	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf6595e…
08-03 15:49:51	ethereum up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	54	91¢	$49	0xa990ad…
08-03 15:49:47	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd00259…
08-03 15:46:15	xrp up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x044af9…
08-03 08:04:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x76bac2…
08-03 08:04:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe4c7b4…
08-03 08:04:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x396f24…
08-03 00:44:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x34150b…
08-02 15:44:18	ethereum up or down on august 2 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x526360…
08-02 15:44:15	bitcoin up or down on august 2 2026	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x23a892…
08-02 06:58:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xf13068…
08-02 06:58:03	ethereum up or down august 2 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf73c4e…
08-01 19:43:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x267746…
08-01 18:28:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x672b67…
08-01 15:14:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x7d3fc3…
08-01 11:59:05	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe72a5c…
08-01 07:57:44	ethereum up or down august 1 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0x8baf23…
08-01 02:57:11	xrp up or down july 31 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xcebb32…
07-31 20:43:53	wti closes above 84 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x97b877…
07-31 20:43:45	wti closes above 85 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0x98f091…
07-31 12:57:36	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x849850…
07-31 05:55:38	xrp up or down july 31 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x19825d…
07-31 03:58:56	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x909b72…
07-31 03:58:53	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x1bef46…
07-31 03:58:26	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-31 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x0c6ec8…
07-31 02:58:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xbaad93…
07-30 23:56:15	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-30 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x71a715…
07-30 20:29:38	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xdb6c2a…
07-30 20:29:38	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x9fee8b…
07-30 20:29:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x1b9a4c…
07-30 20:28:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x4f674a…
07-30 17:56:53	solana up or down july 30 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x90b4de…
07-30 12:56:06	solana up or down july 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1cd08f…
07-30 12:56:03	ethereum up or down july 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5f84e4…
07-30 10:13:08	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1e5a67…
07-30 08:09:17	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x598a87…