Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.5%

Resolved

582

Trades

2,417

lifetime

Volume

$5.27M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.18K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 09-12 03:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

84% 100% +$19,068

Politics

8% 92% +$7,066

Sports

5% 100% +$290

Crypto

3% 100% +$150

Tech

0% 100% +$8

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	6	$2.16M	2,165,140	0	+2,165,140	No	+$2,165	01-28 15:14
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	32	$302.8K	304,038	0	+304,038	Yes	+$1,270	02-01 00:46
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	58	$159.7K	161,620	0	+161,620	Yes	+$1,938	01-28 15:50
Will the US strike Somalia next?	15	$144.4K	144,534	0	+144,534	Yes	+$145	01-30 01:19
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	109	$121.4K	0	122,154	-122,154	Yes	-$755	03-04 16:08
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	14	$110.1K	111,825	51,119	+60,706	No	+$3,765	01-30 10:02
Will the US strike Iran next?	6	$77.2K	77,627	0	+77,627	No	+$432	01-30 01:13
nflx above 70 on january 30 2026	2	$67.8K	67,916	0	+67,916	Yes	+$72	01-30 19:05
bitcoin above 86k on january 30	1	$66.5K	66,545	0	+66,545	No	+$67	01-30 16:44
ufc raf mau4 2026 01 31	1	$59.9K	60,000	0	+60,000	Ruffy	+$60	02-01 03:38
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	34	$51.1K	51,119	111,825	-60,706	No	+$375	01-30 18:07
uel por1 ran1 2026 01 29 por1	64	$41.1K	41,177	0	+41,177	Yes	+$41	01-30 00:01
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	34	$37.4K	37,914	0	+37,914	Yes	+$507	01-29 18:21
will gold gc hit low 4900 by end of february 837 718 553 296 868 122 264 951 762	2	$36.6K	36,629	0	+36,629	Yes	+$38	01-31 12:02
spx close 6800 6900 jan 2026	3	$36.0K	36,072	0	+36,072	No	+$41	01-30 23:28
will powell say good afternoon during january press conference 696 565	23	$35.1K	35,479	0	+35,479	Yes	+$391	01-28 19:32
will silver si hit low 85 by end of february 666 983 156 154 856 746 471 757	1	$31.4K	31,471	0	+31,471	Yes	+$70	01-31 11:41
tsla up or down on january 28 2026	6	$23.2K	23,273	0	+23,273	Up	+$31	01-29 04:47
si settle above 85 jan 2026	1	$22.0K	21,998	0	+21,998	No	+$22	01-31 06:48
spx up or down on january 27 2026	3	$20.8K	20,919	0	+20,919	Up	+$100	01-27 20:46
tsla up or down on january 29 2026	3	$20.6K	20,620	0	+20,620	Down	+$28	01-29 20:41
uel cel3 utr1 2026 01 29 cel3	58	$19.9K	19,919	0	+19,919	Yes	+$20	01-30 01:36
will silver si hit low 90 by end of february 439 518 716 416 258 711 739 244	1	$19.7K	19,773	0	+19,773	Yes	+$29	01-31 11:43
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01 set handicap home 2pt5	14	$19.4K	19,431	0	+19,431	Djokovic	+$19	02-01 14:37
gc above 4800 jan 2026	4	$17.9K	17,915	0	+17,915	No	+$18	01-31 07:27
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	1	$17.5K	17,685	0	+17,685	Yes	+$177	01-29 01:06
spx above 6960 jan 2026	5	$17.4K	17,454	0	+17,454	No	+$17	01-30 23:45
us government funding lapse on january 31	1	$17.4K	17,412	0	+17,412	Yes	+$17	01-31 05:07
uel pao2 rom1 2026 01 29 rom1	5	$16.5K	16,508	0	+16,508	No	+$17	01-30 01:09
uel not ftc 2026 01 29 not	1	$16.4K	16,381	0	+16,381	Yes	+$16	01-29 21:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-12 03:45:24	Spread: Missouri (-20.5)	Kansas	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x0b6c43…
07-02 07:38:50	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	250	100¢	$249	0xe9e9fe…
07-02 07:16:13	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x670ca0…
06-02 00:07:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,011	99¢	$1,005	0xa7fb60…
05-02 10:06:00	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,004	0x495e7f…
04-01 23:02:57	coin up or down on april 1 2026	Down	BUY	1,011	100¢	$1,010	0x0a8014…
03-04 16:08:57	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6c03cc…
03-04 16:08:57	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	19,997	100¢	$19,897	0x657863…
03-04 16:08:55	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	19,845	100¢	$19,746	0x6c16d0…
03-04 16:08:51	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	20,002	99¢	$19,882	0x72c90d…
03-04 02:22:29	Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xca988e…
03-03 19:10:23	Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x5a1ade…
03-03 19:10:13	Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x55415f…
03-03 19:09:45	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd10b53…
03-03 19:03:05	Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdf1418…
03-01 22:25:33	Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	4,697	0¢	$5	0xfd66a3…
03-01 18:01:51	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x728665…
03-01 18:01:27	Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,121	0¢	$2	0xd3b23b…
03-01 18:01:21	Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x79a3fd…
03-01 14:21:19	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xecca9d…
03-01 14:21:01	Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe3e121…
02-28 07:59:23	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x66a818…
02-28 07:58:57	Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6a70b1…
02-27 19:05:33	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	11,736	0¢	$12	0x1efa9c…
02-27 03:57:02	Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,031	0¢	$2	0xeff6bf…
02-27 03:56:34	Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,033	0¢	$2	0xda14ba…
02-27 01:13:46	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	7,570	0¢	$8	0xc1446d…
02-26 19:14:42	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x133c44…
02-26 16:21:28	Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	3,087	0¢	$3	0x5e3f93…
02-26 11:07:14	Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	343	0¢	$0	0x427509…
02-26 08:20:06	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc70715…
02-26 08:19:44	Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	158	0¢	$0	0x685223…
02-26 08:18:54	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe68b4a…
02-25 06:34:44	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x60bbd6…
02-23 21:12:12	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0xe874b4…
02-23 14:44:56	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x33b7eb…
02-23 14:25:08	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x304874…
02-23 13:24:20	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xaa4ef9…
02-23 00:10:46	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xe4423b…
02-23 00:01:40	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x93519c…
02-22 23:53:10	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x0d7aad…
02-22 20:20:30	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x323208…
02-22 20:19:02	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x5f7985…
02-22 20:17:30	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x6d0877…
02-22 20:15:56	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x32c02c…
02-22 20:14:18	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xe85df1…
02-22 20:12:42	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xeedb7f…
02-22 20:11:08	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xe32050…
02-22 20:09:18	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x0b64b6…
02-22 14:48:28	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,052	0¢	$2	0xd5b210…
02-22 14:47:16	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,054	0¢	$2	0x046257…
02-21 18:17:08	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x849762…
02-21 18:16:08	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0xe40f10…
02-20 23:40:52	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,010	0¢	$1	0xb16e99…
02-20 21:31:44	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x48171c…
02-20 09:22:18	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,500	0¢	$2	0x1b8271…
02-20 07:48:16	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x420ee0…
02-20 06:18:22	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x134e86…
02-20 05:50:00	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe84256…
02-20 05:49:58	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x65dff1…
02-20 05:41:22	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x56166d…
02-20 04:08:32	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x3edb80…
02-20 04:08:22	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xfc48d0…
02-20 00:52:30	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xaec9b5…
02-20 00:52:10	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x9a6bd8…
02-19 18:51:16	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,050	0¢	$1	0xf88da4…
02-19 18:51:08	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,420	0¢	$1	0x4bc0b5…
02-18 18:53:42	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb19c95…
02-18 11:06:36	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0xbc6171…
02-18 04:05:46	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xa20459…
02-17 08:35:17	Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,013	0¢	$2	0x14520c…
02-16 20:50:33	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe8c96b…
02-16 20:50:33	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbe9063…
02-16 19:08:35	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	7,921	0¢	$8	0x42e632…
02-16 15:31:03	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	4,880	0¢	$5	0x895b88…
02-16 13:15:17	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x78f650…
02-16 13:13:39	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0b2e3d…
02-16 13:00:41	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0x7678b6…
02-16 03:52:53	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xaeb812…
02-16 03:52:43	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xa64636…
02-15 19:54:17	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xac784b…
02-15 17:59:45	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x030c97…
02-15 17:59:41	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x96d88b…
02-15 12:48:07	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xab918b…
02-15 12:48:07	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x873b77…
02-15 06:38:33	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x2125bf…
02-14 19:05:25	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd146ba…
02-14 15:50:43	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x42bf4a…
02-14 14:46:15	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4ab29a…
02-14 14:39:05	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0b4580…
02-14 13:11:57	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf3c16f…
02-14 08:18:35	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,850	0¢	$3	0x1ce8b0…
02-14 05:17:01	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0x7db660…
02-14 05:16:33	Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,790	0¢	$2	0x5e73c5…
02-13 20:09:15	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1440ac…
02-13 19:49:37	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x05373c…
02-13 19:32:39	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	3,750	0¢	$4	0x3f3f4c…
02-13 19:06:59	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	3,750	0¢	$4	0x542fce…
02-13 16:43:15	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xc45bd9…
02-13 14:09:29	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xf6a8f0…