Puzzling-Arrow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 06-30 12:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 100% +$0

Politics

30% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	18	$218	3,306	3,306	+0	open	—	02-22 14:59
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	7	$136	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	02-22 15:23
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-12 13:19
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-10 09:54
ethereum above 2300 on april 9	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-09 14:44
bitcoin above 78k on april 8	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-08 08:32
bitcoin above 74k on april 7	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-07 10:25
bitcoin above 76k on april 6	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-05 18:22
will bitcoin reach 73k on april 4	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-04 14:51
bitcoin above 74k on april 1	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-01 04:04
bitcoin above 72k on march 31	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-31 08:12
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$23	24	0	+24	open	—	03-30 11:12
bitcoin above 70k on march 29	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-29 08:00
bitcoin above 60k on march 28	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-28 05:57
bitcoin above 74k on march 26	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-26 09:18
will bitcoin reach 77k on march 25	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-25 16:32
bitcoin above 76k on march 24	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-24 08:50
bitcoin above 74k on march 23	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-23 08:21
bitcoin above 64k on march 22	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-22 11:56
ethereum above 2300 on march 21	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-21 13:25
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-20 08:46
bitcoin above 74k on march 19	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-19 12:39
will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-18 12:38
will iran strike israel on march 4	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-07 19:18
will iran strike israel on march 10	1	$22	23	0	+23	open	—	03-13 16:46
bitcoin above 66k on june 26 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	06-26 06:28
ethereum above 1800 on june 23 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	06-23 10:06
ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	06-12 12:31
bitcoin above 64k on june 30 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	06-30 12:14
bitcoin above 62k on march 12	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	03-12 09:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 18:42:25	bitcoin above 66k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd2a98d…
06-30 12:14:53	bitcoin above 64k on june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xaeb392…
06-28 08:16:02	ethereum above 1700 on june 28 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x38d51e…
06-26 06:28:07	bitcoin above 66k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x1a4760…
06-25 12:59:55	bitcoin above 66k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9fc906…
06-23 10:06:41	ethereum above 1800 on june 23 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3390fd…
06-21 11:24:16	bitcoin above 68k on june 21 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf561eb…
06-19 10:34:58	bitcoin above 66k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x51ed3c…
06-14 13:27:45	ethereum above 1900 on june 14 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x06e8c8…
06-14 10:30:40	ethereum above 1100 on june 14 2026	No	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xcfe712…
06-12 12:31:40	ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9a524d…
06-11 01:02:46	bitcoin above 68k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x899e0d…
06-06 11:39:06	ethereum above 1800 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x07c3d5…
06-04 09:03:09	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf30c9c…
05-28 02:16:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf736a8…
05-23 11:24:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf0b31a…
05-21 12:03:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x41bfa1…
05-18 14:34:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b1e97…
05-14 09:17:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x17a74f…
05-10 09:27:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x2cdea8…
05-07 12:57:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbd0ef3…
05-03 08:43:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdeb687…
04-27 09:52:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xba10f1…
04-26 12:44:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x718158…
04-24 10:01:10	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x411697…
04-23 09:40:18	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42f1cb…
04-22 13:59:42	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x962576…
04-20 13:54:22	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7d84f7…
04-19 14:49:48	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4bd45e…
04-18 13:54:44	bitcoin above 78k on april 18	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2f64da…
04-17 14:30:54	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa02641…
04-16 15:11:52	bitcoin above 76k on april 16	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x45e2d1…
04-15 10:06:54	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x022149…
04-14 12:30:45	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x718d1a…
04-13 09:19:01	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c0587…
04-13 01:05:15	will bitcoin reach 76k april 6 12	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7adcdc…
04-12 13:19:45	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x8a48f0…
04-10 09:54:55	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0da14c…
04-09 14:44:05	ethereum above 2300 on april 9	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x7df219…
04-08 08:32:01	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x24639a…
04-07 10:25:39	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd25ef5…
04-05 18:22:23	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1d7355…
04-04 14:51:23	will bitcoin reach 73k on april 4	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x862d49…
04-01 04:04:35	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x5e9321…
03-31 08:12:51	bitcoin above 72k on march 31	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x477e19…
03-30 11:12:24	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x517db9…
03-29 08:00:32	bitcoin above 70k on march 29	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf380dc…
03-28 05:57:11	bitcoin above 60k on march 28	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6e2a94…
03-26 09:18:43	bitcoin above 74k on march 26	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x80ad1e…
03-25 16:32:39	will bitcoin reach 77k on march 25	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x2e7a87…
03-24 08:50:33	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x9a2659…
03-23 08:21:43	bitcoin above 74k on march 23	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x8d692a…
03-22 11:56:23	bitcoin above 64k on march 22	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa5620a…
03-21 13:25:13	ethereum above 2300 on march 21	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x712437…
03-20 08:46:25	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc31049…
03-19 12:39:47	bitcoin above 74k on march 19	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xdb31da…
03-18 12:38:25	will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0c8619…
03-13 16:46:01	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0x468471…
03-12 09:53:51	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x6b7400…
03-07 19:18:33	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x10b6f9…
03-04 10:12:01	will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x07acf2…
03-03 14:08:59	solana up or down on march 3	Down	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x4b2817…
02-22 15:23:18	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	SELL	2,845	2¢	$48	0x573365…
02-22 15:22:26	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xf3011b…
02-22 15:22:24	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	SELL	118	2¢	$2	0x5f8210…
02-22 15:21:48	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0x81ea7a…
02-22 15:21:12	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$3	0x6542f7…
02-22 15:20:46	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	SELL	819	2¢	$14	0xa98564…
02-22 15:20:10	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	4,000	2¢	$68	0xe962b8…
02-22 14:59:12	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x1d7384…
02-22 14:59:10	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	735	3¢	$24	0x977b00…
02-22 14:56:36	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	46	3¢	$2	0x8e91c7…
02-22 14:54:00	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	48	3¢	$2	0x64d2fa…
02-22 14:53:50	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0xe5df4b…
02-22 14:52:16	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x93deda…
02-22 14:50:22	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	46	3¢	$2	0xed5883…
02-22 14:49:48	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	48	3¢	$2	0xb62f2c…
02-22 14:48:20	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xabb625…
02-22 14:48:08	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x0d8fd7…
02-22 14:47:56	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x7c68cf…
02-22 14:47:42	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	787	3¢	$26	0x879e2f…
02-22 13:39:42	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	733	3¢	$24	0x5006f5…
02-22 13:39:10	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0xfbf6aa…
02-22 13:39:08	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,034	3¢	$34	0x8c0213…
02-22 12:43:56	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,500	3¢	$50	0x8bef4e…
02-22 12:43:22	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	732	3¢	$24	0x1f643e…
02-22 12:42:46	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	768	3¢	$25	0x47c0b8…