Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$189

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

47.5%

Resolved

410

Trades

1,415

lifetime

Volume

$4.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$454

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 10-30 23:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 51% -$121

Other

18% 43% -$33

Politics

6% 50% -$3

Tech

0% 50% -$27

Sports

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 651 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		-451	-$443	99¢	$-445	-$2	10-05 03:32
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	—	+9	$4	99¢	$9	+$5	10-31 01:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	12	$443	0	451	-451	open	—	10-05 03:32
Will Bill Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?	1	$195	208	0	+208	Yes	+$13	02-16 18:40
jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	7	$148	537	537	+0	No	-$19	02-13 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	65	$132	140	128	+12	Up	-$4	10-29 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	36	$74	89	78	+11	Down	+$2	10-29 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	31	$68	77	66	+11	Down	-$3	10-29 08:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	30	$57	66	60	+6	Down	-$2	10-29 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	26	$53	60	54	+6	Up	-$6	10-29 09:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	14	$52	41	30	+11	Down	-$3	10-29 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	14	$49	48	26	+22	Down	-$2	10-29 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	14	$46	41	32	+9	Up	$0	10-29 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	14	$41	36	26	+10	Down	+$1	10-29 02:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	15	$41	41	36	+5	Down	+$2	10-29 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	14	$38	38	25	+12	Down	-$2	10-29 00:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	13	$36	36	25	+11	Up	+$3	10-29 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	10	$35	36	20	+16	Up	+$2	10-28 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	12	$33	32	28	+4	Down	-$2	10-29 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	12	$33	36	26	+10	Up	-$5	10-29 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	13	$32	32	26	+7	Down	$0	10-29 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	9	$29	31	16	+15	Up	+$1	10-29 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	15	$29	36	21	+15	Down	-$3	10-29 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	13	$28	37	28	+9	Down	-$6	10-28 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	9	$28	26	21	+5	Up	-$3	10-29 10:08
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	9	$28	26	24	+2	Down	-$1	10-30 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	13	$28	37	22	+14	Down	+$1	10-29 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	9	$27	26	16	+10	Up	+$1	10-29 04:08
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	7	$25	22	12	+11	Up	+$3	10-30 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	8	$25	27	17	+10	Down	-$9	10-29 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	10	$24	31	20	+11	Down	+$2	10-29 03:13
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	10	$23	23	21	+2	Up	+$1	10-30 22:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 01:01:04	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xd83a39…
10-31 01:00:22	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xfb3ed5…
10-31 01:00:22	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x798e43…
10-31 00:57:34	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb464b6…
10-31 00:45:24	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3d5e9d…
10-31 00:43:13	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xc67e91…
10-31 00:42:27	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x0cf0bb…
10-31 00:42:18	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x033275…
10-31 00:42:10	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0xae91c6…
10-31 00:41:43	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xa8443d…
10-31 00:41:43	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x2f486c…
10-31 00:40:40	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0xcbef1d…
10-31 00:40:04	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xd95a73…
10-31 00:39:09	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf29e67…
10-31 00:39:09	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa12b59…
10-31 00:37:06	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x464be8…
10-31 00:31:48	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x4c4178…
10-31 00:31:06	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x995316…
10-31 00:31:04	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xa81c56…
10-31 00:30:16	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x9f3e39…
10-31 00:30:03	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x95b662…
10-31 00:28:58	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x391932…
10-31 00:28:49	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x012e87…
10-31 00:28:42	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x6fd6e9…
10-31 00:28:39	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xb8d7b3…
10-31 00:27:00	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf150ea…
10-31 00:25:15	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xf37afb…
10-31 00:25:04	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xe9625a…
10-31 00:21:55	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcc5ba6…
10-31 00:11:06	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x0c2f82…
10-31 00:11:01	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xa8015b…
10-31 00:08:55	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x2449af…
10-31 00:08:46	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x97ff5a…
10-31 00:08:40	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6b1b7a…
10-31 00:08:33	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x759e37…
10-31 00:08:13	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x404808…
10-31 00:07:24	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xd4c248…
10-31 00:05:48	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf8e31e…
10-30 23:48:49	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xc66278…
10-30 23:48:42	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x7e0cf3…
10-30 23:48:22	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x518a66…
10-30 23:47:39	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe007d5…
10-30 23:47:39	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x046d73…
10-30 23:47:18	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x366a0a…
10-30 23:47:03	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x71cd15…
10-30 23:45:52	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xfe2a8d…
10-30 23:45:52	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x4e2a32…
10-30 23:43:48	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x0bdeff…
10-30 23:43:45	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xcda725…
10-30 23:43:37	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc88dc1…
10-30 23:43:34	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd4e799…
10-30 23:43:34	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x5d233e…
10-30 23:41:15	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x9fcea8…
10-30 23:41:13	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0xe2d0a7…
10-30 23:40:18	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x6f09f1…
10-30 23:40:04	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbff5b6…
10-30 23:35:31	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x4e0181…
10-30 23:35:06	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0xecd7ac…
10-30 23:35:06	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x75738b…
10-30 23:27:04	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0x6d7882…
10-30 23:25:09	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xdd743b…
10-30 23:25:04	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xda18ad…
10-30 23:22:57	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x238189…
10-30 23:22:40	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xacdd78…
10-30 23:21:40	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x42f15b…
10-30 23:20:34	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xbecb83…
10-30 23:18:24	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x3afe30…
10-30 23:06:52	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x7ffff4…
10-30 23:06:03	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x0cab00…
10-30 23:05:46	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x033d0e…
10-30 23:05:39	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x13bb46…
10-30 23:02:19	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x981236…
10-30 23:02:13	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x020118…
10-30 23:02:09	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0xf7afe4…
10-30 23:01:43	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xadb9bb…
10-30 23:00:42	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xa7a873…
10-30 23:00:22	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x09b6e2…
10-30 22:59:00	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xc9f375…
10-30 22:58:49	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x885d0f…
10-30 22:53:43	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0xc19a5c…
10-30 22:53:30	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x450759…
10-30 22:53:30	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x318ac8…
10-30 22:53:28	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x3a4535…
10-30 22:53:13	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xb40939…
10-30 22:52:58	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x8c44f2…
10-30 22:50:24	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xcfaae6…
10-30 22:46:52	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x25f827…
10-30 22:45:07	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x558f23…
10-30 22:30:57	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x68c1eb…
10-30 22:30:37	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x2138f3…
10-30 22:23:52	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x1fccbb…
10-30 22:23:45	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe44d56…
10-30 22:23:42	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0x1236c7…
10-30 22:23:39	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x91fef8…
10-30 22:23:24	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xe1e73f…
10-30 22:23:24	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x26e0c7…
10-30 22:23:12	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x74d3c4…
10-30 22:23:01	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x72264a…
10-30 22:22:15	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3473e5…
10-30 22:20:58	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf3336b…