Instructive-Disdain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$772

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

203

lifetime

Volume

$26.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$130

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 07-16 22:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

74% 0% $-750

Sports

14% — —

Politics

7% — —

Crypto

5% 0% $-22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$1.7K	4,138	4,138	+0	open	—	05-05 11:21
rou1 fcr fuc 2026 04 05 fuc	4	$1.7K	1,854	1,805	+49	open	—	04-05 19:27
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	20	$1.2K	101,644	0	+101,644	open	—	05-21 16:13
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	3	$1.1K	1,059	1,059	+0	open	—	03-17 22:06
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	5	$972	2,245	2,245	+0	open	—	04-12 18:17
atp basilas tirante 2026 07 15	2	$885	851	851	+0	open	—	07-16 11:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	2	$800	4,259	0	+4,259	open	—	05-25 11:05
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sofia Kenin vs Bianca Andreescu	1	$750	2,143	0	+2,143	Bianca Andreescu	$-750	05-05 12:44
La Bisbal: Tamara Korpatsch vs Marina Bassols Ribera	4	$726	1,099	1,099	+0	open	—	05-02 11:31
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$702	1,512	1,512	+0	open	—	05-15 08:16
atp faria ruud 2026 07 16	4	$671	511	511	+0	open	—	07-16 13:12
Madrid Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Anastasia Potapova	3	$662	1,634	1,634	+0	open	—	04-29 12:47
76ers vs. Celtics	2	$605	605	605	+0	open	—	05-03 00:10
atp cerund kecmano 2026 07 15	2	$542	434	434	+0	open	—	07-16 10:43
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic	2	$509	1,122	1,122	+0	open	—	05-03 20:42
atp popyrin tiafoe 2026 04 03	5	$504	584	573	+11	open	—	04-04 02:14
La Bisbal: Daria Kasatkina vs Tamara Korpatsch	2	$486	441	441	+0	open	—	05-03 09:59
bl2 scp fcm 2026 04 12 scp	2	$484	395	389	+7	open	—	04-12 13:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	4	$468	1,848	1,848	+0	open	—	05-03 23:54
nba min phi 2026 04 03	4	$453	292	289	+4	open	—	04-04 01:12
lal mad bar 2026 04 04 bar	2	$431	279	275	+4	open	—	04-04 21:08
atp goffin nava 2026 04 05	3	$427	353	347	+6	open	—	04-05 11:51
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	2	$389	563	563	+0	open	—	05-04 00:07
bl2 fur scp 2026 04 05 scp	2	$365	234	234	+0	open	—	04-05 13:22
Pistons vs. Magic	3	$333	275	275	+0	open	—	05-02 00:12
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	3	$332	341	341	+0	open	—	05-02 02:00
lal get bil 2026 04 05 total 1pt5	2	$329	208	206	+3	open	—	04-05 14:17
atp molcan fokina 2026 07 16	3	$326	303	303	+0	open	—	07-16 21:32
bl2 bie svd 2026 04 04 btts	2	$324	200	200	+0	open	—	04-04 12:11
bun fre bay 2026 04 04 bay	2	$321	191	191	+0	open	—	04-04 16:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 22:32:02	atp palan valient 2026 07 16	Dominik Palan	BUY	193	21¢	$40	0x84e977…
07-16 21:32:28	atp molcan fokina 2026 07 16	Alex Molcan	SELL	204	76¢	$155	0xa0a161…
07-16 21:29:55	atp molcan fokina 2026 07 16	Alex Molcan	SELL	99	72¢	$71	0xb9330d…
07-16 20:49:32	atp molcan fokina 2026 07 16	Alex Molcan	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x4d5f2c…
07-16 13:12:41	atp faria ruud 2026 07 16	Casper Ruud	SELL	269	90¢	$242	0xba7ed1…
07-16 13:11:13	atp faria ruud 2026 07 16	Casper Ruud	SELL	242	86¢	$209	0x767f31…
07-16 12:30:10	atp faria ruud 2026 07 16	Casper Ruud	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x6e55a6…
07-16 12:26:13	atp faria ruud 2026 07 16	Casper Ruud	BUY	273	44¢	$120	0xa41b25…
07-16 11:19:05	atp basilas tirante 2026 07 15	Thiago Agustin Tirante	SELL	851	57¢	$485	0xa8b31d…
07-16 11:15:28	atp basilas tirante 2026 07 15	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	851	47¢	$400	0x46b51d…
07-16 10:56:28	atp mrva roncade 2026 07 16	Franco Roncadelli	SELL	253	65¢	$165	0x908f0d…
07-16 10:49:23	atp mrva roncade 2026 07 16	Franco Roncadelli	BUY	253	24¢	$60	0x32ee74…
07-16 10:43:38	atp cerund kecmano 2026 07 15	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	SELL	434	92¢	$399	0x4e1ac1…
07-16 08:49:14	atp cerund kecmano 2026 07 15	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	434	33¢	$143	0xfeeecf…
05-25 11:20:19	Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Jesper de Jong	Stan Wawrinka	BUY	295	38¢	$112	0x6c9217…
05-25 11:05:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	527	19¢	$100	0x30656b…
05-25 10:24:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	3,731	19¢	$700	0xa58560…
05-21 16:13:41	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	23,950	0¢	$48	0x3ae4d7…
05-21 16:13:26	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	25,000	0¢	$50	0xafa78e…
05-20 19:45:43	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	18,446	0¢	$92	0x08a252…
05-18 09:39:08	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5,820	2¢	$92	0xc65ccb…
05-17 15:12:03	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3,559	2¢	$88	0x2b1576…
05-17 12:10:47	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4,178	2¢	$92	0xa38a2d…
05-17 11:48:32	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3,925	2¢	$95	0x0b7378…
05-17 11:32:34	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4,000	2¢	$100	0x6c0d5d…
05-17 11:28:43	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,670	2¢	$41	0x5c766b…
05-16 23:17:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	833	4¢	$30	0x78fd54…
05-16 19:47:24	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,265	4¢	$45	0xbfbb94…
05-16 16:39:20	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	225	4¢	$9	0x0285c2…
05-16 14:50:59	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	258	4¢	$10	0x3249d6…
05-16 14:50:01	FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	192	100¢	$192	0x7402e1…
05-16 14:20:49	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	217	5¢	$10	0x5c121a…
05-16 13:47:45	FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x734c7b…
05-16 13:47:08	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,122	4¢	$46	0xefec5b…
05-16 12:10:44	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x5f9371…
05-16 11:39:11	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x4dd853…
05-16 11:33:43	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4,863	6¢	$290	0x50563c…
05-16 10:38:45	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,574	4¢	$69	0xb4eae3…
05-16 10:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x055b33…
05-16 10:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	153	16¢	$25	0xb7832c…
05-16 09:30:59	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	513	4¢	$20	0x78b9c3…
05-16 02:16:16	Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	Spurs	BUY	146	51¢	$74	0x926d98…
05-15 09:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x59457f…
05-15 08:16:15	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1,512	0¢	$2	0xb0a5b9…
05-14 10:18:12	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,146	7¢	$77	0xb17ec7…
05-14 10:15:49	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,512	46¢	$700	0xfd9f6c…
05-05 13:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	44	36¢	$16	0xe39b67…
05-05 12:44:52	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sofia Kenin vs Bianca Andreescu	Sofia Kenin	BUY	2,143	35¢	$750	0x4b9d17…
05-05 11:21:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	4,138	21¢	$869	0x3210b7…
05-05 10:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	32	18¢	$6	0xd642de…
05-04 15:25:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	4,138	21¢	$857	0x384403…
05-04 00:07:00	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	SELL	563	35¢	$197	0x0d794b…
05-03 23:54:46	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	563	34¢	$192	0x1b0a65…
05-03 23:54:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	1,848	11¢	$203	0xc4d4fe…
05-03 23:36:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0xd434ea…
05-03 23:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	66	45¢	$30	0x55e3d6…
05-03 23:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	148	40¢	$60	0x80b06a…
05-03 22:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	114	54¢	$61	0x77e17a…
05-03 22:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	114	54¢	$61	0x6f5e99…
05-03 21:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xac1fcf…
05-03 21:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	53	66¢	$35	0x3bfcb2…
05-03 21:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xd06129…
05-03 21:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4769db…
05-03 21:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	47	92¢	$43	0xfc5c91…
05-03 21:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x3b13dd…
05-03 21:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x4bfead…
05-03 21:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xb64927…
05-03 21:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x5f4655…
05-03 21:01:32	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	SELL	500	13¢	$65	0xf98f9f…
05-03 20:55:26	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	500	14¢	$70	0x72014c…
05-03 20:48:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	1,261	16¢	$200	0x3cb8d3…
05-03 20:42:08	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	SELL	1,122	16¢	$183	0xc976bb…
05-03 20:25:14	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	1,122	29¢	$326	0x4cafad…
05-03 15:38:52	Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	108	99¢	$106	0x550772…
05-03 15:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	409	27¢	$110	0x8754e8…
05-03 13:59:44	Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	108	66¢	$71	0x32aca2…
05-03 13:23:18	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	89	81¢	$72	0xab9680…
05-03 12:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	66	44¢	$29	0xb0c891…
05-03 12:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	66	47¢	$31	0xc4e8ec…
05-03 12:22:06	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x608552…
05-03 09:59:16	La Bisbal: Daria Kasatkina vs Tamara Korpatsch	Tamara Korpatsch	SELL	441	78¢	$345	0x3039a7…
05-03 09:18:44	La Bisbal: Daria Kasatkina vs Tamara Korpatsch	Tamara Korpatsch	BUY	441	32¢	$141	0xf64687…
05-03 07:59:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	545	11¢	$60	0x51894e…
05-03 00:10:04	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	SELL	605	60¢	$363	0x2cd09b…
05-02 23:32:24	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	605	40¢	$242	0x8646f1…
05-02 23:20:34	SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	364	26¢	$95	0x72e5c4…
05-02 23:08:20	SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	364	47¢	$171	0x0bc3ef…
05-02 11:31:52	La Bisbal: Tamara Korpatsch vs Marina Bassols Ribera	Marina Bassols Ribera	SELL	1,094	37¢	$405	0x8d9883…
05-02 11:30:34	La Bisbal: Tamara Korpatsch vs Marina Bassols Ribera	Marina Bassols Ribera	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x6aeb88…
05-02 11:12:36	La Bisbal: Tamara Korpatsch vs Marina Bassols Ribera	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0xa9d9bd…
05-02 11:06:50	La Bisbal: Tamara Korpatsch vs Marina Bassols Ribera	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	1,086	29¢	$315	0xf3e915…
05-02 10:15:56	Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0xeb91d1…
05-02 02:00:50	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Raptors	SELL	198	55¢	$109	0x5ec97c…
05-02 01:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	66	46¢	$30	0x709452…
05-02 01:16:18	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Raptors	SELL	143	75¢	$107	0x4ea7eb…
05-02 00:12:00	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	SELL	104	91¢	$95	0xfc2102…
05-02 00:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x9cbc6f…
05-02 00:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xfce978…
05-01 23:58:42	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	341	34¢	$116	0x616755…
05-01 23:55:04	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	SELL	170	75¢	$128	0x00d2ef…