Poor-Nucleotide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$280

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.4%

Resolved

Trades

886

lifetime

Volume

$17.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-22 09:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

73% 33% $-91

Other

18% 0% $-114

Sports

7% 0% $-75

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	12	$789	801	801	+0	open	—	02-28 06:54
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	21	$758	1,663	1,663	+0	open	—	04-16 17:58
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	59	$630	2,918	1,602	+1,316	open	—	04-19 17:31
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	30	$628	1,972	2,097	-125	open	—	05-06 10:25
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	5	$546	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	01-26 21:43
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	21	$524	1,673	1,773	-100	open	—	05-30 15:56
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	20	$479	900	900	+0	open	—	03-11 21:42
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	13	$442	470	470	+0	open	—	04-15 18:21
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	49	$393	2,150	1,733	+417	open	—	05-24 21:31
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	10	$385	517	517	+0	open	—	03-03 20:48
will iran strike cyprus in march	17	$372	702	802	-100	open	—	03-05 14:44
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	10	$339	1,249	1,249	+0	No	$-63	05-06 15:12
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	21	$337	1,800	1,200	+600	open	—	05-10 18:14
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	23	$325	1,800	1,097	+703	open	—	04-17 21:15
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	8	$297	232	232	+0	open	—	04-16 11:24
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	4	$291	193	193	+0	open	—	04-29 20:35
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$271	900	600	+300	open	—	03-29 20:02
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	12	$269	455	455	+0	open	—	01-15 20:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	31	$263	2,401	2,401	+0	open	—	05-18 21:38
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	10	$247	200	200	+0	open	—	03-02 13:16
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$234	151	151	+0	open	—	02-28 19:31
will iran strike turkey in march	8	$231	500	500	+0	open	—	03-04 12:20
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	12	$229	977	977	+0	open	—	04-13 18:43
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$210	500	500	+0	open	—	01-10 22:19
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$209	500	500	+0	open	—	02-23 17:12
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	7	$203	800	800	+0	open	—	02-20 18:25
epl bri ars 2026 03 04 ars	2	$201	140	140	+0	open	—	03-04 21:15
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	7	$186	820	820	+0	open	—	01-31 14:37
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	4	$182	143	143	+0	open	—	05-03 20:56
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	11	$180	900	900	+0	open	—	03-27 21:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 09:48:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x898e73…
07-22 09:42:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x358545…
07-22 09:39:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x0553d6…
07-19 17:26:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 assists lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x2023f7…
07-19 15:30:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	400	8¢	$32	0x3d9d9b…
07-19 11:50:28	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 assists lionel messi gte1	Yes	SELL	36	27¢	$10	0x46c73b…
07-19 11:46:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 assists lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xc0e032…
07-19 11:46:15	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals julian alvarez gte2	Yes	BUY	315	3¢	$10	0xee57a3…
05-30 15:56:28	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x2f946f…
05-30 15:40:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x057e58…
05-29 17:34:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	300	6¢	$19	0x1c557c…
05-27 12:17:12	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0xba90f2…
05-27 12:08:59	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x157cb2…
05-27 11:58:23	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	151	5¢	$8	0xed43d8…
05-25 12:57:42	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x08b6f1…
05-25 10:40:54	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	300	7¢	$21	0xc70a3b…
05-24 21:31:03	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	203	1¢	$3	0x995973…
05-24 20:20:43	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	270	1¢	$4	0x6ee271…
05-24 14:16:01	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x8abe16…
05-24 14:15:18	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x6c4f55…
05-24 10:05:45	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	180	2¢	$4	0x4b017c…
05-24 09:58:08	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x5d970e…
05-24 09:35:11	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$5	0x02a2a9…
05-24 07:06:01	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	245	4¢	$9	0xb631eb…
05-24 07:06:01	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	136	4¢	$5	0xa26af4…
05-23 22:24:57	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$5	0x27e87a…
05-23 22:24:56	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x08b0e3…
05-23 22:24:40	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	140	3¢	$4	0x18ca39…
05-23 22:22:50	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x841d9f…
05-23 21:48:12	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0x8ecb98…
05-23 21:10:33	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xa09251…
05-23 20:47:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x493e2e…
05-23 20:47:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0x010b07…
05-23 20:22:50	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	263	10¢	$26	0x89ffac…
05-23 19:20:43	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x118fdf…
05-23 19:05:29	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xa558cf…
05-23 19:03:27	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x122c86…
05-23 18:28:06	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0x32fa9c…
05-23 14:43:50	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x1e038c…
05-23 14:00:15	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	24	27¢	$7	0x810315…
05-23 12:49:46	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0x4f4329…
05-23 12:44:01	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0x1aaff2…
05-23 12:43:00	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0x466443…
05-23 12:41:51	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0x2d94ba…
05-23 12:40:47	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0x1b662b…
05-23 12:28:14	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xcc7042…
05-23 11:24:48	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0xf858c5…
05-23 11:22:02	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	68	16¢	$11	0x34e1fd…
05-23 11:21:28	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xd2c252…
05-23 10:44:47	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	89	15¢	$13	0x9c24b4…
05-23 08:37:04	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x9cc758…
05-22 23:43:17	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x66649c…
05-22 13:14:34	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0xdc5857…
05-22 09:03:56	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	400	19¢	$75	0x9b022a…
05-22 08:57:40	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$45	0x4b241a…
05-22 08:57:29	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0xdc965e…
05-22 08:38:30	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	301	21¢	$63	0x1410b7…
05-22 08:38:16	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	172	22¢	$38	0x2971ac…
05-21 19:06:07	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xbd8b6a…
05-21 18:17:02	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	44	17¢	$7	0xb239cb…
05-21 15:25:37	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x7715f3…
05-21 10:51:54	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xac92fc…
05-21 07:21:57	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	173	7¢	$12	0x1422c9…
05-21 06:14:49	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x1ce375…
05-20 22:26:20	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	27	16¢	$4	0x872f93…
05-20 19:01:02	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0xee1b32…
05-20 19:00:29	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	46	16¢	$7	0xa0c1cd…
05-20 18:55:21	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x7c510e…
05-20 18:50:48	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x718cf1…
05-20 18:50:25	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x8b56fd…
05-20 18:44:56	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0xba234a…
05-20 15:42:54	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	23	18¢	$4	0xa90a39…
05-20 15:20:30	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	77	18¢	$14	0x20ff4b…
05-20 13:36:56	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xacc169…
05-20 13:12:21	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	27	25¢	$7	0xff027e…
05-20 12:38:31	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa089a5…
05-20 12:31:48	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0x7474c4…
05-20 11:48:26	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xa404fc…
05-20 11:34:52	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x25f5c0…
05-20 10:39:27	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x906048…
05-20 08:43:57	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xcf758f…
05-19 21:54:49	Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Knicks	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xd31ac6…
05-19 20:42:54	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	21	67¢	$14	0x467163…
05-19 20:41:56	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x969f47…
05-19 20:19:21	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x2c9b0e…
05-19 20:19:18	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	52	17¢	$9	0x41b553…
05-19 18:57:24	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0xffec6b…
05-19 15:14:55	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xc2352e…
05-18 21:40:27	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	55	33¢	$18	0xbfc760…
05-18 21:38:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	1,001	1¢	$9	0x771abe…
05-17 16:43:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x770893…
05-17 16:41:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x15f7d1…
05-17 16:39:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xf49654…
05-17 15:11:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0x631c66…
05-17 15:04:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0x6be50f…
05-17 14:56:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2077ce…
05-17 14:55:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xd9e751…
05-17 14:54:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	66	2¢	$2	0x966869…
05-17 10:13:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	656	3¢	$20	0x03a728…
05-17 07:51:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	445	3¢	$15	0xb68be3…