Reliable-Mechanic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,440

lifetime

Volume

$5.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-25 14:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 68% $-1

Sports

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1768230000	10	$47	74	50	+24	open	—	01-12 15:12
eth updown 15m 1769836500	4	$30	26	26	+0	open	—	01-31 05:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	24	$29	77	0	+77	open	—	05-20 12:33
xrp updown 15m 1769842800	4	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	01-31 07:13
xrp updown 15m 1770218100	4	$28	23	23	+0	open	—	02-04 15:27
btc updown 15m 1768234500	12	$25	35	35	+0	open	—	01-12 16:23
sol updown 15m 1769611500	4	$22	18	18	+0	open	—	01-28 14:58
btc updown 15m 1770209100	2	$20	30	0	+30	open	—	02-04 13:00
btc updown 15m 1770218100	2	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	02-04 15:28
eth updown 15m 1770214500	2	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	02-04 14:29
xrp updown 15m 1770293700	2	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	02-05 12:27
btc updown 15m 1770215400	2	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	02-04 14:41
sol updown 15m 1770218100	2	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	02-04 15:27
btc updown 15m 1768311000	16	$20	751	23	+728	open	—	01-13 13:44
btc updown 15m 1770380100	9	$19	20	15	+5	open	—	02-06 12:32
btc updown 15m 1768312800	13	$19	36	31	+4	open	—	01-13 14:12
btc updown 15m 1768302000	12	$18	37	10	+26	open	—	01-13 11:13
btc updown 15m 1768230900	4	$18	100	100	+0	open	—	01-12 15:24
btc updown 15m 1768299300	9	$18	35	5	+30	open	—	01-13 10:26
btc updown 15m 1769956200	2	$18	19	0	+19	open	—	02-01 14:44
eth updown 15m 1769942700	2	$18	22	0	+22	open	—	02-01 10:55
btc updown 15m 1770207300	2	$18	53	0	+53	open	—	02-04 12:30
btc updown 15m 1770024600	2	$18	23	0	+23	open	—	02-02 09:43
xrp updown 15m 1770038100	2	$18	25	0	+25	open	—	02-02 13:29
xrp updown 15m 1770197400	2	$18	21	0	+21	open	—	02-04 09:43
btc updown 15m 1770128100	2	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	02-03 14:29
eth updown 15m 1770206400	2	$18	24	0	+24	open	—	02-04 12:15
sol updown 15m 1770030900	2	$18	24	0	+24	open	—	02-02 11:29
xrp updown 15m 1770032700	2	$18	21	0	+21	open	—	02-02 11:58
btc updown 15m 1770026400	2	$18	21	0	+21	open	—	02-02 10:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 14:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x74e8c7…
05-25 14:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3c4fb9…
05-25 13:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xeab66d…
05-25 13:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9cb35c…
05-25 13:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x922d7b…
05-25 12:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x1ac1c8…
05-25 12:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xcd60be…
05-20 12:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x312aa0…
05-20 12:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x832e28…
05-20 12:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xfb9e72…
05-20 12:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0xb1646b…
05-20 12:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x8ebf68…
05-20 12:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xf71fb2…
05-20 12:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x2d8c8a…
05-20 12:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xf8a75e…
05-20 12:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3d34d0…
05-20 12:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x3e2de0…
05-20 12:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb16bfc…
05-20 12:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x352eaf…
05-20 12:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2cd75b…
05-20 12:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7d27b3…
05-20 12:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x59a2b7…
05-20 12:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd3f2d0…
05-20 12:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x9364f1…
05-20 12:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x744e27…
05-20 12:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc5ab5b…
05-20 12:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8dad19…
05-20 12:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xec1e72…
05-20 12:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xa48d2d…
05-20 12:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x18f089…
05-20 12:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0xe7f1ad…
05-20 12:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0xc10466…
05-20 12:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x34f7b2…
05-20 12:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xd89194…
05-20 12:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xa2f45c…
05-20 12:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x20bbdc…
05-20 12:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xf6ab29…
05-20 12:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x6a76d0…
05-20 12:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x2ddde6…
05-20 12:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x4d93ad…
05-20 12:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xddd8b9…
05-20 12:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xc04d75…
05-20 12:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x2fe924…
05-20 12:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x0b43c7…
05-17 10:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5c8914…
05-17 10:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf08dee…
05-17 10:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0c5f1d…
05-17 09:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x026a63…
05-17 09:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x680625…
05-17 09:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbd016a…
05-17 09:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x416b4e…
05-17 09:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0e2f3e…
05-17 09:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd0e5ac…
05-17 09:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcec177…
05-17 09:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8a31fb…
05-17 09:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0c97cd…
05-17 09:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1f1d54…
05-17 09:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6a8a4b…
05-17 09:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbdf841…
05-17 09:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa581d0…
05-17 09:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc9732c…
05-17 09:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc0ccf8…
05-17 09:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5adda8…
05-17 09:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4ad5d3…
05-17 09:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xdddf7d…
05-17 08:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x5b26c9…
05-16 14:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb5f233…
05-16 14:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4ed9d8…
05-16 14:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2a9c98…
05-16 14:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc2e278…
05-16 14:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x997a7f…
05-16 13:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7bfbb1…
05-16 13:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa15413…
05-16 13:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x051b5c…
05-16 13:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7b4507…
05-16 13:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xaae43d…
05-16 13:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xd2f267…
05-16 13:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x4a122d…
05-16 12:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xc80132…
05-16 12:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xb724fa…
05-16 12:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x97596b…
05-16 12:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xc68738…
05-16 11:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x2774e2…
05-16 11:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x768ef5…
05-16 11:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x430b3d…
05-16 11:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x804ffc…
05-16 11:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x07355a…
05-16 11:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x0c46e7…
05-16 05:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0xe37759…
05-16 05:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xb0dc35…
05-16 05:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x306e76…
05-16 05:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7c8118…
05-15 19:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0x9bb452…
05-15 19:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc23483…
05-15 18:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0xc320dc…
05-15 18:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcef009…
05-13 11:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x0581e4…
05-13 11:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3cdf31…
05-13 11:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xfd65cc…
05-13 11:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x65fa24…