Close-Timber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$150

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.9%

Resolved

Trades

37,737

lifetime

Volume

$191.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 06-06 16:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

85% — —

Other

10% 13% $-150

Politics

5% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 406 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		-13	$-11	82¢	$-11	+$0	06-05 08:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will sofi technologies sofi be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	72	$4.5K	4,782	1,277	+3,505	open	—	03-07 03:29
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	19	$4.0K	2,572	2,572	+0	open	—	04-08 02:09
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?	72	$3.2K	3,465	2,975	+490	open	—	03-07 17:54
will ciena cien be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	32	$1.2K	3,464	0	+3,464	open	—	02-04 22:17
ethereum up or down february 11 1am et	36	$863	489	489	+0	open	—	02-11 06:20
bitcoin up or down february 16 7pm et	78	$848	896	652	+244	open	—	02-17 00:59
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	8	$596	300	300	+0	open	—	03-03 22:00
will alnylam pharmaceuticals alny be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	9	$579	319	319	+0	open	—	03-24 11:08
vsco quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 05 2026 2pt48	56	$558	559	0	+559	open	—	03-05 12:46
btc updown 15m 1771274700	32	$524	325	322	+3	open	—	02-16 20:56
Will Trump say "Beautiful" or "Wonderful" 12+ times during WHCA Dinner events?	3	$499	521	0	+521	open	—	04-26 00:59
btc updown 15m 1771356600	103	$472	582	500	+82	open	—	02-17 19:44
bitcoin up or down february 11 2am et	11	$439	285	274	+10	open	—	02-11 07:33
btc updown 15m 1771341300	66	$409	397	387	+10	open	—	02-17 15:30
btc updown 15m 1771354800	78	$405	468	326	+142	open	—	02-17 19:14
eth updown 15m 1771260300	68	$400	522	450	+72	open	—	02-16 16:59
btc updown 15m 1771393500	79	$386	393	330	+63	open	—	02-18 06:00
bitcoin up or down february 16 12pm et	69	$386	572	569	+3	open	—	02-16 17:54
btc updown 15m 1771283700	35	$370	312	239	+73	open	—	02-16 23:29
eth updown 15m 1771274700	24	$370	226	206	+20	open	—	02-16 20:56
bitcoin up or down february 14 4pm et	40	$363	236	230	+6	open	—	02-14 21:44
btc updown 15m 1771340400	62	$362	373	346	+27	open	—	02-17 15:14
xrp up or down february 21 6pm et	19	$346	285	220	+65	open	—	02-23 15:41
btc updown 15m 1771260300	65	$311	473	410	+63	open	—	02-16 16:59
btc updown 15m 1771269300	37	$307	332	191	+141	open	—	02-16 19:28
btc updown 15m 1771391700	72	$304	388	316	+72	open	—	02-18 05:28
btc updown 15m 1771320600	37	$302	397	201	+196	open	—	02-17 09:44
bitcoin up or down february 8 6pm et	37	$300	375	0	+375	open	—	02-08 23:31
btc updown 15m 1771362000	78	$297	388	248	+140	open	—	02-17 21:13
xrp up or down february 22 10pm et	55	$296	572	0	+572	open	—	02-23 03:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 16:01:03	will mrbeast say minecraft during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409592	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5b3dc4…
06-06 16:00:09	will mrbeast say minecraft during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409592	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xeb6ab3…
06-06 11:24:21	will mrbeast say fight during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409598	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xf157d8…
06-06 05:08:12	will mrbeast say chocolate during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409600	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xa79cb2…
06-05 08:50:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0x764af4…
06-02 23:23:37	Will "Texas" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xbc6e72…
06-02 17:09:16	Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x3d9d48…
06-02 17:06:31	Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x179f9b…
06-02 17:04:41	Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xe96337…
06-02 17:02:45	Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xaccafc…
06-02 17:00:15	Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xcf7316…
05-30 16:00:30	Will MrBeast say "Island" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0xb60aef…
05-30 16:00:16	Will MrBeast say "Island" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	74	6¢	$4	0x05211e…
05-30 14:31:32	Will MrBeast say "Karl" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xb9f656…
05-29 22:48:54	Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xa1d3b5…
05-29 22:48:50	Will "Pope" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x67dcac…
05-29 22:30:37	Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xe629ad…
05-29 21:54:46	Will MrBeast say "Strategy" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xa54c46…
05-29 21:24:52	Will MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xdd752c…
05-29 21:12:07	Will "Pope" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x721efe…
05-29 20:35:17	Will MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x7e5e53…
05-29 20:25:59	Will MrBeast say "Impressive" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5db94e…
05-29 19:37:53	Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xb7eb25…
05-29 18:34:50	Will "Prediction" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x09f14e…
05-29 17:44:55	will plastic be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 947 293	No	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0xc6d2db…
05-29 17:37:12	Will MrBeast say "Strategy" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xdeea09…
05-29 17:12:49	Will MrBeast say "Strategy" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x1a4059…
05-29 17:11:32	Will MrBeast say "Strategy" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xc85472…
05-29 17:11:32	Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x62ceda…
05-29 16:24:06	Will "Civilization" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x5f015d…
05-29 16:22:46	will globalization be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 671 429	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xcf9c21…
05-29 14:27:17	Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xb660a7…
05-29 10:55:01	Will MrBeast say "Strategy" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x13a4d0…
05-29 10:44:50	Will "Disruptive" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xed827f…
05-29 10:44:17	will comparison be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 669 678	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb537ad…
05-29 08:27:56	Will MrBeast say "Strategy" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0xe671d6…
05-29 07:38:15	Will "Disruptive" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x5ac4c5…
05-29 07:37:30	will comparison be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 669 678	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb5969a…
05-29 07:36:16	Will "Data Center" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x301711…
05-29 05:47:41	Will MrBeast say "Karl" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8b6967…
05-29 04:59:58	Will "Disruptive" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x7ddc8b…
05-29 04:54:55	Will "AI" be said 45+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x4b3ac9…
05-29 04:20:23	Will "European Union" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x8cb14f…
05-28 14:51:18	Will "Disruptive" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x0ba40b…
05-28 08:00:40	Will MrBeast say "Karl" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x95149f…
05-28 00:03:09	Will MrBeast say "MrBeast" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x097ae3…
05-27 22:00:57	Will "AI" be said 45+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x33951c…
05-27 19:25:54	will comparison be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 669 678	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xcb79fe…
05-27 18:26:45	Will "European Union" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc5a81d…
05-27 18:13:25	will comparison be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 669 678	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3f49ce…
05-27 17:52:09	Will MrBeast say "MrBeast" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe3fb94…
05-27 15:25:30	Will "AI" be said 45+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xaf2002…
05-27 15:20:52	Will "AI" be said 45+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x870dc2…
05-27 14:15:21	Will "AI" be said 45+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x41d841…
05-27 14:13:08	Will "AI" be said 45+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x1088df…
05-27 11:32:14	Will MrBeast say "MrBeast" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x95cc2e…
05-27 11:16:37	Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xe28108…
05-26 03:09:11	Will "Pyramid" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	Yes	BUY	81	4¢	$3	0xcc8b3d…
05-26 03:08:57	Will "Table" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x563cd5…
05-26 03:08:36	Will "Plastic" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	Yes	BUY	76	4¢	$3	0x64769c…
05-26 03:07:37	Will "Plastic" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	Yes	BUY	130	4¢	$5	0xa410e4…
05-26 03:07:07	Will "Conspiracy" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	Yes	BUY	55	5¢	$3	0xd04792…
05-26 03:06:39	Will "Pyramid" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	Yes	BUY	129	4¢	$5	0xebb744…
05-26 03:04:28	Will "Laptop" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	Yes	BUY	133	4¢	$5	0x3837b7…
05-26 03:04:05	Will "Plastic" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	Yes	BUY	138	4¢	$6	0xcbda64…
05-26 03:01:05	Will "Table" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x6a4612…
05-26 02:57:02	Will "Conspiracy" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	Yes	BUY	70	8¢	$6	0x013bf6…
05-26 02:55:55	Will "Conspiracy" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	Yes	BUY	48	11¢	$5	0xf2baa1…
05-26 02:54:21	Will "Pyramid" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	Yes	BUY	142	4¢	$6	0x7a0d6b…
05-26 02:52:39	Will "Conspiracy" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	Yes	BUY	38	14¢	$5	0xd99ba8…
05-26 02:52:25	Will "Laptop" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xbac976…
05-22 21:31:09	Will "AI" be said 45+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd14ecd…
05-22 15:13:18	Will "AI" be said 45+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa26908…
05-22 15:13:09	Will "Insurance" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd9acad…
05-21 23:37:08	Will "Macroeconomy" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x4fafd7…
05-21 21:25:39	Will "Macroeconomy" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x9e0192…
05-21 21:01:25	Will "Insurance" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x630075…
05-21 20:59:33	Will "Insurance" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x9ece06…
05-21 20:55:51	Will "Insurance" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$0	0xf01011…
05-21 19:07:05	Will "Prediction" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3de599…
05-21 19:07:05	Will "Insurance" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$0	0x00e6fc…
05-21 19:05:15	Will "Insurance" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x47a709…
05-21 19:05:15	Will "Prediction" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x2d42f8…
05-21 19:03:25	Will "Prediction" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x7eb0ab…
05-21 19:03:23	Will "Insurance" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xf028eb…
05-21 19:01:33	Will "Insurance" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xd40521…
05-21 19:01:33	Will "Prediction" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xb532e8…
05-21 08:20:29	Will "Prediction" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x802d88…
05-21 08:18:37	Will "Prediction" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x5093cb…
05-21 08:16:47	Will "Prediction" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xcf8821…
05-21 07:04:29	Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	94	4¢	$4	0x1dd31d…
05-21 06:57:59	Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	127	4¢	$5	0x1373db…
05-21 06:53:15	Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	99	5¢	$5	0xb060f3…
05-21 02:06:52	Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x5bfa7b…
05-21 00:31:42	Will "Prediction" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x02b0cd…
05-21 00:29:46	Will "Prediction" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x929418…
05-21 00:24:29	Will "Prediction" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x76ec4c…
05-20 23:48:37	Will "Cancer" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc46a1f…
05-18 12:59:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xc3d2ba…
05-17 14:58:01	Will "Bomb" be said 100+ times during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?	No	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x452681…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x1979…7c9d	924	$3.87M	117,920	02-23 14:59
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	853	$853	1,641	04-07 23:25
(anonymous) 0x113d…3ce8	840	$813.8K	58,535	02-23 14:59
Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038	800	$1.98K	3,244	03-18 19:27
Prestigious-Windchime 0x826b…4ac7	793	$2.19K	3,230	02-23 14:59
(anonymous) 0x1d00…0313	783	$1.65M	87,161	02-23 14:59
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	717	$2.05M	196,086	02-23 14:57
(anonymous) 0xace9…59c8	714	$58.3K	8,416	02-23 14:58