Close-Timber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$150

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.9%

Resolved

Trades

38,355

lifetime

Volume

$194.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 08-10 09:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

84% — —

Other

11% 13% $-150

Politics

5% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will sofi technologies sofi be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	72	$4.5K	4,782	1,277	+3,505	open	—	03-07 03:29
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	19	$4.0K	2,572	2,572	+0	open	—	04-08 02:09
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?	72	$3.2K	3,465	2,975	+490	open	—	03-07 17:54
will ciena cien be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	32	$1.2K	3,464	0	+3,464	open	—	02-04 22:17
ethereum up or down february 11 1am et	36	$863	489	489	+0	open	—	02-11 06:20
bitcoin up or down february 16 7pm et	78	$848	896	652	+244	open	—	02-17 00:59
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	8	$596	300	300	+0	open	—	03-03 22:00
will alnylam pharmaceuticals alny be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	9	$579	319	319	+0	open	—	03-24 11:08
vsco quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 05 2026 2pt48	56	$558	559	0	+559	open	—	03-05 12:46
btc updown 15m 1771274700	32	$524	325	322	+3	open	—	02-16 20:56
Will Trump say "Beautiful" or "Wonderful" 12+ times during WHCA Dinner events?	3	$499	521	0	+521	open	—	04-26 00:59
btc updown 15m 1771356600	103	$472	582	500	+82	open	—	02-17 19:44
bitcoin up or down february 11 2am et	11	$439	285	274	+10	open	—	02-11 07:33
btc updown 15m 1771341300	66	$409	397	387	+10	open	—	02-17 15:30
btc updown 15m 1771354800	78	$405	468	326	+142	open	—	02-17 19:14
eth updown 15m 1771260300	68	$400	522	450	+72	open	—	02-16 16:59
btc updown 15m 1771393500	79	$386	393	330	+63	open	—	02-18 06:00
bitcoin up or down february 16 12pm et	69	$386	572	569	+3	open	—	02-16 17:54
btc updown 15m 1771283700	35	$370	312	239	+73	open	—	02-16 23:29
eth updown 15m 1771274700	24	$370	226	206	+20	open	—	02-16 20:56
bitcoin up or down february 14 4pm et	40	$363	236	230	+6	open	—	02-14 21:44
btc updown 15m 1771340400	62	$362	373	346	+27	open	—	02-17 15:14
xrp up or down february 21 6pm et	19	$346	285	220	+65	open	—	02-23 15:41
btc updown 15m 1771260300	65	$311	473	410	+63	open	—	02-16 16:59
btc updown 15m 1771269300	37	$307	332	191	+141	open	—	02-16 19:28
btc updown 15m 1771391700	72	$304	388	316	+72	open	—	02-18 05:28
btc updown 15m 1771320600	37	$302	397	201	+196	open	—	02-17 09:44
bitcoin up or down february 8 6pm et	37	$300	375	0	+375	open	—	02-08 23:31
btc updown 15m 1771362000	78	$297	388	248	+140	open	—	02-17 21:13
xrp up or down february 22 10pm et	55	$296	572	0	+572	open	—	02-23 03:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 14:19:42	will dude be said 20 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 10 20260807160754645	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x6e7024…
08-10 09:49:10	will dude be said 20 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 10 20260807160754645	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x1eec0e…
08-10 09:41:28	will dude be said 20 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 10 20260807160754645	No	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x42781a…
08-10 07:29:40	will dude be said 20 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 10 20260807160754645	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xe64d1e…
08-05 15:05:56	will spy be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 3 20260731210932766	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x8bd891…
08-05 15:02:35	will spy be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 3 20260731210932766	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa6b8cb…
08-05 13:21:36	will spy be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 3 20260731210932766	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x4ba9f5…
08-05 11:51:08	will spy be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 3 20260731210932766	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x52748c…
08-04 23:47:08	will dude be said 20 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 3 20260731210932760	No	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0xe67e43…
08-04 22:41:17	will dude be said 20 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 3 20260731210932760	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xb322a6…
08-04 19:26:30	will spy be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 3 20260731210932766	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x753476…
08-04 05:53:12	will dude be said 20 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 3 20260731210932760	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x63728d…
08-04 05:30:18	will dude be said 20 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 3 20260731210932760	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x32b25f…
08-04 05:27:00	will dude be said 20 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 3 20260731210932760	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x1fd448…
08-03 20:59:56	will alien be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 3 20260731210932768	No	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0xac9d60…
08-03 20:39:14	will dude be said 20 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 3 20260731210932760	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xc3e5ed…
08-03 17:44:09	will alien be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 3 20260731210932768	No	BUY	18	31¢	$6	0x3b69c9…
08-03 10:27:09	will dude be said 20 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 3 20260731210932760	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa5a945…
08-03 05:26:44	will dude be said 20 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 3 20260731210932760	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x84a520…
08-02 10:14:38	will dude be said 20 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 3 20260731210932760	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdd40a3…
07-29 18:31:08	will warsh say trump during july press conference 20260720204109039	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x2b1dac…
07-29 18:28:23	will warsh say innovation during july press conference 20260728013723475	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x9029e9…
07-29 18:26:59	will warsh say progress during july press conference 20260728013633262	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x635a56…
07-29 18:25:09	will warsh say spending during july press conference 20260728013617094	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x40e67d…
07-29 18:23:57	will warsh say inflation 40 times during july press conference 20260720204109029	Yes	BUY	22	17¢	$4	0x4fddf0…
07-29 18:23:12	will warsh say innovation during july press conference 20260728013723475	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf18b80…
07-29 18:20:50	will warsh say progress during july press conference 20260728013633262	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x62403e…
07-29 18:11:08	will warsh say innovation during july press conference 20260728013723475	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xe853ac…
07-29 18:07:42	will warsh say innovation during july press conference 20260728013723475	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xdcfd36…
07-29 18:06:02	will warsh say recession during july press conference 20260720204109052	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x06a749…
07-29 18:01:23	will warsh say dissent during july press conference 20260720204109057 245	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xce55fe…
07-29 17:50:51	will warsh say trump during july press conference 20260720204109039	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x629164…
07-29 17:45:18	will warsh say independence during july press conference 20260720204109033	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x6dad8b…
07-29 17:26:33	will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xed7e7a…
07-29 16:42:53	will warsh say dissent during july press conference 20260720204109057 245	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xd95557…
07-29 16:39:03	will warsh say predecessor during july press conference 20260720204109037	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x873b8c…
07-29 16:32:11	will warsh say iran during july press conference 20260720204109054	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x7fd07a…
07-29 16:15:24	will warsh say recession during july press conference 20260720204109052	Yes	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0xff2476…
07-29 16:09:05	will warsh say trump during july press conference 20260720204109039	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0205c2…
07-29 15:47:53	will warsh say innovation during july press conference 20260728013723475	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xd62f0e…
07-29 15:46:21	will warsh say independence during july press conference 20260720204109033	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc7df2a…
07-29 15:44:29	will warsh say independence during july press conference 20260720204109033	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x470e9d…
07-29 15:36:47	will warsh say oil during july press conference 20260720204109045	No	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xe6350c…
07-29 15:26:42	will warsh say iran during july press conference 20260720204109054	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xa8a67f…
07-29 15:17:48	will warsh say progress during july press conference 20260728013633262	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa7d488…
07-29 15:09:09	will warsh say dissent during july press conference 20260720204109057 245	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xa0db2f…
07-29 15:05:41	will warsh say holding during july press conference 20260728013709204	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x616ba6…
07-29 14:44:38	will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x3b890f…
07-29 14:24:47	will warsh say central bank during july press conference 20260720204109041	No	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x71bf06…
07-29 14:22:35	will warsh say dissent during july press conference 20260720204109057 245	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x6d43e9…
07-29 14:19:24	will warsh say oil during july press conference 20260720204109045	No	BUY	24	23¢	$6	0xf50b72…
07-29 14:13:12	will warsh say trump during july press conference 20260720204109039	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x6d8ff9…
07-29 14:12:44	will warsh say spending during july press conference 20260728013617094	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x6d7a30…
07-29 14:04:23	will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	No	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0xd5aa7b…
07-29 13:56:26	will warsh say recession during july press conference 20260720204109052	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xc19970…
07-29 13:44:44	will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	No	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xd3ce34…
07-29 13:41:56	will warsh say inflation 40 times during july press conference 20260720204109029	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x1e6ddd…
07-29 13:09:48	will warsh say central bank during july press conference 20260720204109041	No	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x958896…
07-29 12:32:06	will warsh say progress during july press conference 20260728013633262	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x9bca53…
07-29 11:22:03	will warsh say iran during july press conference 20260720204109054	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xbbfba0…
07-29 11:09:20	will warsh say spending during july press conference 20260728013617094	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xc695c5…
07-29 10:48:27	will warsh say progress during july press conference 20260728013633262	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x369d09…
07-29 09:27:24	will warsh say trump during july press conference 20260720204109039	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x6ac3e8…
07-29 08:55:18	will warsh say oil during july press conference 20260720204109045	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xe24377…
07-28 21:32:26	will warsh say uncertainty during july press conference 20260720204109046	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x8b8643…
07-28 20:59:13	will warsh say inflation 20 times during july press conference 20260720204109028	Yes	BUY	1	63¢	$0	0x7b67e3…
07-28 17:51:01	will warsh say anchor or anchored during july press conference 20260720204109051	Yes	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0xeb427a…
07-28 17:00:55	will people be said 150 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 27 20260723172025067 197	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x940b9c…
07-28 17:00:53	will people be said 150 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 27 20260723172025067 197	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x7b6db7…
07-28 17:00:08	will spy be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 27 20260723172025071	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xaddf33…
07-28 17:00:07	will dude be said 20 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 27 20260723172025068	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x7f78b4…
07-28 16:06:13	will warsh say anchor or anchored during july press conference 20260720204109051	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xce9e64…
07-28 16:06:13	will warsh say anchor or anchored during july press conference 20260720204109051	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xb49a80…
07-28 14:40:23	will dude be said 20 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 27 20260723172025068	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x162378…
07-28 14:40:16	will dude be said 20 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 27 20260723172025068	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x1c3001…
07-28 13:32:32	will tesla be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 27 20260723172025082	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc2aba4…
07-28 12:26:49	will warsh say dissent during july press conference 20260720204109057 245	No	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x4ea6c3…
07-28 12:26:38	will warsh say inflation 40 times during july press conference 20260720204109029	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x3a8e4e…
07-28 12:08:16	will warsh say iran during july press conference 20260720204109054	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4a3e5c…
07-28 11:35:59	will dude be said 20 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 27 20260723172025068	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x93a9d9…
07-28 06:10:28	will warsh say dissent during july press conference 20260720204109057 245	No	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x8647db…
07-28 06:00:13	will warsh say anchor or anchored during july press conference 20260720204109051	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x15f268…
07-28 05:40:30	will warsh say anchor or anchored during july press conference 20260720204109051	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x2cf384…
07-27 22:53:43	will warsh say predecessor during july press conference 20260720204109037	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x6b32e5…
07-27 21:54:16	will dude be said 20 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 27 20260723172025068	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xdba62f…
07-27 20:33:57	will blue be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 27 20260723172025077	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9f4a32…
07-27 20:17:19	will dude be said 20 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 27 20260723172025068	No	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x8c0fdd…
07-27 14:17:51	will warsh say anchor or anchored during july press conference 20260720204109051	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xd8cab0…
07-27 12:24:28	will warsh say central bank during july press conference 20260720204109041	No	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x4d406b…
07-27 11:29:21	will warsh say inflation 40 times during july press conference 20260720204109029	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xb101b1…
07-27 08:33:45	will warsh say president during july press conference 20260720204109049	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4d5a35…
07-27 01:45:39	will warsh say predecessor during july press conference 20260720204109037	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x51983c…
07-26 20:55:22	will warsh say anchor or anchored during july press conference 20260720204109051	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x8b8832…
07-26 15:52:13	will warsh say predecessor during july press conference 20260720204109037	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x695746…
07-26 15:46:46	will warsh say predecessor during july press conference 20260720204109037	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x099528…
07-26 15:31:46	will warsh say inflation 20 times during july press conference 20260720204109028	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xe78ced…
07-26 12:05:43	will warsh say anchor or anchored during july press conference 20260720204109051	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x644874…
07-26 10:47:19	will warsh say iran during july press conference 20260720204109054	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xa6fbc8…
07-26 05:59:06	will warsh say oil during july press conference 20260720204109045	No	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x1bb584…
07-26 03:57:52	will warsh say inflation 40 times during july press conference 20260720204109029	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xf529de…