Shocking-Transaction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

-$19

Hit rate

87.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$290

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-10 15:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 88% +$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down		+30	$19	1¢	$0	$-19	05-10 15:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$26	30	+30	Up	+$4	05-10 02:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$25	30	+30	Up	+$5	05-10 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$25	30	+30	Up	+$5	05-09 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$24	30	+30	Down	+$6	05-10 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$23	30	+30	Up	$-23	05-10 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$23	30	+30	Up	+$7	05-10 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$23	30	+30	Up	+$7	05-10 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$23	30	+30	open	—	05-10 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$22	30	+30	open	—	05-10 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$22	30	+30	open	—	05-10 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$20	30	+30	Down	+$10	05-10 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$19	30	+30	open	—	05-10 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$16	30	+30	open	—	05-10 12:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 15:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	30	65¢	$19	0xf18654…
05-10 15:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x4b4b4f…
05-10 13:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x00179f…
05-10 12:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x0b63d2…
05-10 10:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0xe02fdd…
05-10 04:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x7c067f…
05-10 03:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x35ccc1…
05-10 02:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xaec2f3…
05-10 02:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x6e531d…
05-10 01:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xef665f…
05-10 01:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x35b9a4…
05-10 00:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0xb887df…
05-09 18:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x51ace6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	13	$9.00K	355	05-10 15:32
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	13	$4.69K	134	05-10 15:32
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	13	$1.39K	182	05-10 15:31
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	13	$1.16K	37	05-10 15:32
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	13	$1.02K	87	05-10 15:32
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	12	$2.89K	37	05-10 15:32
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	12	$1.28K	40	05-10 15:32
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	12	$950	148	05-10 15:32