Firm-Synthesis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.3%

Resolved

Trades

271

lifetime

Volume

$853

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 06-01 17:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 77% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	7	$35	21	21	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	6	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	06-01 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	6	$32	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	6	$32	19	19	+0	open	—	05-14 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	5	$28	22	17	+5	Up	+$4	05-13 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	10	$28	22	22	+0	open	—	05-14 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	5	$25	25	18	+7	Up	$-5	05-13 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$22	18	18	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$22	15	15	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	4	$22	16	16	+0	open	—	06-01 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	4	$21	21	21	+0	open	—	06-01 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	4	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	06-01 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	4	$21	16	16	+0	open	—	06-01 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	3	$17	19	7	+12	Up	$-4	05-13 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	5	$16	10	9	+1	open	—	05-14 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	5	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	3	$14	19	9	+10	open	—	06-01 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	7	$14	9	7	+2	open	—	05-14 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	06-01 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	3	$13	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	06-01 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	6	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-14 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$12	108	8	+100	Down	$-0	05-13 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$11	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	06-01 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$11	10	9	+1	Down	+$0	05-13 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	3	$11	9	8	+1	Down	+$0	05-13 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 16:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 17:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x411b62…
06-01 16:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x1b9e34…
06-01 16:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xf47763…
06-01 16:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x89f95b…
06-01 16:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd282f4…
06-01 16:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbce710…
06-01 16:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x12b490…
06-01 16:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x0c755f…
06-01 16:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa1ff11…
06-01 14:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x6625fb…
06-01 14:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x72c0cc…
06-01 14:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x86e42b…
06-01 14:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x391523…
06-01 14:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0xcd3b5a…
06-01 14:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xdb6457…
06-01 12:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	97¢	$6	0x09cb5e…
06-01 12:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xb2a8c8…
06-01 11:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x67ab64…
06-01 11:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa2f848…
06-01 11:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xdc042a…
06-01 11:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x025b97…
06-01 11:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xb9dab3…
06-01 11:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x46e5f7…
06-01 11:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa89c4b…
06-01 11:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x08cf95…
06-01 11:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xa382cb…
06-01 11:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xbf355b…
06-01 11:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x6bc8b7…
06-01 11:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x9fcd77…
06-01 11:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x117d0b…
06-01 10:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	14	46¢	$6	0x8b1ed1…
06-01 10:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xde539e…
06-01 10:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0x609b5b…
06-01 10:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc1d639…
06-01 09:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x09a180…
06-01 09:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x714ea5…
06-01 09:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0xd11ef9…
06-01 09:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x705a41…
06-01 09:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0x7197d9…
06-01 09:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8a0bb3…
06-01 08:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x37fc19…
06-01 08:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0edb77…
06-01 08:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0xccbf18…
06-01 08:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xcd672f…
06-01 08:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	9	61¢	$6	0xc7a4b0…
06-01 08:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xec758b…
06-01 08:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe4feae…
06-01 07:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8513ab…
06-01 07:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9d4ed1…
06-01 07:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	11	58¢	$6	0xc7f526…
06-01 07:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xa4d5d0…
06-01 05:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x0efb6b…
06-01 05:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x3d1b5c…
06-01 04:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xea734f…
06-01 04:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xbd2e5d…
06-01 04:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0xc8dd7f…
06-01 04:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x82da5f…
06-01 04:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x88043b…
06-01 04:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x600388…
06-01 04:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb53d66…
06-01 04:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9b31f8…
06-01 03:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdb1298…
06-01 03:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0x21eb65…
06-01 03:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xcf8bf3…
06-01 03:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x3f2382…
06-01 03:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xb18471…
05-14 17:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xfbdf19…
05-14 17:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x3c1cdc…
05-14 17:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x00bf0a…
05-14 17:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x437b0d…
05-14 17:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x718ed3…
05-14 17:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x7425fe…
05-14 17:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1476cc…
05-14 17:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xf1cd6d…
05-14 16:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x592771…
05-14 16:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa5686f…
05-14 16:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x24faae…
05-14 16:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb7a658…
05-14 16:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xb2650c…
05-14 16:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x55c6a0…
05-14 16:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x2d96c4…
05-14 16:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2877d9…
05-14 16:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9a6bb7…
05-14 16:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf96d39…
05-14 16:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8b98ba…
05-14 16:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x847512…
05-14 16:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x8f934c…
05-14 16:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb05630…
05-14 16:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xee99d6…
05-14 16:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x73578a…
05-14 16:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x64d285…
05-14 16:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf86883…
05-14 16:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x24c6a1…
05-14 16:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe93789…
05-14 16:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x48e17f…
05-14 16:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0x8e18c1…
05-14 16:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xba0cb5…
05-14 16:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$1	0x10aa87…
05-14 16:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x95b8f1…
05-14 16:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x42ed05…