Fuzzy-Theology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.6%

Resolved

Trades

284

lifetime

Volume

$2.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 05-08 16:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% $-11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$192	155	155	+0	Up	+$96	05-06 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$164	109	109	+0	open	—	05-04 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	3	$114	91	65	+26	Up	+$14	05-08 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$112	62	62	+0	Up	+$12	05-07 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$104	63	63	+0	Down	+$4	05-08 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$95	104	104	+0	Down	$-5	05-06 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$88	59	59	+0	Down	+$28	05-07 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$80	41	41	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	3	$74	74	38	+36	Down	$-8	05-08 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$74	44	44	+0	Up	+$14	05-07 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$69	104	64	+40	Up	+$9	05-08 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$63	43	43	+0	Down	+$23	05-07 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$40	0	41	-41	Down	$-0	05-08 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$36	26	26	+0	open	—	05-01 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$33	31	31	+0	Down	$-7	05-06 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$31	21	21	+0	Up	+$11	05-07 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$28	37	0	+37	Up	$-28	05-06 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$27	18	18	+0	Down	+$7	05-06 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$27	17	17	+0	Up	+$7	05-05 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$25	52	0	+52	Down	$-25	05-08 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$23	15	15	+0	Up	+$5	05-06 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-04 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$20	87	0	+87	Up	$-20	05-07 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$20	36	0	+36	Down	$-20	05-08 13:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$20	222	0	+222	Up	$-20	05-07 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$19	12	12	+0	Up	+$5	05-07 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	4	$19	14	14	+0	Up	$-1	05-07 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$17	28	0	+28	Up	$-17	05-06 19:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 16:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x871d69…
05-08 16:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xce55b0…
05-08 16:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x7ca0b3…
05-08 16:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x017134…
05-08 16:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x06eb03…
05-08 15:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x67bad3…
05-08 13:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xbe7c8d…
05-08 13:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	64	30¢	$19	0x354369…
05-08 13:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x34b2c0…
05-08 13:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	63	85¢	$54	0xa2d219…
05-08 13:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x4b6bd2…
05-08 13:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	38	86¢	$33	0x41fadb…
05-08 13:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x3ea037…
05-08 13:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	38	55¢	$21	0xa6fb63…
05-08 13:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x764bf0…
05-08 13:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0x1ebf49…
05-08 13:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x3e08b7…
05-08 13:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xebcef4…
05-08 13:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0xda43f3…
05-08 13:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	65	61¢	$40	0x2db3fb…
05-08 13:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xd42ff6…
05-07 19:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	59	99¢	$58	0xed33b4…
05-07 19:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xaec9f5…
05-07 19:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0xdf0eff…
05-07 19:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x5d5f88…
05-07 18:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xe70336…
05-07 18:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x430109…
05-07 18:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x03a5c6…
05-07 18:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0x00f64f…
05-07 18:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x139cfe…
05-07 17:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x7c4b91…
05-07 17:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x13dbb7…
05-07 17:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x5d1465…
05-07 17:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x00a759…
05-07 17:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xb4f501…
05-07 17:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x442e0b…
05-07 17:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xc63456…
05-07 17:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x753b33…
05-07 17:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xc070d1…
05-07 17:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3637a4…
05-07 17:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8dbbf1…
05-07 17:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	38¢	$4	0x226709…
05-07 17:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x439489…
05-07 13:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x62cf15…
05-07 13:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x917297…
05-07 12:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x62564e…
05-07 12:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x2f2b8d…
05-07 11:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe5df77…
05-07 11:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xb11a00…
05-07 11:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x7d5bde…
05-07 11:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x84b90b…
05-07 11:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x15f3c2…
05-07 11:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd2bbec…
05-07 11:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1e589a…
05-07 11:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xae9334…
05-07 11:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xf811c2…
05-07 11:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0x1744e1…
05-07 10:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x23e91a…
05-07 10:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x10e586…
05-07 10:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x4eaaae…
05-07 10:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x76573a…
05-07 10:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xa33ae9…
05-07 10:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9d688b…
05-07 10:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x007a7b…
05-07 10:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8bbc10…
05-07 10:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xed6213…
05-06 19:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	155	93¢	$144	0x3447c4…
05-06 19:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	155	31¢	$48	0xfa053d…
05-06 19:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	37	75¢	$28	0x4aec9f…
05-06 19:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	104	43¢	$45	0x885f2b…
05-06 19:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x0df34e…
05-06 19:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	28	61¢	$17	0x37912a…
05-06 19:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xf51d9f…
05-06 19:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	18	7¢	$1	0x3dda3c…
05-06 19:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe5e0f5…
05-06 18:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbce597…
05-06 18:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x448ac0…
05-06 18:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x82ca69…
05-06 18:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x1038c4…
05-06 18:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x8c685e…
05-06 18:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	31	43¢	$13	0x0794fd…
05-06 18:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xff0e15…
05-06 18:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x91576c…
05-06 18:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xd8cfd3…
05-06 18:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xa9d56c…
05-06 18:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xee526f…
05-06 18:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$14	0x23e27e…
05-06 18:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x34019f…
05-06 17:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x0c901a…
05-05 13:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x14c50b…
05-05 13:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0xc2a1dd…
05-05 13:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe7d10b…
05-05 12:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x51efd9…
05-05 12:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc20186…
05-05 12:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xa24f8a…
05-05 12:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xdabb34…
05-05 12:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x392d04…
05-05 12:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x041398…
05-05 12:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x1cad9c…
05-05 12:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x73aca0…