Useless-Fireplace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.9%

Resolved

Trades

172

lifetime

Volume

$1.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 07-03 19:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 43% $-40

Other

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	23	$266	297	297	+0	open	—	04-28 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	27	$229	2,290	1,880	+410	open	—	04-28 15:55
fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 shots federico valverde gte1	2	$119	100	100	+0	open	—	06-27 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	18	$101	459	209	+250	open	—	04-28 22:51
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	17	$99	585	255	+330	open	—	04-28 22:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4PM ET	5	$91	62	62	+0	open	—	04-28 21:02
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	5	$87	48	65	-17	open	—	04-28 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	8	$60	278	0	+278	open	—	04-28 13:40
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	7	$60	384	0	+384	open	—	04-28 14:41
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 12PM ET	7	$54	553	0	+553	open	—	04-28 16:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET	2	$53	30	30	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 14:45
tsla up or down on july 2 2026	1	$50	68	0	+68	open	—	07-02 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4PM ET	5	$43	151	151	+0	Down	$-5	05-11 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$43	23	23	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 15:14
fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 goals lamine yamal gte1	1	$40	107	0	+107	open	—	06-27 00:00
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	4	$37	476	0	+476	open	—	04-28 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	4	$36	1,059	0	+1,059	open	—	04-28 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1PM ET	4	$31	95	0	+95	open	—	04-28 17:39
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 1PM ET	4	$31	155	0	+155	open	—	04-28 17:39
fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 corners team away 4pt5	2	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	06-27 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	3	$24	93	0	+93	Down	$-24	05-11 18:55
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 3PM ET	3	$23	62	0	+62	open	—	04-28 19:50
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	3	$18	36	0	+36	open	—	04-28 22:13
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	3	$18	30	0	+30	open	—	04-28 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$15	21	0	+21	Up	$-15	05-06 16:36
btc updown 5m 1783108200	2	$13	16	16	+0	open	—	07-03 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	4	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	04-28 21:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	3	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 19:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$2	114	0	+114	Down	$-2	05-11 19:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 19:54:17	btc updown 5m 1783108200	Up	SELL	16	52¢	$8	0x9c8292…
07-03 19:53:32	btc updown 5m 1783108200	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd3c51b…
07-02 12:38:19	tsla up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xa4f0c1…
06-27 02:28:14	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 shots federico valverde gte1	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x9c19c2…
06-27 00:57:10	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 corners team away 4pt5	Over	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xbc5577…
06-27 00:00:55	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	107	37¢	$40	0xa424f4…
06-26 23:58:20	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 shots federico valverde gte1	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xc7e6cb…
06-26 23:56:58	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 corners team away 4pt5	Over	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x5f9848…
05-11 20:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	126	13¢	$16	0x1d037c…
05-11 20:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	81	10¢	$8	0xe6dc33…
05-11 20:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	25	10¢	$2	0x709ed1…
05-11 20:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0xc9d414…
05-11 20:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	34	24¢	$8	0xb68be1…
05-11 19:58:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd162be…
05-11 19:57:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x28335d…
05-11 19:08:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x35fce3…
05-11 19:05:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x893487…
05-11 19:04:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0a65f2…
05-11 18:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	25¢	$8	0xae6aad…
05-11 18:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0xca5f7a…
05-11 18:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0x503b21…
05-06 16:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xdada00…
05-06 15:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xc4050d…
05-06 15:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xe5e62c…
05-06 14:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0xc28870…
05-06 14:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xba778b…
04-28 23:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	230	51¢	$117	0x17f798…
04-28 22:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	26¢	$6	0xfcaa5f…
04-28 22:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	27¢	$6	0x6344b2…
04-28 22:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	28¢	$6	0xc65838…
04-28 22:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0xca1568…
04-28 22:51:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	84	4¢	$3	0xbbdd0c…
04-28 22:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	58	4¢	$2	0x3fe95e…
04-28 22:51:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	88	4¢	$4	0x95c37c…
04-28 22:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	61	4¢	$2	0xc78f68…
04-28 22:51:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	94	4¢	$4	0x9368d5…
04-28 22:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	64	4¢	$3	0xeb4850…
04-28 22:50:40	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xd4272f…
04-28 22:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	66	4¢	$3	0x0f4569…
04-28 22:48:48	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x2ba6ac…
04-28 22:48:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	184	6¢	$11	0x68721f…
04-28 22:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	150	8¢	$12	0x041591…
04-28 22:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x6a67da…
04-28 22:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x863d1a…
04-28 22:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xa967e7…
04-28 22:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0xf2fde1…
04-28 22:44:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	24	13¢	$3	0x038389…
04-28 22:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0xe1c9ef…
04-28 22:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	19	19¢	$4	0x357ede…
04-28 22:44:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0x1f414d…
04-28 22:44:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	26	14¢	$4	0x97d53b…
04-28 22:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x72d006…
04-28 22:43:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	27	12¢	$3	0xb5072e…
04-28 22:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xb1cf55…
04-28 22:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x9fc2ed…
04-28 22:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x3d8b77…
04-28 22:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x6cfeef…
04-28 22:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0xd63e45…
04-28 22:40:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x8f8de4…
04-28 22:40:24	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	21	17¢	$4	0x9a0a2a…
04-28 22:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x44639d…
04-28 22:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0x5585d9…
04-28 22:40:18	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	21	18¢	$4	0x478ed7…
04-28 22:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x530192…
04-28 22:39:48	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0xb415ef…
04-28 22:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xb7b460…
04-28 22:29:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	70	41¢	$29	0x56fe40…
04-28 22:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	59	37¢	$22	0x8809fc…
04-28 22:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	67	49¢	$33	0x6a0655…
04-28 22:28:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0xac44b2…
04-28 22:25:48	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	18	42¢	$8	0xc7a6d3…
04-28 22:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x552231…
04-28 22:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x44f0ce…
04-28 22:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x3456c6…
04-28 22:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x6300dd…
04-28 22:13:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xd1c46b…
04-28 22:13:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x863a91…
04-28 22:13:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x216588…
04-28 21:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x989f0c…
04-28 21:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0x4750ca…
04-28 21:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa2229c…
04-28 21:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xe7b2a2…
04-28 21:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x4ceff5…
04-28 21:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x026b8d…
04-28 21:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x7707cc…
04-28 21:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xf66d03…
04-28 21:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xdb6a2b…
04-28 21:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x46c101…
04-28 21:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x39f16d…
04-28 21:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1f870e…
04-28 21:44:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x86f31b…
04-28 21:44:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	60¢	$6	0x244cb6…
04-28 21:44:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0x1ff63d…
04-28 21:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0xdb5f09…
04-28 21:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x360f15…
04-28 20:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0xd8c883…
04-28 20:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	16	47¢	$8	0x5cee59…
04-28 20:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	16	47¢	$8	0x94f99c…
04-28 20:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x006276…
04-28 19:59:24	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0x65d70b…