Firm-Reasoning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.9%

Resolved

Trades

164

lifetime

Volume

$205

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 05-25 01:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 83% -$12

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 16:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 21:50 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	-$10	03-12 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$9	9	9	+0	Down	-$1	05-08 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	4	$7	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 01:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 15:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 00:40 UTC	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	03-12 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 15:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 21:10 UTC	4	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	03-12 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	3	$3	3	0	+3	Up	-$3	05-25 01:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:25 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	03-11 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 15:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 01:35 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	04-17 01:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 02:10 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	04-17 02:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 23:20 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	03-11 23:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 14:05 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	04-17 14:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 00:30 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	03-13 00:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 17:15 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	04-17 17:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 12:55 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	03-12 13:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 16:55 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	04-16 17:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 13:35 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	03-12 13:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 16:20 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	03-12 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 01:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 01:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 22:15 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	03-12 22:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 22:05 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	04-17 22:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 03:15 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	04-17 03:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 00:45 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	03-13 00:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 15:20 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	03-12 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 15:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 13:00 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	03-12 13:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 01:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xce2756…
05-25 01:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb5562b…
05-25 01:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x166bcd…
05-13 02:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe8523d…
05-13 01:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0x29ebcb…
05-13 01:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe34ee7…
05-13 01:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb7ba35…
05-13 01:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0a42aa…
05-13 01:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x53cd7d…
05-13 01:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3d6727…
05-13 01:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x0f9b44…
05-13 01:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x452748…
05-12 14:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x92bfc2…
05-08 16:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0xcab3f4…
05-08 16:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x1c22f0…
05-08 16:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xcfaa24…
05-08 16:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x618fa2…
05-08 16:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x108bb6…
05-08 15:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x91b104…
05-08 15:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8bdffe…
05-08 15:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xdb0ce6…
05-08 15:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa918df…
05-08 15:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	64¢	$2	0x2a3eee…
05-08 15:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x701a4d…
05-08 15:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x34ff50…
05-08 15:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x53ab86…
05-08 14:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x9f4c18…
05-08 13:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x01a356…
04-18 16:55:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:50 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x629ea5…
04-18 16:53:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x03d13a…
04-18 16:50:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb69ab3…
04-18 16:48:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x17147f…
04-18 00:39:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x3cfded…
04-17 22:11:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 22:05 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8aeb25…
04-17 22:08:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb522b8…
04-17 19:58:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5f2b6f…
04-17 17:20:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 17:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe44818…
04-17 17:19:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x111584…
04-17 17:12:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe72d62…
04-17 15:31:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 15:25 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x779c32…
04-17 15:28:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf014b8…
04-17 14:11:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 14:05 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x922574…
04-17 14:07:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe44721…
04-17 13:35:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8118ea…
04-17 13:33:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xac52e9…
04-17 13:16:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 13:10 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4bb9fe…
04-17 13:14:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe84dd0…
04-17 03:20:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 03:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf9a0b7…
04-17 03:17:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3c8b01…
04-17 02:16:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 02:10 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x633ccc…
04-17 02:12:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x69bff7…
04-17 01:41:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 01:35 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7d1a94…
04-17 01:38:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xdeab01…
04-16 17:10:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 17:05 UTC	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9d5fb7…
04-16 17:07:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc96215…
04-16 17:00:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 16:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0fdb1f…
04-16 16:57:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb8eb81…
04-15 21:53:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x00886c…
04-15 21:52:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3f6ea5…
03-14 21:59:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6a94fe…
03-14 21:03:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf468e2…
03-14 21:03:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5a5d0f…
03-14 20:45:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 20:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6e6f83…
03-14 20:44:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x189464…
03-13 01:26:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 01:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x7c7134…
03-13 01:25:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcefb71…
03-13 01:03:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 01:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xd0efa7…
03-13 01:02:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xac3af0…
03-13 00:59:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 00:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x696f84…
03-13 00:59:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x865c9d…
03-13 00:47:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 00:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xf4c29c…
03-13 00:46:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8c2770…
03-13 00:31:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 00:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x57e458…
03-13 00:30:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x292202…
03-13 00:10:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 00:05 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaf49bf…
03-13 00:09:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfcdf11…
03-12 23:45:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 23:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdfc9d7…
03-12 23:44:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0ab514…
03-12 23:09:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe50334…
03-12 23:05:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcd0392…
03-12 23:03:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb287e8…
03-12 23:00:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 22:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa8a7ff…
03-12 22:59:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x906361…
03-12 22:20:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 22:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x52fc55…
03-12 22:19:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x37cb33…
03-12 21:54:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x83aec9…
03-12 21:35:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xaed51e…
03-12 21:34:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0c609f…
03-12 21:16:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9d6b83…
03-12 21:15:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 21:10 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd198d5…
03-12 21:14:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2fc3d3…
03-12 21:13:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 21:10 UTC	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xf3c91f…
03-12 21:12:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf12ec8…
03-12 21:05:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 21:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3f5bc4…
03-12 21:04:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd5c83c…
03-12 19:11:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 19:10 UTC	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x2e9466…
03-12 19:11:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0088b4…
03-12 18:54:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 18:50 UTC	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x131cc0…
03-12 18:54:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3b6d47…
03-12 18:49:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 18:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x508f0e…