Musty-Algebra — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

283

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$3.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-28 07:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 229 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$4

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on May 14?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-14 14:25
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	24	+24	No	-$23	05-15 05:29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-13 06:15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 11?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-11 11:36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 10?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-10 09:22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-09 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 04:05
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 17:02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:29
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 09:23
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 11:44
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:47
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 14:59
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-04 15:53
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-02 11:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:31
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-08 10:26
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-07 07:04
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 12c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 09:13
highest temperature in lucknow on april 3 2026 36c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 14:17
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 07:36
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 10:30
highest temperature in los angeles on april 1 2026 68 69f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 03:30
highest temperature in istanbul on april 1 2026 15c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-01 15:13
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:48
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:31
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 80 81f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 01:46
highest temperature in chongqing on march 30 2026 24c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-30 09:21
highest temperature in miami on march 29 2026 82 83f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-30 01:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 07:38:08	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a66ec…
10-27 08:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x371a1f…
10-26 09:16:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2d0cf…
10-24 11:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaab026…
10-22 10:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x405b3a…
10-20 07:31:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0713ec…
10-19 09:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcfcabe…
10-18 09:06:53	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc5e006…
10-17 14:48:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc34165…
10-16 08:59:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8eed8e…
10-15 09:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2de13…
10-14 09:17:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0263b9…
10-13 09:09:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb3935…
10-12 08:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7aec9d…
10-11 08:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf43f68…
10-08 08:25:05	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x65a53b…
10-07 14:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ee679…
10-06 07:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f5d72…
10-04 15:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab843b…
10-03 07:54:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf30470…
10-02 11:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75fc6e…
10-01 08:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd76f39…
09-30 15:48:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x244740…
09-30 12:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd85a0…
09-29 14:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb2bee…
09-28 09:27:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f6d05…
09-27 08:44:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x622934…
09-25 12:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf193cd…
09-24 08:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x580f18…
09-23 07:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd49e1…
09-22 08:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d3723…
09-21 09:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4106b1…
09-20 05:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d1de7…
09-19 08:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3eae00…
09-18 06:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9376f6…
09-17 04:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc03ae…
09-16 08:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x613e80…
09-15 09:06:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6e68d8…
09-14 08:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xddfa42…
09-12 16:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeef2c2…
09-11 07:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81d56d…
09-10 06:33:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xddc99d…
09-09 02:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa02675…
09-08 02:35:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf62f9…
09-07 08:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e5fc2…
09-06 17:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x90e758…
09-06 09:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6082a…
09-05 01:03:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a4a69…
09-03 09:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c994f…
09-02 07:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ea3b2…
08-30 08:31:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2fef8…
08-29 07:58:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3abe10…
08-28 08:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x66cf96…
08-27 08:51:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1cc3b8…
08-26 08:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa29aa8…
08-25 09:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b5c7a…
08-24 09:50:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2daa6c…
08-23 14:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9d35d…
08-22 08:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa736a9…
08-21 07:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa23c83…
08-20 08:39:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x65f8a1…
08-19 11:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb8a796…
08-18 08:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a6aa9…
08-17 07:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc102fa…
08-16 11:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5d98e…
08-15 09:45:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1da33f…
08-14 06:46:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa7de8a…
08-13 07:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0976fb…
08-12 07:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24de93…
08-11 06:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ec4cd…
08-10 07:32:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c5d5f…
08-09 01:22:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee082e…
08-08 07:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfbf5c0…
08-07 01:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e6c9d…
08-06 06:39:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x877bf4…
08-05 07:51:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa23ea4…
08-04 08:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0770ed…
08-03 07:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd9bf3…
08-02 01:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e75ba…
08-01 06:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b981c…
07-31 08:24:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea0cbb…
07-30 06:47:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe35cea…
07-29 06:43:56	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d8c0b…
07-28 06:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79e41b…
07-27 08:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd162e7…
07-26 06:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f3834…
07-25 07:48:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x311f88…
07-24 09:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf853d…
07-23 07:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa61f0…
07-22 01:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a92c1…
07-20 23:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3dce23…
07-20 07:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40525b…
07-18 23:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e99ce…
07-18 00:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x795832…
07-17 06:34:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9b6a3…
07-15 22:02:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x204c76…
07-15 07:14:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xd137d6…
07-14 07:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x3e98f8…
07-13 07:24:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1b2d9a…
07-12 02:15:20	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4cf3f3…