Ethical-Pupil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$536

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-21

last 06-13 14:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 0% $-7

Other

24% — —

Politics

10% 0% $-2

Tech

8% — —

Sports

5% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	Yes		-125	$-1	0¢	$-0	+$1	06-13 06:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	4	$68	104	100	+4	open	—	04-24 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$36	40	0	+40	open	—	05-19 16:59
btc updown 5m 1781273100	2	$36	27	27	+0	open	—	06-12 14:07
btc updown 5m 1781262000	4	$32	22	22	+0	open	—	06-12 11:03
btc updown 5m 1781272200	3	$26	28	12	+15	open	—	06-12 13:54
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	1	$24	269	0	+269	open	—	05-29 12:42
btc updown 5m 1781361000	3	$24	53	53	+0	open	—	06-13 14:34
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$24	40	40	+0	open	—	04-26 07:27
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$22	39	0	+39	open	—	04-26 18:58
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	3	$21	25	24	+1	open	—	04-24 17:02
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	05-01 00:37
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	2	$19	43	43	+0	Spurs	$-1	05-12 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$16	148	125	+23	open	—	04-30 21:14
btc updown 5m 1781261700	2	$16	14	14	+0	open	—	06-12 10:57
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?	1	$12	39	0	+39	open	—	04-29 19:40
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$12	12	12	+0	open	—	05-12 21:27
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	05-19 09:28
btc updown 5m 1781272500	1	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	06-12 13:55
btc updown 5m 1781273400	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	06-12 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$10	37	0	+37	open	—	05-19 12:00
btc updown 5m 1777050300	2	$9	16	15	+1	open	—	04-24 17:07
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	1	$6	23	0	+23	open	—	04-21 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$5	38	0	+38	open	—	04-30 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	Down	$-5	05-12 08:28
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?	1	$5	26	0	+26	open	—	04-29 19:26
btc updown 5m 1781272800	1	$5	83	0	+83	open	—	06-12 14:01
btc updown 5m 1781360400	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	06-13 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$5	24	0	+24	open	—	04-30 21:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	1	$4	70	0	+70	open	—	05-19 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$4	11	0	+11	open	—	05-01 00:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 14:34:06	btc updown 5m 1781361000	Down	SELL	53	27¢	$14	0x532368…
06-13 14:32:43	btc updown 5m 1781361000	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x9c8b77…
06-13 14:30:37	btc updown 5m 1781361000	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xba4811…
06-13 14:20:37	btc updown 5m 1781360400	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x49299d…
06-13 06:26:04	btc updown 5m 1781331900	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xe2d1c1…
06-13 06:13:45	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0xac1eb1…
06-12 14:10:48	btc updown 5m 1781273400	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xb1d409…
06-12 14:07:40	btc updown 5m 1781273100	Up	SELL	27	95¢	$26	0x32f9e0…
06-12 14:05:55	btc updown 5m 1781273100	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x2d0b82…
06-12 14:01:13	btc updown 5m 1781272800	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x2b2ba9…
06-12 13:55:45	btc updown 5m 1781272500	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xd96329…
06-12 13:54:39	btc updown 5m 1781272200	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xbdc6e4…
06-12 13:52:04	btc updown 5m 1781272200	Down	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0x4e9901…
06-12 13:51:00	btc updown 5m 1781272200	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xbad153…
06-12 11:03:28	btc updown 5m 1781262000	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4f2f00…
06-12 11:02:52	btc updown 5m 1781262000	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9513ef…
06-12 11:01:51	btc updown 5m 1781262000	Up	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0x9f2f88…
06-12 11:01:27	btc updown 5m 1781262000	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xfe3d13…
06-12 10:57:12	btc updown 5m 1781261700	Down	SELL	14	77¢	$11	0x265873…
06-12 10:56:16	btc updown 5m 1781261700	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xec1af8…
05-29 12:42:30	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	269	9¢	$24	0x3894b2…
05-19 16:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xe58563…
05-19 12:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x9837bd…
05-19 09:35:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	70	6¢	$4	0xfad429…
05-19 09:32:44	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0xf586ac…
05-19 09:28:20	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x1c1abc…
05-12 21:27:00	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x5a2f95…
05-12 21:26:11	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x1cffea…
05-12 21:25:20	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	43	21¢	$9	0x7a57b2…
05-12 21:23:42	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	SELL	150	2¢	$2	0x375ddd…
05-12 13:38:40	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x026f27…
05-12 11:18:29	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xa6598a…
05-12 11:18:19	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0xff2cbc…
05-12 11:07:37	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0x666307…
05-12 10:49:05	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x307f84…
05-12 08:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xbf6c46…
05-12 08:15:28	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x47781e…
05-01 00:37:32	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xb1eb89…
05-01 00:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x267956…
05-01 00:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xab037c…
04-30 21:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x8fb812…
04-30 21:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xbcc5f3…
04-30 21:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbe2d6f…
04-30 21:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xa4d6c3…
04-30 21:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	3¢	$1	0x99ff01…
04-30 21:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	125	8¢	$10	0x9e788b…
04-30 21:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x1c11ca…
04-30 20:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xfd19da…
04-30 20:11:06	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x85e74d…
04-29 19:40:08	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	31¢	$12	0xb98ea7…
04-29 19:26:38	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x0cc40d…
04-27 16:20:08	Will Trump dance today?	No	BUY	410	0¢	$1	0x747388…
04-27 16:19:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf3c6ab…
04-27 04:38:18	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xc08ba9…
04-26 18:58:54	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0x7a3a03…
04-26 18:12:42	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x762c53…
04-26 16:42:54	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x9c5af4…
04-26 07:35:26	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0xbdd9c9…
04-26 07:27:06	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	30¢	$12	0xc053b2…
04-24 17:07:34	btc updown 5m 1777050300	Up	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0x46db0f…
04-24 17:06:56	eth updown 5m 1777050300	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x77a68a…
04-24 17:05:54	btc updown 5m 1777050300	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x5116d5…
04-24 17:02:32	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd8a536…
04-24 13:17:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	19	41¢	$8	0x67c5bf…
04-24 13:17:10	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	No	SELL	41	44¢	$18	0xcd7c9d…
04-24 09:57:02	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	No	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0x53c974…
04-24 08:30:54	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	SELL	59	39¢	$23	0x1a5dfe…
04-22 22:03:26	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x6c96be…
04-22 22:03:18	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x2e4243…
04-22 22:03:06	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x060903…
04-21 19:54:08	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	3¢	$2	0xaf0c97…
04-21 19:53:20	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	No	BUY	23	25¢	$6	0x35a365…
04-21 19:52:12	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x1a1a4b…
04-21 19:50:12	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x3a778c…