Noteworthy-Tender — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.87K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,657

lifetime

Volume

$59.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 16:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 37% +$2,000

Other

3% 55% -$51

Politics

1% 50% -$75

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	1,171	$51.2K	62,364	65,278	-2,914	$80k	+$2,047	05-04 02:00
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	80	$2.6K	2,707	2,707	+0	70k	-$73	02-05 11:18
Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?	34	$1.0K	1,041	1,041	+0	$2k	-$18	02-05 05:35
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?	27	$581	848	676	+172	80k	-$10	01-31 17:02
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	39	$560	488	627	-139	70k	+$82	05-29 18:51
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	28	$484	660	660	+0	open	—	07-19 19:19
spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	13	$478	0	1,061	-1,061	Up	+$17	03-20 23:35
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	21	$365	0	744	-744	Yes	-$7	03-19 23:13
cbb sfl lou 2026 03 19	2	$350	1,000	1,000	+0	Louisville Cardinals	-$50	03-19 18:52
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	32	$316	20	659	-639	No	-$11	03-21 14:01
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	7	$300	231	161	+70	Yes	-$30	02-28 16:38
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	8	$197	0	480	-480	No	-$43	04-09 21:17
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	4	$191	0	400	-400	Yes	-$9	03-20 00:07
will bitcoin reach 78k april 13 19	9	$98	116	72	+43	Yes	+$90	04-17 16:37
will bitcoin reach 80k april 13 19	11	$72	401	385	+16	No	-$34	04-18 08:58
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	18	$63	5,443	0	+5,443	$60k	-$63	02-06 03:28
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 20:45 UTC	31	$47	179	179	+0	Down	-$7	02-20 20:56
will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 291	10	$37	0	74	-74	No	+$0	03-20 19:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on April 25?	3	$33	86	85	+1	No	-$13	04-25 23:17
yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	7	$23	385	385	+0	Yes	+$5	08-12 16:17
Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on May 5?	6	$23	37	37	+0	No	+$1	05-05 22:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 2?	12	$21	43	13	+30	No	-$16	05-03 02:40
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 20:30 UTC	5	$18	23	23	+0	Up	+$2	02-20 20:39
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 22:00 UTC	3	$13	30	10	+20	Down	+$6	01-02 22:14
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 22:45 UTC	2	$11	67	0	+67	Down	-$11	01-02 22:58
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 2?	5	$10	63	0	+63	Yes	+$53	05-02 18:16
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 22:15 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	03-21 22:19
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 22:05 UTC	1	$10	19	0	+19	Down	+$10	03-21 22:10
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 25?	5	$9	75	210	-135	No	-$4	04-25 23:17
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 23:00 UTC	5	$7	37	0	+37	Up	-$7	01-01 23:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 16:17:03	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	332	4¢	$12	0xcfab9c…
08-12 13:51:18	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	53	4¢	$2	0x89117d…
08-10 17:18:13	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	103	2¢	$2	0xeaae20…
08-10 17:17:30	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xbd55df…
08-10 17:16:57	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0xe3f92e…
08-10 17:16:36	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0x83a904…
08-10 17:16:03	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x630a1c…
07-19 19:19:01	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	SELL	183	51¢	$93	0xeb0fe7…
07-17 16:30:37	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	SELL	25	51¢	$13	0xed78e1…
06-30 17:52:25	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x383fb2…
06-30 17:41:53	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x6765e1…
06-05 09:33:40	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	SELL	45	48¢	$22	0x7b85fa…
06-05 09:32:09	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	SELL	125	49¢	$61	0xc513b3…
05-29 18:51:10	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	SELL	27	15¢	$4	0xe41f40…
05-29 18:51:04	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	SELL	15	82¢	$13	0x646909…
05-26 17:30:10	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0xbd25ca…
05-26 10:50:42	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0xd3f458…
05-23 21:02:34	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	SELL	189	40¢	$75	0xdbb9f8…
05-23 20:53:31	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x383471…
05-23 20:53:07	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x486ea1…
05-23 20:52:46	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0xe9c680…
05-23 20:50:12	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	SELL	23	71¢	$16	0x7e28d8…
05-18 19:45:06	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x8e3459…
05-15 14:47:54	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	SELL	28	44¢	$12	0x35d3e9…
05-15 11:39:50	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	BUY	28	49¢	$14	0x4a2afb…
05-15 11:14:05	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	SELL	145	51¢	$74	0xd9d2af…
05-15 05:59:31	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	SELL	25	49¢	$12	0x844835…
05-15 05:48:43	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	SELL	26	50¢	$13	0x0a3172…
05-15 04:59:59	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	SELL	26	51¢	$13	0xdcabe6…
05-15 02:13:20	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x851709…
05-15 02:00:24	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x138119…
05-14 20:28:26	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	BUY	144	51¢	$73	0x6ce361…
05-13 15:12:43	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xb5b4af…
05-13 13:23:34	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	SELL	75	50¢	$37	0x6786ad…
05-13 12:31:13	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xbe3bd1…
05-13 12:22:30	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x44dd62…
05-13 11:10:13	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x15c677…
05-13 11:05:14	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x3d9f92…
05-13 00:54:41	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xb70d07…
05-12 01:58:28	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	SELL	54	32¢	$17	0xb09ac0…
05-11 09:01:11	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	SELL	32	52¢	$17	0xc82666…
05-11 01:32:26	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x92d4d2…
05-11 01:21:50	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x0fc91f…
05-09 11:10:27	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	BUY	85	28¢	$24	0x9545fa…
05-07 14:37:24	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x1e8c4c…
05-07 13:08:00	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0x8680ac…
05-07 10:14:48	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x0c21c5…
05-07 10:11:27	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	BUY	16	28¢	$5	0xb1a067…
05-07 01:01:08	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x9f91f8…
05-06 20:31:26	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	BUY	17	27¢	$5	0x2e4fa6…
05-06 17:38:42	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x06b46b…
05-06 11:35:04	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	SELL	86	59¢	$51	0xef6b2b…
05-06 11:34:46	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x4af79a…
05-06 08:55:38	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	SELL	25	42¢	$11	0x24a931…
05-06 07:10:08	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0x12707e…
05-06 06:37:08	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xc83e7f…
05-06 03:32:36	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	BUY	18	42¢	$8	0xea412b…
05-06 01:31:12	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x4a51bc…
05-06 01:11:06	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xfa656f…
05-05 22:57:52	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0xa519ae…
05-05 22:21:14	Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	22	17¢	$4	0xde6535…
05-05 20:26:08	Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x24357c…
05-05 19:26:56	Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x3bc545…
05-05 16:53:40	Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0x435a3d…
05-05 12:17:04	Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xea4a54…
05-05 12:12:24	Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xac4ebb…
05-05 07:21:56	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	BUY	78	25¢	$20	0x1412d0…
05-05 04:18:36	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	SELL	17	53¢	$9	0x0f0fc7…
05-05 03:42:20	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0x698113…
05-04 22:51:12	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0x091f8e…
05-04 22:47:56	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	BUY	23	27¢	$6	0x673171…
05-04 22:09:46	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0x3e3a05…
05-04 21:50:28	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x07e6af…
05-04 20:30:24	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0x5b78d1…
05-04 20:29:36	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x2e2f10…
05-04 20:08:46	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x489a9b…
05-04 18:41:04	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xd35dd5…
05-04 02:00:16	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	149	6¢	$9	0xba3425…
05-03 21:47:24	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	SELL	17	90¢	$16	0xe9e0d6…
05-03 12:44:46	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x70898f…
05-03 12:25:34	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xa7467a…
05-03 10:54:26	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xa94a77…
05-03 09:32:56	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	SELL	17	90¢	$16	0x491dc6…
05-03 02:40:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbbf590…
05-03 02:30:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xc06c85…
05-02 22:24:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 2?	Yes	SELL	13	20¢	$2	0x32b673…
05-02 20:11:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x4f29f0…
05-02 20:11:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xdf8288…
05-02 20:11:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xcbc072…
05-02 20:11:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x9c31c5…
05-02 20:11:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x8cd706…
05-02 20:11:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x45ae4f…
05-02 20:09:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xbdb25a…
05-02 20:09:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x919eba…
05-02 20:09:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x841899…
05-02 18:16:24	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x7e9b38…
05-02 18:10:12	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	41	16¢	$6	0x198bda…
05-02 18:09:52	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xb77f9b…
05-02 18:05:36	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x85a7cd…
05-02 18:02:58	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x939442…