Whopping-Graft — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$425

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.4%

Resolved

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$523

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 06-09 17:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

40% 0% -$211

Crypto

38% 27% -$100

Politics

22% 0% -$113

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-09).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$37	3,226	+3,226	No	-$37	05-09 07:02
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	3	$32	6,309	+6,309	No	-$32	05-16 20:05
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	3	$27	13,500	+13,500	No	-$27	05-05 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	3	$27	53	+53	Up	-$27	05-12 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$26	851	+851	Down	-$26	05-12 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$25	25,000	+25,000	Down	-$25	05-11 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	7	$20	53	+53	Up	-$20	05-12 04:34
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	1	$20	5,000	+5,000	No	-$20	05-16 20:11
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	1	$20	58	+58	No	-$20	06-07 19:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$15	672	+672	No	-$15	05-08 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	3	$15	41	+41	Up	+$15	05-11 06:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$12	190	+190	No	-$12	05-15 16:01
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?	1	$10	547	+547	No	-$10	05-12 10:37
Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$10	1,175	+1,175	No	-$10	05-16 15:17
Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$10	1,160	+1,160	No	-$10	05-16 15:18
Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$10	1,524	+1,524	No	-$10	05-16 15:17
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?	1	$9	2,372	+2,372	No	-$9	05-11 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$9	16	+16	Up	$0	05-12 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	3	$9	18	+18	Down	+$1	05-12 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$7	12	+12	Down	+$5	05-12 08:57
Will Albania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	2	$6	2,133	+2,133	No	-$6	05-16 20:06
Will Albania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$6	1,742	+1,742	No	-$6	05-16 20:07
Will Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$6	1,500	+1,500	No	-$6	05-16 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$6	12	+12	Up	$0	05-12 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$6	12	+12	Up	+$0	05-12 05:10
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 58m?	1	$5	125	+125	No	-$5	05-06 12:18
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	1	$5	104	+104	No	-$5	05-06 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$5	9	+9	Up	-$5	05-11 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$5	17	+17	Down	-$5	05-11 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$5	83	+83	Up	-$5	05-12 04:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:09:45	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfd14e1…
06-09 17:09:37	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdaf514…
06-09 17:09:31	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x90f729…
06-07 19:54:36	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	58	35¢	$20	0xf7258b…
06-03 16:25:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x9d0595…
06-01 17:03:28	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x22de89…
06-01 17:03:18	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x45b3df…
06-01 17:02:50	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xa8b2fe…
06-01 17:02:43	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x96240e…
06-01 17:02:29	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x8086db…
05-16 20:20:35	Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x29b031…
05-16 20:19:53	Will Croatia come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x473db8…
05-16 20:11:17	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$20	0x0bf5a2…
05-16 20:10:49	Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	219	2¢	$5	0x330624…
05-16 20:08:03	Will Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0xa4edb3…
05-16 20:07:38	Will Albania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,242	0¢	$5	0xb1030f…
05-16 20:06:46	Will Albania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	1,633	0¢	$5	0x289aee…
05-16 20:05:43	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,309	1¢	$30	0x1cc69e…
05-16 19:58:41	Will Albania come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	261	0¢	$1	0xfe4005…
05-16 19:39:17	Will Poland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	4¢	$5	0x103a28…
05-16 15:18:11	Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	1,160	1¢	$10	0x703f64…
05-16 15:17:45	Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	1,175	1¢	$10	0xcc60eb…
05-16 15:17:38	Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	1,524	1¢	$10	0x9b69ca…
05-16 15:16:51	Will Azerbaijan be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe1d5cf…
05-16 15:16:44	Will Cyprus be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x55dd80…
05-16 15:16:35	Will Armenia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xff88e3…
05-16 15:16:30	Will Estonia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8430e1…
05-16 15:16:23	Will Germany be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x98fdbe…
05-16 15:16:14	Will Luxembourg be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x095b99…
05-16 15:16:07	Will Switzerland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa63dae…
05-16 08:55:17	Will Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xf7f6da…
05-16 08:54:32	Will Belgium win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9f0e17…
05-16 08:54:06	Will Georgia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa7a7b7…
05-16 08:54:00	Will Switzerland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xca4ca0…
05-16 08:53:52	Will Estonia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4a8901…
05-16 08:53:20	Will Luxembourg win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb988bc…
05-16 08:53:13	Will United Kingdom win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdac471…
05-16 08:53:04	Will Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x238971…
05-16 08:52:52	Will Czechia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xebf037…
05-15 16:01:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	119	2¢	$2	0x920ffb…
05-15 12:37:02	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xec448e…
05-15 12:36:53	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x6623db…
05-15 12:36:39	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xe485f2…
05-15 12:36:28	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x274a44…
05-15 12:36:21	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x3f69af…
05-15 12:36:16	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x1ec14b…
05-12 10:37:41	Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?	Yes	BUY	547	2¢	$10	0xf69989…
05-12 09:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xdf81cf…
05-12 09:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9d53d7…
05-12 09:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf01925…
05-12 09:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x71ce72…
05-12 09:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0xa82c63…
05-12 09:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa99c4e…
05-12 09:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x344420…
05-12 09:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf14f47…
05-12 09:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6dc301…
05-12 09:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6ce411…
05-12 09:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x072a64…
05-12 09:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2bf86d…
05-12 09:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x639224…
05-12 09:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x490dbf…
05-12 09:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x184968…
05-12 08:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x79fc40…
05-12 08:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x26c002…
05-12 08:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x11a3d7…
05-12 08:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xeb95fa…
05-12 07:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x72b4d3…
05-12 07:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xec1ca8…
05-12 07:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x65c316…
05-12 06:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x9c556d…
05-12 06:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x09d243…
05-12 06:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xc92cce…
05-12 06:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x7d6df5…
05-12 06:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x018fc7…
05-12 06:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xe9267f…
05-12 06:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xb102e3…
05-12 05:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x3c6f88…
05-12 05:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2d47fc…
05-12 04:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5587c6…
05-12 04:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x94f128…
05-12 04:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xda3329…
05-12 04:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf4dcdd…
05-12 04:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4d71ae…
05-12 04:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa5f19e…
05-12 04:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	846	3¢	$25	0x102c5a…
05-12 04:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7dede9…
05-12 04:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xe8bb4b…
05-12 04:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x15a2e3…
05-12 04:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x1d84f3…
05-12 04:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfc9b24…
05-12 04:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xf46444…
05-12 04:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd00e94…
05-12 04:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xdb5b9f…
05-12 04:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x7f93a7…
05-11 18:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x75e889…
05-11 13:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf256bf…
05-11 06:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xf0a129…
05-11 06:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x211d5e…
05-11 06:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x900ed4…
05-11 06:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25,000	0¢	$25	0x38aae5…