Whopping-Graft — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$152

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

17.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$293

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 06-07 19:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 28% $-100

Politics

29% 0% $-52

Other

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes		+34	$1	1¢	$0	$-1	06-03 16:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$37	3,226	+3,226	No	$-37	05-09 07:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	3	$27	53	+53	Up	$-27	05-12 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$26	851	+851	Down	$-26	05-12 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$25	25,000	+25,000	Down	$-25	05-11 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	7	$20	53	+53	Up	$-20	05-12 04:34
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	1	$20	58	+58	open	—	06-07 19:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$15	672	+672	No	$-15	05-08 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	3	$15	41	+41	Up	+$15	05-11 06:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$12	190	+190	open	—	05-15 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$9	16	+16	Up	$-0	05-12 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	3	$9	18	+18	Down	+$1	05-12 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$7	12	+12	Down	+$5	05-12 08:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$6	12	+12	Up	$-0	05-12 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$6	12	+12	Up	+$0	05-12 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$5	9	+9	Up	$-5	05-11 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$5	17	+17	Down	$-5	05-11 18:13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	1	$5	104	+104	open	—	05-06 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$5	83	+83	Up	$-5	05-12 04:38
Will Poland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	140	+140	open	—	05-16 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	5	$5	12	+12	Down	$-1	05-12 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$4	8	+8	Down	+$2	05-12 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	4	$4	8	+8	Up	$-0	05-12 04:58
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$3	124	+124	open	—	05-05 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Down	$-3	05-11 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	3	$3	89	+89	Down	$-3	05-12 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$2	101	+101	Down	$-1	05-12 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Down	+$2	05-11 06:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$2	5	+5	Up	$-1	05-12 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$1	100	+100	Down	$-1	05-11 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-12 09:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 19:54:36	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	58	35¢	$20	0xf7258b…
06-03 16:25:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x9d0595…
05-16 19:39:17	Will Poland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	4¢	$5	0x103a28…
05-15 16:01:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	119	2¢	$2	0x920ffb…
05-12 09:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xdf81cf…
05-12 09:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9d53d7…
05-12 09:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf01925…
05-12 09:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x71ce72…
05-12 09:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0xa82c63…
05-12 09:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa99c4e…
05-12 09:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x344420…
05-12 09:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf14f47…
05-12 09:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6dc301…
05-12 09:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6ce411…
05-12 09:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x072a64…
05-12 09:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2bf86d…
05-12 09:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x639224…
05-12 09:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x490dbf…
05-12 09:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x184968…
05-12 08:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x79fc40…
05-12 08:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x26c002…
05-12 08:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x11a3d7…
05-12 08:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xeb95fa…
05-12 07:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x72b4d3…
05-12 07:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xec1ca8…
05-12 07:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x65c316…
05-12 06:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x9c556d…
05-12 06:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x09d243…
05-12 06:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xc92cce…
05-12 06:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xe9267f…
05-12 06:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xb102e3…
05-12 05:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x3c6f88…
05-12 05:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2d47fc…
05-12 04:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5587c6…
05-12 04:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x94f128…
05-12 04:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xda3329…
05-12 04:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf4dcdd…
05-12 04:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4d71ae…
05-12 04:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa5f19e…
05-12 04:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	846	3¢	$25	0x102c5a…
05-12 04:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7dede9…
05-12 04:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xe8bb4b…
05-12 04:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x15a2e3…
05-12 04:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x1d84f3…
05-12 04:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfc9b24…
05-12 04:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xf46444…
05-12 04:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd00e94…
05-12 04:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xdb5b9f…
05-12 04:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x7f93a7…
05-11 18:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x75e889…
05-11 13:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf256bf…
05-11 06:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xf0a129…
05-11 06:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x211d5e…
05-11 06:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x900ed4…
05-11 06:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25,000	0¢	$25	0x38aae5…
05-11 06:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xba2d12…
05-11 06:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x6b0e4d…
05-11 06:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x0ee6af…
05-09 07:02:14	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,960	0¢	$2	0x5b674b…
05-08 22:30:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x08af15…
05-08 22:29:29	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	638	1¢	$5	0xe524e9…
05-07 20:16:22	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	435	2¢	$10	0xcce41b…
05-06 12:16:14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0x49c0c5…
05-06 12:13:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x13a129…
05-06 12:13:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	217	5¢	$10	0x3a02a6…
05-05 18:38:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	124	3¢	$3	0x4d0d10…
05-05 18:08:14	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	193	10¢	$20	0x9fdba2…