Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

81.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$225

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-28

last 07-10 04:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

55% 100% +$2

Other

43% 50% +$2

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No		+6	$5	86¢	$6	+$0	07-10 04:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 11?	1	$5	9	+9	Up	+$4	05-11 03:07
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	07-10 04:20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-28 00:43
trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	04-10 17:25
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	04-07 15:24
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	03-04 09:50
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	03-05 10:22
will fidesz kdnp win at least 70 seats	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	04-07 07:23
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	03-06 18:57
spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	03-06 02:41
googl up or down on april 10 2026	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	04-09 16:06
donald trump of truth social posts march 3 march 10 200plus	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	03-07 03:11
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on April 24?	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	04-23 15:37
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	03-04 01:49
nflx up or down on april 9 2026	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	04-08 23:49
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	03-03 09:43
trump approval up or down this week 857	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	03-14 02:49
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	03-13 00:50
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	04-20 08:00
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	03-12 00:46
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	03-06 10:55
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 100 119	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	03-11 08:37
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	1	$5	7	+7	Yes	+$2	04-26 16:03
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	04-20 16:26
donald trump of truth social posts february 24 march 3 140 159	1	$5	23	+23	open	—	02-28 07:29
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-01 23:36
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	04-26 00:03
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	1	$5	12	+12	open	—	03-01 15:35
will the us add less than 25k jobs in february	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	02-28 15:33
gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	07-07 04:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 04:20:32	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x07ea34…
07-07 04:19:59	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xea9073…
07-06 04:19:47	will meta reach 620 by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x7633ad…
06-12 06:55:03	will warsh say chair during june press conference 20260608181156655	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x4b51f0…
06-11 09:51:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xd50c80…
05-28 08:43:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x6bc0fb…
05-28 00:43:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x8b2b60…
05-12 03:08:03	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xa9a5c6…
05-11 03:07:43	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa7eb9e…
04-26 16:03:44	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x218ad8…
04-26 00:03:08	Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x873525…
04-23 15:37:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on April 24?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x2ab70f…
04-23 07:36:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x15c2b7…
04-21 16:40:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x9b4c8d…
04-21 08:27:38	meta up or down on april 21 2026	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x0859f4…
04-20 16:26:44	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x5703ea…
04-20 08:00:40	Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb42ad2…
04-14 09:32:55	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x129807…
04-11 13:26:55	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xf87e74…
04-11 05:11:37	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza finish with the second most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xb03942…
04-10 17:25:53	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4733c8…
04-10 09:19:43	will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x099ed8…
04-10 00:44:05	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x6ee382…
04-09 16:06:09	googl up or down on april 10 2026	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x31b15f…
04-08 23:49:17	nflx up or down on april 9 2026	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x649771…
04-08 15:49:11	Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xf042ea…
04-08 07:33:59	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x1dd029…
04-07 23:27:29	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x2050c2…
04-07 15:24:39	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x3e701f…
04-07 07:23:01	will fidesz kdnp win at least 70 seats	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x0baf68…
03-27 02:17:49	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x44f5b3…
03-26 14:58:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xabd21b…
03-26 01:58:45	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x07a823…
03-24 18:45:49	rh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 2pt22	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x387776…
03-24 02:09:33	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 90 114	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xbd30eb…
03-23 18:04:13	will tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in q1 2026	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xe7698a…
03-23 08:53:21	will trump say iran 7 times during memphis roundtable 386	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$3	0xfc72c8…
03-14 18:39:59	will russia capture sofiivka by march 31	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x6fb7e7…
03-14 02:49:45	trump approval up or down this week 857	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x20f27d…
03-13 00:50:01	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x2c6bcb…
03-12 16:49:13	will daniel biss be the democratic nominee for il 09	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x8e74f8…
03-12 00:46:37	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xcb1806…
03-11 16:44:41	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	No	BUY	8	42¢	$4	0x9cdc38…
03-11 08:37:39	donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 100 119	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x557177…
03-07 03:11:27	donald trump of truth social posts march 3 march 10 200plus	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xaff7a1…
03-06 18:57:45	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe0ffc5…
03-06 10:55:25	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x25a97f…
03-06 02:41:41	spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x0fbacd…
03-05 10:22:17	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x1604fe…
03-05 02:10:23	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x2156d2…
03-04 18:01:11	will trump say biden during tech signing event on wednesday	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xe67eb3…
03-04 09:50:07	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4b4145…
03-04 01:49:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x4aa5bb…
03-03 17:48:55	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x3deab8…
03-03 09:43:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xa18331…
03-01 23:36:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x09f81d…
03-01 15:35:27	Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x4fe0f0…
02-28 23:34:59	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd3d1de…
02-28 15:33:09	will the us add less than 25k jobs in february	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xddd9ec…
02-28 07:29:31	donald trump of truth social posts february 24 march 3 140 159	Yes	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x75bdc9…