Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$46

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.4%

Resolved

618

Trades

842

lifetime

Volume

$61.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-09

last 08-26 23:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 95% -$2

Other

35% 100% +$41

Politics

3% 100% +$6

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 190 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	2	$2.0K	2,000	+2,000	No	+$2	07-31 07:46
ethereum above 1800 on july 23 2026	3	$2.0K	2,000	+2,000	Yes	+$4	07-23 13:50
will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 13	2	$2.0K	2,000	+2,000	No	+$6	07-14 03:05
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	2	$1.8K	1,782	+1,782	No	+$3	08-03 14:18
will bitcoin reach 66k on july 29	2	$1.5K	1,500	+1,500	No	+$2	07-30 02:22
Will Anduril have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?	3	$1.1K	1,140	+1,140	No	+$2	08-01 16:36
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?	1	$999	1,000	+1,000	Yes	+$1	08-10 16:24
xrp above 1pt2 on july 29 2026	1	$999	1,000	+1,000	No	+$1	07-29 15:25
bitcoin above 64k on july 30 2026	1	$999	1,000	+1,000	Yes	+$1	07-30 15:52
ethereum above 2000 on july 21 2026	1	$999	1,000	+1,000	No	+$1	07-21 15:18
bitcoin above 62k on august 6 2026	1	$999	1,000	+1,000	Yes	+$1	08-06 14:03
bitcoin above 62k on july 28 2026	1	$999	1,000	+1,000	Yes	+$1	07-28 15:22
bitcoin above 62k on august 5 2026	1	$999	1,000	+1,000	Yes	+$1	08-05 14:31
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 10?	1	$999	1,000	+1,000	No	+$1	08-09 00:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 17?	2	$998	1,000	+1,000	No	+$2	07-17 15:13
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?	6	$997	1,000	+1,000	No	+$3	07-26 20:30
bitcoin above 62k on july 17 2026	1	$997	1,000	+1,000	Yes	+$3	07-17 15:12
will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	1	$995	1,000	+1,000	No	+$5	07-17 22:20
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	2	$995	1,000	+1,000	No	+$5	07-17 23:12
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 12?	2	$987	988	+988	No	+$1	08-12 14:49
wti closes above 78 on august 11 2026	1	$984	985	+985	Yes	+$1	08-11 20:31
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?	1	$982	983	+983	No	+$1	08-10 16:24
Will Epic Games have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?	2	$862	863	+863	No	+$1	08-01 16:38
bitcoin above 64200 on august 6 2026 1pm et	2	$803	804	+804	Yes	+$1	08-06 16:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 9?	1	$801	802	+802	No	+$1	08-09 15:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 4?	5	$786	789	+789	No	+$3	08-04 10:38
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	3	$771	773	+773	No	+$2	08-04 18:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 8?	3	$748	750	+750	No	+$2	08-08 15:01
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 20?	1	$656	657	+657	Yes	+$1	07-20 15:53
will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	6	$609	610	+610	Yes	+$1	08-08 17:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-26 23:04:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbacdfb…
08-24 09:34:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x1dd2aa…
08-24 09:14:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x11aab8…
08-24 08:49:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x420feb…
08-24 08:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc75282…
08-24 08:04:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6c2dd6…
08-24 07:39:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x967495…
08-24 07:24:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xc23df5…
08-24 07:24:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x9b86b2…
08-24 07:24:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0xd3267d…
08-24 07:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe950e3…
08-24 06:44:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcc93bf…
08-24 06:39:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd994f5…
08-24 06:29:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8cb303…
08-24 06:24:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x615a7f…
08-24 05:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0x187497…
08-24 05:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x52dce1…
08-24 04:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5ffb9e…
08-24 04:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0x45cdee…
08-24 03:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8f032c…
08-24 03:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe3083d…
08-24 02:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcf6725…
08-24 02:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xef2fee…
08-24 02:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x94040a…
08-24 02:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x0400b0…
08-24 02:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb570fc…
08-24 01:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xef7bc6…
08-24 01:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	78¢	$19	0xaea1ac…
08-24 01:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x48c4ff…
08-24 01:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	85¢	$19	0xd65b53…
08-24 01:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0b99f7…
08-24 01:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x82db9f…
08-24 01:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x1c6137…
08-24 00:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	81¢	$19	0xfdcccd…
08-24 00:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x857961…
08-23 23:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x83fe8d…
08-23 22:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3b3c69…
08-23 22:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x1782b4…
08-23 22:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x776daa…
08-23 22:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfdea7b…
08-23 22:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2efa37…
08-23 21:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x13689d…
08-23 21:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1d4db8…
08-23 21:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xe51f75…
08-23 21:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	82¢	$12	0xbd1c06…
08-23 21:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6f9011…
08-23 21:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x8bf680…
08-23 21:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x10ada9…
08-23 20:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7074a8…
08-23 20:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xe54cf0…
08-23 20:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdce3a5…
08-23 19:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x12f52c…
08-23 19:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0c43b1…
08-23 19:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb20479…
08-23 19:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xad5997…
08-23 18:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb20802…
08-23 18:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x031a46…
08-23 18:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x52d2b0…
08-23 18:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9db993…
08-23 17:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x526dd8…
08-23 17:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x026e11…
08-23 17:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x02634d…
08-23 17:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xef5185…
08-23 16:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd95711…
08-23 15:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4bddf6…
08-23 15:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4eaa8b…
08-23 15:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x14bda6…
08-23 15:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x743b71…
08-23 15:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9064ef…
08-23 15:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x08ad5d…
08-23 14:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb1c708…
08-23 14:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x174968…
08-23 14:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xaadce7…
08-23 13:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x740295…
08-23 13:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe0598b…
08-23 13:49:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xdf884d…
08-23 13:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x72a377…
08-23 13:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x39f7dc…
08-23 13:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x32b401…
08-23 13:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbd7bd6…
08-23 13:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8853b6…
08-23 13:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x6107d6…
08-23 12:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5d9bb8…
08-23 12:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf7c6cc…
08-23 12:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x157955…
08-23 11:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6ab1bf…
08-23 11:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xadac4d…
08-23 10:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4d172b…
08-23 10:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x85cce8…
08-23 09:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6b0439…
08-23 09:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8a6ad3…
08-23 09:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe48682…
08-23 09:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2a77f2…
08-23 09:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb9a893…
08-23 08:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x27b1c8…
08-23 08:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0760e4…
08-23 08:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2d54a2…
08-23 08:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf46b2b…
08-23 07:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd2f66b…
08-23 07:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5a87c5…