Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$13.4K

Hit rate

25.3%

Resolved

Trades

769

lifetime

Volume

$125.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$163

Open exposure

$38.0K

15 positions

First seen

2026-07-31

last 11-01 06:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

99% 45% -$22,864

Other

1% 67% -$509

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	+28,762	$8,799	64¢	$18.3K	+$9,465	10-25 22:57
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+12,487	$5,146	52¢	$6.6K	+$1,409	10-28 01:31
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	+7,273	$3,130	54¢	$3.9K	+$761	10-28 01:30
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	+10,421	$2,579	36¢	$3.8K	+$1,178	09-25 10:24
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	+7,000	$1,750	34¢	$2.3K	+$595	11-01 03:57
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	+4,057	$985	36¢	$1.5K	+$495	09-27 22:57
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+2,459	$566	30¢	$750	+$184	10-28 09:38
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	+1,355	$312	30¢	$413	+$102	10-28 09:41
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+624	$175	64¢	$396	+$222	10-02 11:18
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	+103	$40	87¢	$90	+$50	08-04 21:59
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	+26	$16	72¢	$18	+$3	10-09 16:52
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	+103	-$98	13¢	$13	+$111	10-27 22:24
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	+67	$36	12¢	$8	-$28	08-05 02:08
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	+0	-$22	28¢	$0	+$22	09-24 11:08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+0	$1,150	68¢	$0	-$1,150	11-01 06:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	51	$16.7K	30,034	30,034	+0	Yes	-$16,226	10-31 05:30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	30	$13.0K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	11-01 06:35
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	59	$11.9K	26,900	9,324	+17,576	No	-$11,783	10-31 11:51
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	67	$11.7K	25,000	1,505	+23,495	Yes	+$12,260	10-08 17:13
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	47	$9.4K	17,487	5,000	+12,487	open	—	10-28 01:31
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	11	$9.1K	9,000	3,000	+6,000	Yes	-$172	10-29 00:44
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	73	$8.8K	28,762	0	+28,762	open	—	10-25 22:57
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	55	$7.4K	12,273	5,000	+7,273	open	—	10-28 01:30
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	2	$6.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	10-16 15:33
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	60	$3.4K	10,167	0	+10,167	Yes	-$2,856	08-25 18:17
Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?	59	$3.3K	7,296	0	+7,296	No	-$3,327	08-18 22:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	13	$3.3K	6,200	0	+6,200	Yes	-$222	10-26 08:45
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	11	$2.6K	10,421	0	+10,421	open	—	09-25 10:24
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	15	$2.4K	6,069	0	+6,069	No	-$896	08-25 17:32
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	72	$2.4K	6,378	6,172	+206	open	—	10-27 22:24
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	8	$1.9K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	+$30	10-05 02:53
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	1	$1.8K	7,000	0	+7,000	open	—	11-01 03:57
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	22	$1.3K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	09-24 11:08
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	6	$1.2K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	09-24 11:08
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	21	$985	4,057	0	+4,057	open	—	09-27 22:57
will trump say transgender during his rally with darline graham	7	$910	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$90	08-21 17:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	13	$873	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	10-27 22:06
will trump say oil gas gasoline during his rally with darline graham	4	$723	769	0	+769	Yes	+$46	08-21 08:06
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 11 20260807213124700	3	$569	580	0	+580	No	+$10	08-09 00:22
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	1	$566	2,459	0	+2,459	open	—	10-28 09:38
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	2	$524	550	0	+550	Yes	-$524	08-09 02:01
will trump say stock market during his rally with darline graham	2	$435	500	0	+500	Yes	+$65	08-21 07:49
Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 35–40%?	3	$389	546	0	+546	No	+$157	08-16 11:59
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	18	$363	1,107	0	+1,107	No	-$363	08-16 21:26
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	1	$336	550	0	+550	Yes	-$336	10-16 17:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 06:35:43	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	423	61¢	$258	0x34105b…
11-01 06:35:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0x533c3e…
11-01 06:35:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	789	61¢	$481	0x032eb6…
11-01 03:57:25	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	7,000	25¢	$1,750	0x53fb37…
10-31 11:51:15	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	254	0¢	$0	0x462aea…
10-31 11:31:06	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	3,740	0¢	$4	0x9e48ad…
10-31 05:30:37	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	3,815	1¢	$27	0x745176…
10-31 05:07:52	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	214	1¢	$1	0x93d2d7…
10-31 04:33:31	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	214	1¢	$1	0xc3a2dd…
10-31 02:31:42	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	268	1¢	$2	0x6a7318…
10-31 02:30:51	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x16a5a0…
10-31 02:30:49	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x9ff335…
10-31 02:30:40	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	16,519	1¢	$116	0x9c3ecd…
10-30 16:56:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1,014	61¢	$619	0xdd5946…
10-30 16:56:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x1e5393…
10-30 16:54:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	45	61¢	$27	0x7fa788…
10-30 16:47:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	199	61¢	$121	0x51f044…
10-30 16:43:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	11	61¢	$6	0x0813fb…
10-30 16:43:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x6c7202…
10-30 16:35:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	17	61¢	$10	0xff1a84…
10-30 16:34:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	58	61¢	$36	0x156c0e…
10-30 16:31:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	241	61¢	$147	0x51a771…
10-30 16:24:34	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	206	61¢	$126	0x0e79d5…
10-30 16:24:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	323	61¢	$197	0x0d4f66…
10-30 16:20:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0x546198…
10-30 16:17:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	16	61¢	$10	0x1dcb6b…
10-30 16:15:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1,247	61¢	$761	0x5a8c10…
10-30 03:15:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	4,650	58¢	$2,697	0x40ec31…
10-30 03:05:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x412764…
10-30 02:53:07	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	40	58¢	$23	0xf5fc34…
10-30 02:53:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	40	58¢	$23	0x903453…
10-30 02:52:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0xbd7584…
10-30 02:52:25	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xb205ae…
10-30 02:44:52	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xe5193d…
10-30 02:44:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x6194ed…
10-30 02:44:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x3228f9…
10-30 02:43:34	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	29	58¢	$17	0xef5055…
10-30 02:29:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	212	58¢	$123	0x0d45d7…
10-29 00:44:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	3,000	100¢	$2,988	0xf46ed2…
10-28 09:41:28	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,355	23¢	$312	0x234fd9…
10-28 09:38:29	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,459	23¢	$566	0x5212d5…
10-28 02:49:09	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5,000	1¢	$35	0x63d32d…
10-28 02:01:39	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	4,000	1¢	$48	0xfe5401…
10-28 02:00:50	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	640	1¢	$7	0xe1668d…
10-28 01:31:03	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,748	43¢	$751	0x2cb7cb…
10-28 01:30:57	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	43¢	$860	0xa41921…
10-28 01:30:53	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	284	43¢	$122	0x9fd401…
10-28 01:30:53	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	223	43¢	$96	0x94b783…
10-28 01:30:53	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	4,045	43¢	$1,739	0x150aa2…
10-28 00:39:12	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	330	2¢	$6	0xec4323…
10-28 00:33:26	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	43¢	$10	0x4cad8b…
10-28 00:32:08	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0xbf81bf…
10-27 23:56:33	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0xe671cc…
10-27 23:34:56	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	116	43¢	$50	0x034182…
10-27 23:27:06	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	205	6¢	$12	0x8d8c3d…
10-27 23:27:00	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x374a9f…
10-27 23:26:27	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x6dcd2f…
10-27 23:25:50	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	394	6¢	$24	0x87e1c7…
10-27 23:24:33	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	39	6¢	$2	0x1304b6…
10-27 23:24:27	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xb40d9b…
10-27 23:24:18	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x32d104…
10-27 23:24:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xa244e0…
10-27 23:24:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x8b3ae2…
10-27 23:24:15	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	777	6¢	$47	0xf10bb9…
10-27 23:22:35	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0xf203e1…
10-27 23:16:39	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2,423	6¢	$145	0xc53243…
10-27 23:16:14	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xd20850…
10-27 23:16:12	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0xf3b80d…
10-27 23:16:12	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x0c4140…
10-27 23:16:03	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xff176f…
10-27 23:16:03	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x514efb…
10-27 23:15:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x09ad8e…
10-27 23:15:45	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x3de820…
10-27 23:15:45	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x086284…
10-27 23:11:45	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	617	6¢	$37	0xdb1a2b…
10-27 23:11:44	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0xe30c09…
10-27 23:11:41	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	330	6¢	$20	0x38acd1…
10-27 23:11:36	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0xebdce6…
10-27 23:11:36	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	167	7¢	$12	0xe6070d…
10-27 23:11:36	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	333	7¢	$23	0x8f0d7f…
10-27 23:11:36	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0x729652…
10-27 23:11:30	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x37b3eb…
10-27 23:10:56	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	753	7¢	$53	0x62d9c6…
10-27 23:10:41	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2,000	7¢	$140	0xe85294…
10-27 22:28:29	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,136	12¢	$136	0xc38854…
10-27 22:28:24	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	764	12¢	$92	0xafd8fb…
10-27 22:24:47	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	46	20¢	$9	0x20ccb1…
10-27 22:24:20	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x2bdbe7…
10-27 22:23:59	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	56	20¢	$11	0x42f5f5…
10-27 22:20:20	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	774	13¢	$101	0x1ab146…
10-27 22:18:59	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0xb17cca…
10-27 22:18:48	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,330	13¢	$173	0xfd002e…
10-27 22:17:27	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x616069…
10-27 22:14:39	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	375	13¢	$49	0xc3daf7…
10-27 22:13:45	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	300	13¢	$39	0x97a5b6…
10-27 22:13:45	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2,200	13¢	$286	0x20d030…
10-27 22:11:02	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	447	20¢	$89	0x29c8f8…
10-27 22:10:20	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	500	20¢	$100	0x955c87…
10-27 22:10:14	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	34	20¢	$7	0x0cc499…
10-27 22:10:09	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	27	20¢	$5	0xdc4bd7…