Minor-Ale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$120.3K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

79.8%

Resolved

11,750

Trades

53,554

lifetime

Volume

$2.39M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-06 09:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 198 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 73% -$120,275

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 364 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	—	+2	$2	1¢	$0	-$1	11-06 15:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 05:45 UTC	327	$17.4K	21,874	0	+21,874	Up	-$17,444	02-19 05:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 05:20 UTC	270	$13.5K	18,066	0	+18,066	Down	+$4,545	02-19 05:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 16:15 UTC	129	$11.7K	9,000	8,927	+73	Down	+$1,018	01-13 16:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	83	$11.3K	6,066	6,066	+0	Up	+$554	05-14 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	211	$10.6K	6,264	6,264	+0	Up	+$576	05-05 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	255	$10.4K	6,045	6,044	+1	Down	+$440	05-05 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	302	$10.3K	6,344	6,344	+0	Up	+$329	05-05 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	143	$10.1K	5,195	5,194	+0	Up	+$91	05-05 06:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 06:15 UTC	79	$9.6K	5,178	5,178	+0	Up	+$621	02-20 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	285	$9.6K	5,237	5,236	+1	Down	+$222	05-14 04:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 03:40 UTC	284	$9.3K	20,000	0	+20,000	Up	-$9,334	02-19 03:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	163	$9.3K	5,377	5,377	+0	Up	+$286	05-14 04:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 04:55 UTC	99	$8.9K	10,485	0	+10,485	Down	+$1,586	02-19 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	74	$8.9K	5,695	3,953	+1,742	Up	+$616	05-05 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	182	$8.6K	5,073	5,073	+0	Down	+$566	05-14 04:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 05:55 UTC	59	$8.2K	4,319	4,316	+3	Down	+$326	02-20 06:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 21:55 UTC	160	$8.2K	5,334	5,334	+0	Down	+$2,352	03-03 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	7	$8.2K	4,842	4,842	+0	Up	+$1,315	05-05 05:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 04:45 UTC	133	$8.0K	11,258	0	+11,258	Up	+$3,279	02-19 04:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 05:50 UTC	10	$7.7K	4,013	4,013	+0	Down	+$281	02-20 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	178	$7.6K	4,946	3,532	+1,414	Up	-$1,058	05-05 10:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 04:20 UTC	612	$7.4K	19,998	0	+19,998	Down	-$7,399	02-19 04:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	9	$7.0K	8,657	0	+8,657	Up	-$7,000	05-05 07:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 05:35 UTC	60	$6.9K	3,742	3,740	+2	Down	+$525	02-20 05:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 04:45 UTC	1	$6.9K	7,000	0	+7,000	Up	+$140	01-13 04:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	29	$6.9K	4,838	4,838	+0	Up	-$107	05-14 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	426	$6.7K	10,521	0	+10,521	Up	-$6,691	05-05 11:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 08:35 UTC	348	$6.6K	154,874	0	+154,874	Up	-$6,649	03-18 08:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 05:45 UTC	72	$6.5K	4,689	4,638	+51	Up	+$39	02-20 05:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 11:15 UTC	46	$6.2K	3,383	3,378	+5	Down	+$460	02-19 11:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 15:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xb0670a…
11-06 14:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0xebf65c…
11-06 14:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x195224…
11-06 14:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x3bb6ed…
11-06 14:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0xe00da7…
11-06 14:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xdd1586…
11-06 14:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	18	64¢	$11	0xe8bdb2…
11-06 14:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xbf70c7…
11-06 14:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x208b2c…
11-06 14:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xabb965…
11-06 14:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x16dcb3…
11-06 14:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x440401…
11-06 14:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc198a0…
11-06 14:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x0a0471…
11-06 14:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	14	68¢	$9	0x1ace60…
11-06 14:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xc7af87…
11-06 09:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0x9e47a9…
11-06 09:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xb31f9b…
11-06 09:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x73c3fb…
11-06 09:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	70¢	$5	0x604715…
11-06 09:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x60decd…
11-06 09:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$4	0x4ecf2a…
11-06 09:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x57bb5e…
11-06 09:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0xc26e28…
11-06 09:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xe0966c…
11-06 09:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x326f18…
11-06 09:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x3fa2af…
11-06 07:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xbb81f6…
11-06 06:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x8c9708…
11-06 06:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x246f04…
11-05 03:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x978087…
11-05 03:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xb9f2bb…
11-05 03:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x29fa16…
11-05 03:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	87¢	$4	0x9b089c…
11-05 03:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x9517ae…
11-05 02:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xf0d6c9…
11-05 02:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x19bd58…
11-05 02:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x284dba…
11-05 02:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x4f5247…
11-05 00:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xb4e71d…
11-05 00:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x035c74…
11-05 00:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x8ef1f3…
11-05 00:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5b6f99…
11-04 19:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	28¢	$8	0x6b51ec…
11-04 18:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0xae11f6…
11-04 18:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x324c88…
11-04 18:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8d6dbd…
11-04 18:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x54ef7d…
11-04 17:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	9	97¢	$8	0x8225f2…
11-04 17:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x31f492…
11-04 14:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x03d002…
11-04 14:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x06403a…
11-04 11:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xc70bea…
11-04 11:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe73298…
11-04 11:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xdb23d0…
11-04 11:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xed265d…
11-04 09:16:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x640a5a…
11-04 08:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x34505a…
11-04 08:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xc0e92f…
11-04 08:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xc38843…
11-04 08:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xc762b7…
11-04 08:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xf4b9ac…
11-04 08:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x3eebc9…
11-04 08:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x7fe723…
11-04 08:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x20964a…
11-04 08:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0x081956…
11-04 08:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x4215e9…
11-04 08:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x72c9b2…
11-04 08:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xf25cc6…
11-04 08:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xfc2d39…
11-04 08:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf6d04a…
11-04 08:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x3a2af4…
11-04 08:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xf49412…
11-04 08:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x27f501…
11-04 08:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xd25fd1…
11-04 07:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x3e98fe…
11-04 07:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xcc767f…
11-04 07:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0xb4d011…
11-04 07:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x9d77e7…
11-04 07:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x5f0b16…
11-04 07:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x9fe867…
11-04 07:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xe837da…
11-04 07:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x4c637e…
11-04 07:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x7206e2…
11-04 07:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xeec1f0…
11-04 07:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0x11fd76…
11-04 07:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0x70f38a…
11-04 07:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xeee815…
11-04 07:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x13343b…
11-04 00:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x56ad64…
11-04 00:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe1e5d1…
11-04 00:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x88b90f…
11-04 00:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x81ea8d…
11-04 00:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x44bbdd…
11-04 00:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x6aa6f2…
11-03 23:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x1e171e…
11-03 23:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xcd0aed…
11-03 23:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0x769c8d…
11-03 23:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x67caea…
11-03 23:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0x084985…