Outlandish-Spider — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

37.1%

Resolved

409

Trades

693

lifetime

Volume

$3.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 08-28 01:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Sports

74% 30% -$18

Other

24% 26% +$2

Politics

1% 100% +$10

Crypto

1% 25% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+147	$5	6¢	$8	+$3	07-24 20:08
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+100	$5	8¢	$8	+$3	07-24 20:08
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+147	$5	3¢	$5	$0	07-24 20:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	3	$578	448	448	+0	Timberwolves	+$318	05-05 04:14
Lakers vs. Thunder	4	$448	350	250	+100	Thunder	-$13	05-08 03:58
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	4	$254	269	255	+14	Cavaliers	-$10	05-03 15:37
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5	3	$207	111	103	+8	Under	-$3	05-22 02:43
Will Denver Nuggets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	3	$207	245	245	+0	No	-$3	04-29 12:58
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	2	$180	195	0	+195	Yes	+$15	07-18 22:53
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	5	$153	274	263	+11	Cavaliers	-$6	05-03 15:37
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$102	390	0	+390	Thunder	-$102	05-21 01:12
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	7	$65	975	160	+815	Spurs	-$64	05-07 03:11
76ers vs. Knicks	4	$58	166	0	+166	Knicks	-$42	05-07 00:59
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$46	46	36	+10	No	-$4	05-22 23:45
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$41	74	68	+6	No	+$3	06-11 01:12
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$39	79	79	+0	Yes	+$17	06-03 08:50
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev	4	$29	145	145	+0	Luciano Darderi	+$25	05-12 14:49
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakina	10	$26	300	200	+100	Elena Rybakina	-$2	05-10 15:35
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$25	34	34	+0	Yes	+$5	05-21 01:31
Rockets vs. Lakers	8	$25	33	21	+12	Rockets	+$2	04-30 03:09
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 31?	6	$23	54	0	+54	Yes	+$31	07-31 04:12
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	2	$21	27	0	+27	Yes	+$6	08-01 22:58
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 31?	6	$20	53	0	+53	No	-$20	07-31 04:11
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$20	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-18 14:47
Spurs vs. Thunder	4	$20	51	0	+51	Spurs	-$20	05-31 01:04
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 10?	2	$19	77	77	+0	Yes	+$17	08-10 02:13
Spurs vs. Thunder	7	$19	26	20	+6	Spurs	+$2	05-19 03:30
Thunder vs. Lakers	5	$18	24	18	+6	Thunder	+$0	05-12 05:14
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	3	$17	51	0	+51	Knicks	+$33	06-04 01:16
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	7	$17	39	23	+16	Knicks	$0	05-20 02:50
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres	1	$15	23	0	+23	San Diego Padres	+$8	07-29 04:48
will arthur fery advance to the final in gentlemens singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629164809347	2	$15	65	0	+65	No	-$15	07-10 13:24
will alexander zverev advance to the final in gentlemens singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629164809381	2	$15	65	0	+65	Yes	-$15	07-10 13:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 01:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 28?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xffd6fd…
08-28 01:45:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa134c6…
08-28 01:45:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 28?	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x611f32…
08-28 01:44:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x495b80…
08-21 05:44:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x000552…
08-21 05:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9b3390…
08-21 01:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf70a4e…
08-20 22:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7c0b39…
08-20 22:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xf64e9a…
08-20 22:49:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x1fb65d…
08-20 22:49:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xda7a26…
08-20 14:34:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x9c94c8…
08-20 14:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5e23d9…
08-20 14:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x36e2fc…
08-20 14:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x20e958…
08-20 14:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9edc96…
08-20 14:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 21?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe6a599…
08-18 22:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x297c76…
08-18 22:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf5d25d…
08-18 22:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x1e9499…
08-18 22:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4865b5…
08-18 05:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xea42b8…
08-18 02:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc2e631…
08-18 02:34:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x1c06e4…
08-18 02:23:27	wta eala anisimo 2026 08 17	Alexandra Eala	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x9bee1c…
08-14 07:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 14?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x294511…
08-14 05:47:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe2ac79…
08-14 05:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5796f6…
08-14 05:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1c2168…
08-14 02:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x098843…
08-14 02:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x19ded0…
08-14 02:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xf7339b…
08-14 02:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x8a458c…
08-13 02:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x30b5db…
08-13 02:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0xbc609d…
08-12 23:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	41	7¢	$3	0xb62c29…
08-12 23:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0xbd99fc…
08-12 23:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x7ebcce…
08-12 23:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xd7a2ab…
08-12 16:47:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc76b63…
08-12 16:46:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa647c5…
08-11 10:22:04	Will Ekaterina Alexandrova Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?	Yes	SELL	123	0¢	$0	0xf1ad82…
08-11 04:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 11?	No	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xefed0b…
08-11 03:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xf7728b…
08-11 03:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	21	14¢	$3	0xc7069d…
08-11 03:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	82	1¢	$1	0x6207b8…
08-11 01:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xeade6d…
08-11 01:27:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xc6dc79…
08-11 01:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb9ebdb…
08-11 01:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf6f6a2…
08-11 01:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$1	0xdd0ca1…
08-11 01:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf0fde5…
08-11 01:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x3f0f76…
08-10 22:32:07	Will Ekaterina Alexandrova Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x3e1a69…
08-10 16:52:52	Will Ekaterina Alexandrova Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xdc0625…
08-10 15:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x40d392…
08-10 15:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa66206…
08-10 02:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 10?	No	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xa187ee…
08-10 02:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	77	23¢	$18	0xeffeef…
08-10 02:07:22	wta eala bencic 2026 08 09	Alexandra Eala	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8eab72…
08-09 23:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf5ace7…
08-09 23:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x4ab0fc…
08-08 23:20:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	9	92¢	$9	0xb5942c…
08-08 22:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xcfb3cc…
08-08 22:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x314a1f…
08-08 22:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf73389…
08-08 15:54:28	wta pegula shnaide 2026 08 09	Diana Shnaider	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4e3f87…
08-08 15:54:16	wta sabalen alexand 2026 08 09	Ekaterina Alexandrova	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x07fb93…
08-08 15:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x28098e…
08-08 15:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9864c3…
08-08 15:52:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xb75560…
08-08 15:51:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x731ae4…
08-08 15:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5f4ad2…
08-08 15:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb1a548…
08-08 15:41:22	Will Diana Shnaider Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?	Yes	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0x47bbf6…
08-07 19:49:55	Will Alexandra Eala Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x97c9ca…
08-07 19:48:42	Will Ekaterina Alexandrova Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?	Yes	BUY	164	1¢	$1	0xa21c73…
08-07 19:47:27	Will Maya Joint Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x9814cd…
08-07 19:46:07	Will Maria Sakkari Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x8d2f53…
08-07 19:45:48	Will Caty McNally Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$1	0x5efabf…
08-07 19:44:13	Will Elise Mertens Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?	Yes	BUY	164	1¢	$1	0x1b8fc1…
08-07 19:13:12	wta andreev fernand 2026 08 08	Mirra Andreeva	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2df711…
08-07 19:11:25	Will Aryna Sabalenka Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xa08fe4…
08-07 19:10:24	Will Iva Jovic Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?	Yes	BUY	889	0¢	$1	0x5a4ce6…
08-06 03:32:20	Will Elina Svitolina Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x58bbed…
08-06 03:31:32	Will Marta Kostyuk Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4d395a…
08-06 03:29:57	Will Diana Shnaider Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x65bee6…
08-06 03:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x0cbc10…
08-06 03:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xf4a2b9…
08-06 03:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb0c875…
08-06 03:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf68f2e…
08-06 02:59:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2ce001…
08-06 02:57:59	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1bafa1…
08-06 01:20:38	Will Alexandra Eala win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd5779d…
08-06 01:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc44319…
08-06 00:22:05	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	910	0¢	$1	0xa8096e…
08-03 22:40:05	wta udvardy lys 2026 08 03	Panna Udvardy	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x346111…
08-03 22:36:54	wta starodu joint 2026 08 03	Yulia Starodubtseva	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x978f8e…
08-01 22:58:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	22	80¢	$18	0x738be3…
08-01 18:04:02	wta osaka eala 2026 08 01	Alexandra Eala	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x985a92…