Outgoing-Marionberry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$471

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.6%

Resolved

451

Trades

1,459

lifetime

Volume

$39.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 10-27 15:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 215 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 73% -$415

Other

2% 53% -$57

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 74k on april 15	10	$1.2K	725	718	+8	No	-$71	04-15 15:59
bitcoin above 64k on july 16 2026	9	$783	410	410	+0	Yes	+$26	07-16 15:21
bitcoin above 78k on april 17	6	$669	600	585	+15	No	-$106	04-17 16:00
bitcoin above 76k on april 21	8	$562	316	315	+1	No	+$17	04-21 15:59
bitcoin above 66k on august 19 2026	13	$532	315	315	+0	Yes	+$8	08-19 15:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 16:00 UTC	2	$531	267	267	+0	Up	+$2	04-15 16:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19?	11	$529	314	314	+0	No	-$18	10-19 16:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	9	$517	278	278	+0	Yes	+$4	04-30 15:54
bitcoin above 64k on july 24 2026	11	$496	400	400	+0	Yes	-$126	07-24 15:57
bitcoin above 66k on august 7 2026	4	$488	250	250	+0	No	+$7	08-07 14:44
bitcoin above 76k on april 14	3	$444	242	240	+3	No	+$37	04-14 15:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	11	$422	225	225	+0	No	+$15	05-06 15:53
bitcoin above 64k on june 18 2026	9	$402	212	212	+0	No	+$2	06-18 15:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	2	$396	200	200	+0	Yes	+$4	05-22 16:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?	8	$395	216	216	+0	No	+$5	10-08 15:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1?	7	$395	210	210	+0	Yes	+$1	10-01 15:59
bitcoin above 64k on august 13 2026	3	$395	210	210	+0	No	+$21	08-13 15:30
bitcoin above 80k on april 22	5	$390	208	208	+0	No	+$8	04-22 15:54
bitcoin above 64k on august 11 2026	4	$390	210	210	+0	No	+$10	08-11 15:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?	3	$389	200	200	+0	No	+$9	05-23 15:32
bitcoin above 60k on july 6 2026	8	$389	200	200	+0	Yes	+$9	07-06 14:24
bitcoin above 64k on august 12 2026	6	$389	210	210	+0	No	+$16	08-12 14:59
bitcoin above 62k on june 23 2026	4	$386	209	209	+0	Yes	+$27	06-23 15:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	8	$385	210	210	+0	No	+$9	10-02 15:46
bitcoin above 66k on june 22 2026	2	$382	200	200	+0	No	+$14	06-22 14:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	8	$380	210	210	+0	Yes	+$4	10-15 15:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25?	6	$379	195	195	+0	No	+$3	04-25 15:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 6?	4	$370	299	299	+0	No	-$186	10-06 15:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	2	$369	192	192	+0	Yes	+$12	05-21 15:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 28?	5	$366	200	200	+0	No	+$16	09-28 15:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:24:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x7dfe63…
10-27 15:14:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x5c01df…
10-27 15:10:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0xd33835…
10-27 15:07:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xb3c9c6…
10-27 15:06:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	47	90¢	$42	0x6b7dd6…
10-27 14:58:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x5df5cd…
10-26 15:34:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x920eb5…
10-26 15:12:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x62ab81…
10-26 15:12:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	46	90¢	$41	0x9018a8…
10-26 15:08:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	38	90¢	$34	0x9abd1c…
10-26 14:10:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xddd9c1…
10-26 14:06:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x38eed9…
10-24 15:32:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	28	91¢	$26	0x453c24…
10-24 15:30:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	82	95¢	$78	0x6bfff5…
10-24 15:16:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xd605b3…
10-24 15:11:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x975f41…
10-24 14:29:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x31f05d…
10-24 14:18:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x5fe65e…
10-23 15:43:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 23?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xb58e6f…
10-23 15:22:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x698258…
10-22 15:46:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	No	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0xa46a8a…
10-22 15:45:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x395a0b…
10-22 15:17:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x4b4a20…
10-21 15:22:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21?	Yes	SELL	110	90¢	$99	0xcea448…
10-21 14:58:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0xe7eafb…
10-21 14:57:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	91	90¢	$82	0x0eb1f5…
10-21 14:57:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf9263b…
10-21 14:50:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x01da0b…
10-21 14:50:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa12d73…
10-20 15:34:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	Yes	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x1095ad…
10-20 15:20:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xb9dc69…
10-19 16:00:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x971232…
10-19 15:58:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0x92524b…
10-19 15:58:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	84	90¢	$76	0x3e780e…
10-19 15:58:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x471ff8…
10-19 15:38:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19?	Yes	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0xc38f12…
10-19 15:37:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xc6b889…
10-19 15:32:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19?	Yes	SELL	104	82¢	$85	0x986cb3…
10-19 15:30:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x1dc3d3…
10-19 15:02:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x9522a0…
10-19 14:15:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x435815…
10-19 14:05:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xa06638…
10-18 09:05:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 18?	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x821c32…
10-18 06:35:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xff6f8c…
10-17 15:42:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x89d528…
10-17 03:28:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x50f600…
10-16 15:49:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16?	No	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0x76cf6f…
10-16 15:25:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	97	90¢	$87	0xac0dd3…
10-16 15:25:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x8ba29c…
10-16 15:11:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x25a6da…
10-16 14:54:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16?	Yes	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xae0288…
10-16 14:26:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x654f4e…
10-15 15:54:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x2cd170…
10-15 15:54:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xcefdd3…
10-15 15:54:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	Yes	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0x69a149…
10-15 15:36:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x827022…
10-15 15:28:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0xb75225…
10-15 15:28:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x7167b8…
10-15 14:18:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	No	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0x395bd0…
10-15 14:16:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x03ae81…
10-14 15:40:37	bitcoin above 82k on october 14 2026	No	SELL	38	72¢	$27	0x3e424b…
10-14 15:40:01	bitcoin above 82k on october 14 2026	No	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0xbc3a98…
10-14 15:39:04	bitcoin above 82k on october 14 2026	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x921bcc…
10-14 15:15:34	bitcoin above 82k on october 14 2026	No	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x90d09f…
10-14 15:13:16	bitcoin above 82k on october 14 2026	No	BUY	50	81¢	$41	0x80659a…
10-14 14:01:38	bitcoin above 82k on october 14 2026	Yes	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x44b747…
10-14 13:18:50	bitcoin above 82k on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xd1a2c1…
10-13 15:40:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x8f77ae…
10-13 15:00:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xcbe9c3…
10-13 14:20:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x0662dd…
10-13 14:12:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xaa1d87…
10-12 15:42:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x37b0dd…
10-12 14:56:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x21be8d…
10-12 14:46:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x63cb7c…
10-12 14:38:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x888332…
10-08 15:53:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$109	0x2e3f7c…
10-08 15:38:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x9c5c54…
10-08 15:20:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xbbc4a8…
10-08 15:19:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xe6b0bd…
10-08 15:15:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?	No	SELL	6	26¢	$1	0x8e5585…
10-08 15:11:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc69c50…
10-08 15:08:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?	Yes	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0xec376e…
10-08 14:54:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xe4e9e7…
10-07 14:36:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?	No	SELL	110	92¢	$102	0x12b08d…
10-07 14:25:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xa795e1…
10-07 12:33:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xb5467e…
10-06 15:59:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 6?	No	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0xa52756…
10-06 15:54:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	54	83¢	$45	0xeaaa27…
10-06 15:53:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 6?	Yes	SELL	245	16¢	$39	0xc0ce5c…
10-06 15:24:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	Yes	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x571b59…
10-06 15:18:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	245	95¢	$233	0x7259d6…
10-06 13:38:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xa85a90…
10-05 15:35:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$109	0x78fb3a…
10-05 15:12:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	63	90¢	$57	0xa49f03…
10-05 15:12:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	37	90¢	$33	0x511a6d…
10-05 14:54:28	bitcoin above 86k on october 5 2026	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x16cd25…
10-04 15:55:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 4?	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xcebb25…
10-04 15:44:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 4?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x680349…
10-04 15:41:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 4?	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x96381c…
10-04 15:37:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 4?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xccbc93…