Realized P&L
+$6.13K
Unrealized P&L
-$7.61K
Hit rate
97.0%
Resolved
84
Trades
1,403
lifetime
Volume
$1.98M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.41K
Open exposure
$95.3K
23 positions
First seen
2026-09-28
last 10-26 19:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
58% 63% +$9,139
Crypto
15% 80% -$8,998
Politics
15% 75% -$857
Sports
6% 55% +$6,685
Tech
5% 100% +$156
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 221 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +66,009 $49,354 74¢ $48.6K -$705 10-26 20:38
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +29,698 $27,683 81¢ $24.0K -$3,716 10-24 13:57
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +9,283 $6,784 72¢ $6.7K -$54 10-26 20:06
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,578 $2,930 66¢ $3.0K +$69 10-26 19:55
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +4,203 $2,542 70¢ $2.9K +$400 10-03 04:53
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,000 $2,040 68¢ $2.0K $0 10-26 13:07
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +25,727 $5,726 8¢ $2.0K -$3,758 10-25 01:16
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +5,000 $1,461 26¢ $1.3K -$146 10-26 17:55
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,642 $1,207 26¢ $1.2K -$23 10-26 20:07
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +1,000 $740 98¢ $980 +$240 10-23 15:46
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +1,105 $954 87¢ $961 +$7 10-22 10:01
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +2,546 $183 19¢ $491 +$309 10-26 07:09
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $420 42¢ $425 +$5 10-26 07:45
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +359 $266 74¢ $268 +$2 10-26 19:51
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? No +113 $68 76¢ $85 +$17 10-24 15:40
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes -27,491 -$277 0¢ $-69 +$208 10-24 18:20
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes -27,491 -$27 0¢ $-41 -$14 10-24 17:37
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes -27,491 -$27 0¢ $-41 -$14 10-25 04:27
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes -27,491 -$27 0¢ $-41 -$14 10-25 20:58
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes -27,491 -$27 0¢ $-41 -$14 10-24 17:17
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes -27,491 -$82 0¢ $-27 +$55 10-24 17:19
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes -27,491 -$55 0¢ $-27 +$27 10-24 17:17
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $510 2¢ $20 -$490 10-23 20:02