Roasted-Polarisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$364

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-29 16:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

72% 33% +$0

Crypto

11% 0% $-0

Sports

8% — —

Pop-Culture

5% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in toronto on march 22 2026 18c	2	$22	11	10	+1	open	—	03-21 09:06
Will Bhavitha Mandava be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$21	11	10	+1	No	$-0	05-05 03:25
will germany record a gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics 835	2	$21	11	10	+1	open	—	02-14 11:11
Will Adele attend the Met Gala?	2	$20	11	9	+1	No	$-0	05-05 03:26
will deadline ep by blackpink be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of march 28	2	$19	10	9	+1	open	—	03-21 09:08
will the reserve bank of new zealand decrease the official cash rate after the february decision	2	$19	10	9	+1	open	—	02-14 11:12
bitcoin above 52k on june 30 2026	2	$18	10	8	+1	open	—	06-29 16:16
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 4-10?	2	$18	10	8	+1	No	$-0	05-05 03:29
will temu shop like a billionaire be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 24	2	$17	9	8	+1	open	—	03-21 09:08
bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	2	$16	9	8	+1	open	—	03-11 10:27
will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	2	$15	8	7	+1	open	—	03-21 09:11
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 115 139	2	$15	8	7	+1	open	—	02-14 11:10
will the great satan rob zombie debut week album sales be at least 50k	2	$12	7	6	+1	open	—	03-11 10:29
will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 55m and 60m	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	03-21 09:16
Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	06-29 16:20
Over $2M committed to the Trove public sale?	4	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-09 18:40
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 9 be between 90 and 100	2	$10	5	4	+1	open	—	03-11 10:30
will france record a gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics 824	2	$9	5	4	+1	open	—	02-14 11:10
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of march	2	$9	5	4	+1	open	—	03-21 09:16
will the us next strike iran on february 14 2026 et	2	$9	5	4	+1	open	—	02-14 11:17
house passes massie khanna war powers resolution by march 13 231	2	$8	4	3	+1	open	—	03-11 10:32
highest temperature in london on february 14 2026 9c	2	$7	4	3	+1	open	—	02-14 11:14
will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	2	$7	4	3	+1	open	—	03-21 09:18
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	2	$6	4	2	+1	open	—	02-14 11:19
will threads be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 13	2	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	03-11 10:32
will crime 101 opening weekend box office be greater than 23m	2	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	02-14 11:14
2026 us house election republicans flip the democrats by march 31	2	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	03-21 09:25
will the price of solana be between 60 70 on february 14	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-14 11:20
bitcoin above 64k on march 11	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-11 10:51
amzn close above 205 on march 11 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-11 10:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 16:20:52	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc2cc07…
06-29 16:20:16	Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd589d0…
06-29 16:19:58	Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdae7e6…
06-29 16:18:47	val mdr bjk 2026 06 29	Mandatory	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7d06a2…
06-29 16:16:19	bitcoin above 52k on june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x15eeac…
06-29 16:15:38	bitcoin above 52k on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xc38c51…
05-05 03:30:32	Will Dupont (DD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x748652…
05-05 03:29:18	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x53dabe…
05-05 03:28:54	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x271d68…
05-05 03:26:52	Will Adele attend the Met Gala?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x341471…
05-05 03:26:32	Will Adele attend the Met Gala?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xcde66e…
05-05 03:25:44	Will Bhavitha Mandava be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x835afd…
05-05 03:24:10	Will Bhavitha Mandava be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x32a95e…
03-21 09:25:09	2026 us house election republicans flip the democrats by march 31	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6d4e91…
03-21 09:24:51	2026 us house election republicans flip the democrats by march 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xde94fe…
03-21 09:18:43	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7fa022…
03-21 09:18:35	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe4ae42…
03-21 09:16:39	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of march	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xddbf77…
03-21 09:16:27	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of march	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5ec497…
03-21 09:16:03	will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 55m and 60m	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe84257…
03-21 09:15:51	will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 55m and 60m	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc73594…
03-21 09:15:27	will the central bank of colombia announce a decrease at the march meeting	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x84ac77…
03-21 09:11:13	will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x482ae1…
03-21 09:10:59	will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x524193…
03-21 09:08:39	will temu shop like a billionaire be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 24	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x043ce3…
03-21 09:08:29	will temu shop like a billionaire be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 24	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcbcd68…
03-21 09:08:09	will deadline ep by blackpink be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of march 28	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd76e63…
03-21 09:07:55	will deadline ep by blackpink be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of march 28	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1242b6…
03-21 09:06:39	highest temperature in toronto on march 22 2026 18c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf24d61…
03-21 09:06:27	highest temperature in toronto on march 22 2026 18c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb4dc4a…
03-11 10:51:31	bitcoin above 64k on march 11	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x453768…
03-11 10:34:45	dks quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 12 2026 2pt97	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4625b8…
03-11 10:32:59	will threads be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 13	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x347abb…
03-11 10:32:45	will threads be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 13	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd80254…
03-11 10:32:09	house passes massie khanna war powers resolution by march 13 231	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x45c1d3…
03-11 10:31:39	house passes massie khanna war powers resolution by march 13 231	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xcc9e0d…
03-11 10:30:15	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 9 be between 90 and 100	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xbc399e…
03-11 10:30:01	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 9 be between 90 and 100	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf20a02…
03-11 10:29:23	will the great satan rob zombie debut week album sales be at least 50k	No	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xae654f…
03-11 10:29:13	will the great satan rob zombie debut week album sales be at least 50k	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa499a6…
03-11 10:28:03	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa9b00a…
03-11 10:27:17	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc0597a…
03-11 10:27:05	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xed66f3…
03-11 10:25:59	val art t1a 2026 03 11 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x580c67…
03-11 10:25:13	amzn close above 205 on march 11 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x184791…
02-14 11:21:11	lol gen dk 2026 02 14	Gen.G	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd22e9e…
02-14 11:20:17	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on february 14	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1c5d5e…
02-14 11:19:31	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6f9519…
02-14 11:19:03	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa9ea2f…
02-14 11:17:01	will the us next strike iran on february 14 2026 et	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x827d91…
02-14 11:16:35	will freecash get paid real money be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 20	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdd145c…
02-14 11:14:51	will crime 101 opening weekend box office be greater than 23m	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc16d9e…
02-14 11:14:41	will crime 101 opening weekend box office be greater than 23m	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xaa338e…
02-14 11:14:19	highest temperature in london on february 14 2026 9c	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x3c1365…
02-14 11:14:05	highest temperature in london on february 14 2026 9c	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0e96e4…
02-14 11:13:03	will the us next strike iran on february 14 2026 et	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd27918…
02-14 11:12:29	will the reserve bank of new zealand decrease the official cash rate after the february decision	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xed6ce6…
02-14 11:12:17	will the reserve bank of new zealand decrease the official cash rate after the february decision	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xedb592…
02-14 11:11:25	will germany record a gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics 835	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x09dbc4…
02-14 11:11:09	will germany record a gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics 835	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf9228f…
02-14 11:10:45	will france record a gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics 824	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x46c7c5…
02-14 11:10:05	elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 115 139	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x53ea5c…
02-14 09:37:47	will france record a gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics 824	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xda3613…
02-14 09:21:17	elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 115 139	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72c686…
01-28 11:50:25	dota2 nem vg 2026 01 28	Vici Gaming	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x40ec9e…
01-09 18:44:20	will russia enter dobropillia by january 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8add23…
01-09 18:42:36	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdc3687…
01-09 18:41:20	Will Carson Beck be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x191db6…
01-09 18:40:46	Over $2M committed to the Trove public sale?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x402fae…
01-09 18:40:34	will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 11 615	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe01b6b…
01-09 18:38:36	Over $2M committed to the Trove public sale?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf0cf06…
01-09 18:35:48	Over $2M committed to the Trove public sale?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbf576c…
01-09 18:34:50	Over $2M committed to the Trove public sale?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xabf8b8…
01-09 18:33:18	will bitcoin reach 104k january 5 11	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1e4249…