Positive-Painter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$441

Unrealized P&L

-$136

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

261

Trades

741

lifetime

Volume

$9.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$129

9 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 11-01 00:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Other

53% 34% +$31

Crypto

22% 43% -$251

Tech

11% 52% -$135

Politics

8% 56% -$43

Sports

6% 31% -$43

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+100	$50	36¢	$36	-$14	08-21 15:04
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	+100	$38	30¢	$30	-$8	10-22 07:20
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes	+105	$33	23¢	$24	-$9	10-26 22:19
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	No	+50	$22	34¢	$17	-$6	09-15 07:37
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+100	$12	13¢	$13	+$1	11-01 00:09
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+200	$4	2¢	$4	+$0	09-15 08:54
Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+300	$2	1¢	$3	+$0	08-23 14:41
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	No	+100	$55	2¢	$2	-$53	06-03 08:37
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	+110	$49	0¢	$0	-$49	09-29 07:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on january 23	7	$253	200	100	+100	No	-$77	01-23 08:43
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	2	$237	417	417	+0	Yes	+$37	01-14 14:53
will khamenei leave iran by jan 16 974	2	$205	108	108	+0	No	+$5	01-12 18:57
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on january 16	1	$200	209	0	+209	Yes	+$9	01-10 08:00
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	1	$200	211	0	+211	Yes	+$11	01-10 08:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 09:45 UTC	5	$169	100	100	+0	Up	+$29	01-10 09:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 08:45 UTC	4	$150	200	0	+200	Down	-$150	01-14 08:59
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 6	2	$148	200	0	+200	Yes	+$52	03-06 06:42
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 25	10	$135	160	60	+100	Yes	+$25	01-23 11:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 07:30 UTC	6	$105	100	100	+0	Up	-$25	01-14 07:39
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	7	$102	200	0	+200	Yes	+$98	02-02 07:35
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	3	$100	200	0	+200	Yes	+$100	02-12 13:39
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	2	$95	200	0	+200	No	-$95	02-22 17:01
will apple announce the iphone 17e by february 28	1	$95	100	0	+100	No	+$5	02-16 16:58
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	1	$90	100	0	+100	Yes	+$10	01-26 09:52
bun bay aug 2026 01 24 bay	2	$89	100	0	+100	No	-$89	01-23 14:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 09:30 UTC	1	$85	100	0	+100	Up	+$15	01-10 09:41
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	5	$84	200	0	+200	No	-$84	03-19 00:20
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	2	$84	100	0	+100	No	-$84	10-29 01:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 08:45 UTC	2	$80	100	0	+100	Down	+$20	01-14 08:56
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	1	$80	100	0	+100	Yes	+$20	01-27 19:20
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	1	$80	100	0	+100	Yes	+$20	06-21 20:55
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	1	$80	100	0	+100	Yes	+$20	02-06 15:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 04:00 UTC	7	$80	100	100	+0	Up	$0	01-12 04:03
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	3	$76	200	0	+200	open	—	09-01 17:07
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 10	2	$75	100	0	+100	Yes	+$25	04-09 14:02
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 09:15 UTC	5	$75	100	0	+100	Up	+$25	01-14 09:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 07:30 UTC	5	$75	100	0	+100	Down	+$25	01-14 07:37
ethereum up or down january 14 2am et	10	$75	100	0	+100	Up	+$25	01-14 07:58
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$72	200	200	+0	Yes	+$18	07-14 16:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 00:09:51	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x9b8c68…
10-31 20:40:25	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x1b921f…
10-31 20:40:18	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	45	12¢	$5	0xad38d1…
10-29 01:03:04	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	BUY	34	84¢	$29	0xa0875e…
10-28 19:11:01	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	BUY	66	84¢	$55	0x44bd0f…
10-27 01:21:29	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xe6b97a…
10-26 22:19:57	Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0xc25077…
10-26 22:16:24	Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$9	0x88f253…
10-26 22:16:24	Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$9	0x3198f2…
10-26 18:55:09	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xb54c16…
10-26 17:07:54	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x56c772…
10-26 11:45:09	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x118de5…
10-26 07:41:23	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xb291cc…
10-26 06:14:06	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xce14e6…
10-22 16:43:56	Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x890098…
10-22 12:22:51	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xf25af2…
10-22 12:05:29	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x1afd0d…
10-22 07:20:14	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xfb2317…
10-21 18:28:56	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0xad0e48…
10-21 18:28:39	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 3 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x9bdffc…
10-21 18:28:17	ucl bay ars 2026 10 21 ags ismael saibari 90082153	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xbad538…
10-13 20:45:48	Will Dalian Yingbo win Chinese Super League?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xf59904…
10-13 15:03:25	Will Dalian Yingbo win Chinese Super League?	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0x84ab16…
10-13 12:29:31	Will Dalian Yingbo win Chinese Super League?	Yes	BUY	425	2¢	$9	0x56cde1…
09-29 07:32:39	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x43ff3b…
09-29 07:32:14	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x3706fa…
09-16 09:23:37	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x3b8beb…
09-16 09:15:06	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x2b9f8a…
09-15 08:54:24	Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x4e0c1a…
09-15 08:36:04	Exact Score: Ratchaburi FC 1 - 0 Shanghai Port FC?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x73f0c3…
09-15 07:46:46	Will Shanghai Port FC win on 2026-09-15?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xeda9bf…
09-15 07:39:25	Will Beijing Guoan win on 2026-09-15?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x0f6ec5…
09-15 07:37:36	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x339990…
09-15 07:37:24	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0xf5d7b6…
09-15 07:21:03	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x6c0bf4…
09-13 13:50:07	Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xabf546…
09-09 09:20:46	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x3dfeb5…
09-09 04:56:46	Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?	Yes	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0xdf61df…
09-09 04:38:45	Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x28a88d…
09-09 04:28:15	Qinwen Zheng vs. Elena Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Over 2.5	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x067650…
09-09 03:33:34	Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	20¢	$18	0xa1d2da…
09-08 17:30:49	Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x9afd99…
09-04 16:50:55	atp wu alcaraz 2026 09 04 set totals 3pt5	Over 3.5	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0xcb1586…
09-01 17:07:06	Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	Yes	BUY	82	34¢	$28	0xe09bd5…
09-01 10:42:57	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x7ff900…
09-01 09:39:43	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	23¢	$6	0x62a6d7…
09-01 06:47:46	Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	Yes	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0xd252eb…
08-28 16:31:51	Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)	Liaoning Tieren FC	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe060ef…
08-23 18:03:01	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x1328ce…
08-23 14:41:31	Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$2	0x89a350…
08-23 11:03:06	Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xda3c84…
08-22 15:00:04	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$7	0xf2e7ef…
08-22 14:44:07	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0xa2d0f8…
08-22 11:09:06	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x92a6e5…
08-22 10:48:49	chi ron sgr 2026 08 22 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x522e7f…
08-22 10:47:28	Exact Score: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 1 - 2 Shanghai Shenhua FC?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x931864…
08-22 10:47:01	Exact Score: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 2 - 2 Shanghai Shenhua FC?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x5fc7a9…
08-22 10:46:45	Exact Score: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 3 - 2 Shanghai Shenhua FC?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x329589…
08-22 10:46:28	Exact Score: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 3 - 1 Shanghai Shenhua FC?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xbb82ae…
08-22 10:45:51	Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0xb1b213…
08-21 15:04:09	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xf5b1b3…
08-21 12:54:07	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	68	26¢	$18	0x52ae3f…
08-21 12:45:31	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x65440f…
08-21 11:33:28	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0xe25e37…
08-20 16:48:46	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?	Yes	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xc76d62…
08-20 16:48:46	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x9e2ada…
08-18 21:44:55	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0x202582…
08-18 21:44:54	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x50b654…
08-18 19:14:42	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0xaf3f07…
08-18 14:19:54	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	Yes	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x42a6f0…
08-18 03:07:22	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	BUY	60	55¢	$33	0xff2de4…
08-15 09:23:48	Exact Score: Zhejiang Zhiye FC 1 - 2 Chengdu Rongcheng FC?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xfaba17…
08-14 02:53:52	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x3e8d20…
08-02 20:20:24	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7?	Yes	BUY	53	45¢	$24	0x90ae5e…
08-02 11:49:21	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7?	Yes	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0xdc1750…
08-01 17:39:15	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xddb947…
08-01 10:06:17	Exact Score: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 3 - 0 Wuhan San Zhen FC?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x9e0296…
08-01 09:24:53	Exact Score: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 3 - 1 Wuhan San Zhen FC?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x1905cf…
08-01 09:24:14	Exact Score: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 2 - 0 Wuhan San Zhen FC?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x0b482b…
07-28 16:51:20	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x8b3b69…
07-28 10:27:29	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?	Yes	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x33f419…
07-25 16:00:21	will mrbeast say technology during his next youtube video 20260702154826889	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0x8d02e0…
07-14 19:32:22	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x78203e…
07-14 19:27:26	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x757db8…
07-14 16:03:32	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	22¢	$45	0x1e10e9…
07-11 22:59:19	will mrbeast say technology during his next youtube video 20260702154826889	Yes	BUY	62	4¢	$2	0x8ed97e…
07-11 20:40:26	will mrbeast say technology during his next youtube video 20260702154826889	Yes	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0x8b92e1…
07-11 18:00:05	will mrbeast say technology during his next youtube video 20260702154826889	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x51b0d9…
07-11 17:08:25	will mrbeast say technology during his next youtube video 20260702154826889	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x7f143d…
07-07 17:22:19	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xef476f…
07-07 17:20:55	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0xd99840…
07-07 16:50:05	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x4f0fc6…
07-03 06:09:34	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x1517e7…
07-02 14:54:10	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x566bfc…
07-02 14:46:55	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x66bc95…
07-02 14:46:35	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x675c3b…
07-02 14:46:28	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xf70423…
07-02 14:44:29	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xd0a886…
07-02 14:43:59	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x19182a…
07-02 14:43:41	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x626601…