Realized P&L
+$208
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
66.8%
Resolved
327
Trades
389
lifetime
Volume
$2.75K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$120
13 positions
First seen
2026-10-14
last 10-30 11:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
95% 69% +$185
Politics
5% 83% +$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +21 $10 97¢ $20 +$10 10-25 16:57
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +14 $10 100¢ $14 +$4 10-19 06:04
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +37 $10 33¢ $12 +$2 10-28 20:15
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +19 $7 67¢ $12 +$6 10-27 17:21
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +17 $10 70¢ $12 +$2 10-14 17:17
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +13 $10 91¢ $12 +$2 10-26 23:27
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +11 $10 99¢ $11 +$1 10-24 04:30
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +10 $7 99¢ $10 +$3 10-23 15:57
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +8 $7 99¢ $8 +$1 10-28 00:14
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +8 $6 64¢ $5 -$1 10-25 16:51
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +4 $4 82¢ $3 $0 10-21 14:45
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Opp. +19 $10 2¢ $0 -$10 10-26 15:35
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +20 $6 2¢ $0 -$6 10-28 06:33