Mild-Reflection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$215

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.2%

Resolved

Trades

289

lifetime

Volume

$6.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 05-09 17:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% +$215

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	5	$286	208	208	+0	Up	+$126	05-06 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	3	$197	123	123	+0	Up	+$37	05-05 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	4	$196	165	152	+13	open	—	05-02 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	3	$173	183	106	+77	Up	+$13	05-05 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	3	$161	113	113	+0	open	—	05-01 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$154	108	108	+0	Up	+$54	05-05 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	4	$149	162	162	+0	open	—	05-02 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$134	94	94	+0	Up	+$34	05-05 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$133	85	85	+0	Up	+$33	05-05 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	3	$128	96	96	+0	open	—	05-01 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	11	$121	113	113	+0	open	—	05-01 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$117	74	74	+0	Down	+$29	05-06 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$115	82	82	+0	open	—	05-01 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$111	100	100	+0	Up	+$11	05-05 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	3	$107	117	58	+59	open	—	05-02 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$106	83	83	+0	open	—	05-01 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	3	$103	83	83	+0	open	—	05-02 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$102	73	73	+0	Up	+$42	05-05 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$98	69	69	+0	open	—	05-01 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	4	$98	91	91	+0	Down	+$18	05-05 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	3	$95	66	66	+0	open	—	05-01 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$92	62	62	+0	open	—	05-01 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	3	$90	61	61	+0	open	—	05-01 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$88	61	61	+0	open	—	05-02 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$88	60	60	+0	open	—	05-02 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	5	$87	117	117	+0	Up	+$7	05-06 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$86	64	64	+0	open	—	05-01 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$82	53	53	+0	open	—	05-02 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	5	$82	99	41	+58	Down	$-41	05-05 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$82	61	61	+0	Up	+$22	05-06 08:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 17:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x213721…
05-09 17:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x12cbe9…
05-09 17:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x9aacb5…
05-09 17:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xde0d45…
05-09 17:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x337383…
05-09 17:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x895a13…
05-09 17:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xed35d9…
05-09 17:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd9f13c…
05-09 17:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x6dc886…
05-09 17:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc309f7…
05-09 17:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x281db9…
05-09 17:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x1efcea…
05-07 20:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x6f9d4e…
05-07 20:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8ccc07…
05-07 20:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa2a729…
05-06 22:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xb9d83b…
05-06 22:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	36	85¢	$30	0x1940c6…
05-06 22:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x2a0216…
05-06 22:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xb72c1e…
05-06 22:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	40	84¢	$33	0x74ccd3…
05-06 22:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x4f1487…
05-06 19:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	131	15¢	$20	0x13b382…
05-06 18:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x532c47…
05-06 18:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0xcda980…
05-06 18:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xe2ce99…
05-06 18:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xaf5efe…
05-06 18:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	40	82¢	$33	0x33a6a4…
05-06 18:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x551a24…
05-06 15:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	121	17¢	$20	0xa67853…
05-06 15:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0x99d640…
05-06 15:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0x2c8ed2…
05-06 15:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x630dbb…
05-06 15:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	56	46¢	$26	0x02ab7b…
05-06 15:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x059e04…
05-06 15:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x67e177…
05-06 14:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x23dc95…
05-06 14:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	359	1¢	$5	0xb5ed4f…
05-06 14:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x2c39f6…
05-06 14:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0xd8e459…
05-06 13:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xe611cb…
05-06 13:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x0143ee…
05-06 13:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x14ee5b…
05-06 13:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	34	95¢	$32	0x251744…
05-06 13:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x83d566…
05-06 13:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x1064e9…
05-06 08:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	61	85¢	$52	0x3bad55…
05-06 08:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x433bba…
05-06 08:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x5dca5e…
05-06 08:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x04f0ba…
05-06 08:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	208	99¢	$206	0x42a419…
05-06 08:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	104	29¢	$30	0xa6743b…
05-06 08:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x650132…
05-06 08:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xfb682f…
05-06 08:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x871c50…
05-05 23:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x64e2a6…
05-05 23:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xda1727…
05-05 23:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	81¢	$17	0x64b834…
05-05 23:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	41	50¢	$20	0xd96334…
05-05 23:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x12ee56…
05-05 14:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xa4e82d…
05-05 13:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0xd174fe…
05-05 13:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xb82ad8…
05-05 13:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	51	26¢	$13	0xca0aeb…
05-05 13:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x355022…
05-05 13:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x44890d…
05-05 13:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	59	18¢	$11	0x386ddd…
05-05 13:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x5d9c83…
05-05 13:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0xc249b1…
05-05 13:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	123	95¢	$117	0xc5a47a…
05-05 13:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x45ed6a…
05-05 13:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x0b17c9…
05-05 13:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	85	98¢	$83	0xa697c1…
05-05 13:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xeb6ead…
05-05 13:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x168d8b…
05-05 12:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	350	3¢	$10	0x6f05c7…
05-05 12:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x33b794…
05-05 12:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xaca90c…
05-05 12:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xe97d0d…
05-05 12:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	108	96¢	$104	0x441293…
05-05 12:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x5cbdcf…
05-05 12:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x151752…
05-05 12:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0xee93e0…
05-05 12:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x6b664f…
05-05 12:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0xcf3a4b…
05-05 12:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xecf3d5…
05-05 10:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	94	89¢	$84	0xca7e52…
05-05 10:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xc3e558…
05-05 10:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x8a069f…
05-05 10:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	106	88¢	$93	0x7e7801…
05-05 10:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	106	66¢	$70	0xf783b3…
05-05 10:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x7b5d9e…
05-05 10:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	29	41¢	$12	0xa88e9b…
05-05 10:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xb34520…
05-05 10:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	48	5¢	$2	0x94671b…
05-05 10:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xcb4c0a…
05-05 10:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xa8055c…
05-05 10:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x6eaf8e…
05-05 09:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xd23149…
05-05 08:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x51a794…
05-05 08:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x5733fc…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	136	$109.0K	4,714	05-09 17:55
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	136	$100.5K	6,212	05-09 17:54
Altruistic-Grief 0xa280…3343	136	$34.6K	6,590	05-09 17:54
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	136	$28.7K	9,614	05-09 17:54
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	136	$26.4K	8,787	05-09 17:54
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	136	$21.8K	10,813	05-09 17:55
(anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b	136	$20.9K	5,431	05-09 17:54
Lumpy-Pagoda 0x3615…8fdf	136	$15.9K	3,596	05-09 17:54