Foolish-Subsidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$137

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.0%

Resolved

310

Trades

454

lifetime

Volume

$567

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-02 11:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 21% -$89

Other

43% 35% -$48

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	1	$45	105	0	+105	No	-$45	05-18 00:46
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 5?	3	$16	22	22	+0	No	-$4	05-05 18:46
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?	3	$14	176	176	+0	Yes	+$12	05-05 19:51
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 22 2026 26c	2	$14	10	9	+0	Yes	+$4	04-22 18:02
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 21 2026 21c	2	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$1	04-21 18:17
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 1?	2	$13	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	06-01 20:15
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on May 6?	2	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	05-07 05:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?	2	$11	14	14	+0	No	+$1	04-25 17:17
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 17:15 UTC	2	$11	15	0	+15	Up	-$4	04-20 17:17
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on April 26?	2	$10	8	7	+0	No	-$2	04-26 00:56
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 21 2026 26c	2	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	04-21 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$10	27	0	+27	Up	-$10	04-26 01:02
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?	2	$9	9	8	+0	Yes	+$8	04-28 16:31
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 18:40 UTC	3	$8	12	0	+12	Up	-$6	04-24 18:43
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 21-24, 2026?	2	$8	69	69	+0	No	+$6	04-13 07:42
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on April 27?	2	$8	9	9	+0	No	-$2	04-26 00:56
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 25?	2	$7	33	32	+1	No	-$3	04-25 17:20
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 17:10 UTC	2	$7	17	0	+17	Up	+$2	04-20 17:12
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 18:50 UTC	1	$7	9	0	+9	Up	+$2	04-24 18:52
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on April 29?	2	$7	6	6	+0	Yes	+$5	04-29 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$6	8	0	+8	Down	+$2	04-26 02:18
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 19:10 UTC	1	$6	8	0	+8	Down	+$2	04-24 19:11
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 72°F or higher on May 9?	2	$6	309	0	+309	Yes	-$6	05-07 05:15
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	1	$6	8	0	+8	No	-$6	05-04 18:10
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 17:20 UTC	2	$6	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	04-20 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$0	04-26 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$5	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	04-27 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	04-26 00:46
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 4?	1	$5	13	0	+13	No	-$5	05-03 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	-$5	04-26 01:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 11:44:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on June 2?	No	SELL	55	4¢	$2	0xdbaa93…
06-02 09:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on June 2?	No	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xfaf4b7…
06-02 09:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 2?	No	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x475991…
06-01 20:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc9fa43…
06-01 15:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x70a5dd…
05-18 00:46:17	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	105	43¢	$45	0xe02904…
05-07 16:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 7?	Yes	BUY	86	1¢	$1	0xd444ca…
05-07 16:39:47	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on May 7?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x7ec2bd…
05-07 16:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 7?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xff23c9…
05-07 05:15:53	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 72°F or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	225	2¢	$5	0xeabb52…
05-07 05:14:23	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 72°F or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	84	1¢	$1	0xaac601…
05-07 05:13:50	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	97	1¢	$1	0x54490a…
05-07 05:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x5a7847…
05-07 05:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on May 6?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3f4cef…
05-06 18:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on May 6?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd8359c…
05-06 04:40:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 6?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xff847e…
05-05 19:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?	Yes	SELL	88	7¢	$7	0x04ed73…
05-05 19:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?	Yes	SELL	88	8¢	$7	0x60e764…
05-05 18:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 5?	Yes	SELL	22	26¢	$6	0x33bd3a…
05-05 18:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 5?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x56d574…
05-05 17:57:38	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 5?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x509d26…
05-05 17:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on May 5?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5af5bb…
05-05 17:54:38	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 5?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x3b845f…
05-05 17:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?	Yes	BUY	176	1¢	$1	0x139f5b…
05-04 18:49:58	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc57095…
05-04 18:49:58	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x2a0235…
05-04 18:49:58	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0046d2…
05-04 18:49:56	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xe0ae51…
05-04 18:49:56	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x73a517…
05-04 18:44:34	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0xd4f8f3…
05-04 18:44:32	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc271b0…
05-04 18:44:30	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x2a3f02…
05-04 18:44:26	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x3a940d…
05-04 18:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x6ea157…
05-03 20:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xb38c51…
05-03 20:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xd2a574…
05-03 19:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xae7f90…
05-03 19:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C or higher on May 4?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x5aecbb…
04-29 18:33:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on April 29?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xcd729c…
04-28 19:10:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd51da5…
04-28 19:06:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x81af26…
04-28 18:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x63bbec…
04-28 18:54:18	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xa87bac…
04-28 18:54:16	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x8f8e67…
04-28 18:24:52	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x391bbe…
04-28 18:24:18	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x558078…
04-28 18:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd1113f…
04-28 18:14:32	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xb42de6…
04-28 18:14:32	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x557b52…
04-28 18:09:54	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xae05d1…
04-28 18:09:54	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x42916e…
04-28 18:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x2acd47…
04-28 18:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x3673e8…
04-28 17:54:38	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x958583…
04-28 16:44:20	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x082d13…
04-28 16:41:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x45205f…
04-28 16:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9f174d…
04-28 16:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5e1129…
04-28 16:31:44	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4f36be…
04-28 16:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xac2c3d…
04-28 16:10:58	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa2a18f…
04-27 20:34:44	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xe60873…
04-27 20:34:44	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x5c145a…
04-27 20:30:06	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x03f6bb…
04-27 20:23:24	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x87d923…
04-27 20:18:14	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x85ccb1…
04-27 20:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x4a9761…
04-27 20:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x49b00a…
04-27 20:14:28	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0xc38efc…
04-27 20:14:26	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x6f5c4a…
04-27 20:00:08	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x1a5a11…
04-27 19:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xe407be…
04-27 19:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xe384db…
04-27 19:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xd88aa0…
04-27 19:55:00	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xc728b8…
04-27 19:52:50	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcc268a…
04-27 19:51:52	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4ae4d2…
04-27 19:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x5d4744…
04-27 19:50:10	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xbe434c…
04-27 19:40:06	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x8947de…
04-27 19:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xf46944…
04-27 19:34:58	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x0dbe88…
04-27 19:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x78747d…
04-27 19:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x08a367…
04-27 19:28:52	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xd30892…
04-27 19:24:22	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x420341…
04-27 19:19:16	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x3e3665…
04-27 19:14:44	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x57a73b…
04-27 19:14:44	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	1¢	$0	0x08e043…
04-27 19:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x98dc03…
04-27 19:10:06	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x39242e…
04-27 19:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xbe2c1e…
04-27 19:04:36	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa6689e…
04-27 19:04:36	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7a7fd6…
04-27 19:04:36	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x2308f2…
04-27 19:04:36	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1cb192…
04-27 19:04:34	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x3bedc6…
04-27 19:04:34	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x351753…
04-27 19:04:34	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x0c2f52…
04-27 18:54:04	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x692d30…