Assured-Battle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$329

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.5%

Resolved

4,618

Trades

11,378

lifetime

Volume

$74.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 11-04 00:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 157 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 74% -$329

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 244 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 20:15 UTC	16	$172	332	0	+332	Down	+$160	03-31 20:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 21:15 UTC	15	$167	353	0	+353	Down	+$186	04-07 21:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 09:05 UTC	11	$163	197	0	+197	Down	+$10	04-05 09:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 23:15 UTC	24	$159	321	0	+321	Down	-$159	03-28 23:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 21:15 UTC	5	$140	152	147	+5	Down	-$28	04-15 21:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 23:20 UTC	26	$136	76	76	+0	Down	+$2	07-14 23:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 15:00 UTC	31	$135	262	0	+262	Down	+$126	04-06 15:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 13:15 UTC	15	$135	300	0	+300	Up	+$165	03-27 13:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 09:15 UTC	14	$135	300	0	+300	Up	-$135	04-06 09:15
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	4	$134	81	81	+0	Down	+$26	04-29 18:30
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 06:15 UTC	24	$127	255	0	+255	Down	-$127	03-30 06:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 07:15 UTC	19	$123	235	0	+235	Up	-$123	03-27 07:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 06:25 UTC	14	$118	204	0	+204	Up	+$11	03-30 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	4	$118	64	64	+0	Down	+$8	04-29 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	4	$110	59	59	+0	Down	+$0	04-28 21:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 01:00 UTC	4	$109	68	67	+1	Down	+$6	04-23 01:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 14:00 UTC	6	$108	95	93	+1	Up	-$13	04-16 14:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 18:00 UTC	7	$107	68	67	+1	Up	+$11	04-15 18:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 12:15 UTC	13	$106	212	0	+212	Up	-$106	03-28 12:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 14:45 UTC	5	$104	113	56	+57	Down	-$11	04-14 14:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 13:00 UTC	3	$103	82	80	+2	Up	-$2	04-22 13:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 03:15 UTC	10	$101	196	0	+196	Up	-$101	04-01 03:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 08:35 UTC	16	$101	54	54	+0	Up	+$7	07-16 08:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 10:30 UTC	5	$99	113	55	+57	Up	+$54	04-15 10:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 17:00 UTC	14	$98	191	0	+191	Up	-$98	04-09 17:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 07:20 UTC	7	$97	161	0	+161	Down	+$64	03-27 07:22
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	5	$95	172	46	+126	Up	-$6	04-28 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	7	$95	58	58	+0	Up	-$15	04-28 20:00
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	4	$94	90	88	+3	Down	-$16	04-26 18:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC	7	$93	186	0	+186	Up	-$93	04-03 14:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 00:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xddf1c7…
11-03 19:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x3f314f…
11-03 19:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x89bc9d…
11-03 18:25:09	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x51865d…
11-03 18:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x48280d…
11-03 18:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xbdcbce…
11-03 18:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x8501bc…
11-03 17:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x04ecf9…
11-03 16:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x91ed3a…
11-03 16:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xc7fa67…
11-03 16:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xec9c60…
11-03 16:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x3573c8…
11-03 15:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x6caec5…
11-03 14:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4e0654…
11-03 14:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6d4301…
11-03 13:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x566d77…
11-03 13:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd967d1…
11-03 12:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xfdb1c9…
11-03 12:20:12	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7da1f4…
11-03 11:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8e167c…
11-03 11:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1b21f6…
11-03 10:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xb849fe…
11-03 10:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf87e2b…
11-03 10:30:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3e8943…
11-03 10:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x4df3b2…
11-03 10:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x7f7e9c…
11-03 10:05:10	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1df21a…
11-03 09:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x1255fa…
11-03 09:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x38526a…
11-03 09:10:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x3620e6…
11-03 08:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x697b60…
11-03 08:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd5ce52…
11-03 08:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x61e0dc…
11-03 08:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x2aca1c…
11-03 07:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5f3281…
11-03 07:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x02c78d…
11-03 07:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5957bf…
11-03 07:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7e0995…
11-03 06:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xfb8ac6…
11-03 06:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0611b9…
11-03 06:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa61b35…
11-03 06:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9fa25d…
11-03 06:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd5cfd8…
11-03 06:05:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x1d43b8…
11-03 05:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xed8341…
11-03 05:35:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1ba07a…
11-03 05:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x6f5aa3…
11-03 04:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x25a1a5…
11-03 04:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa47daf…
11-03 03:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xa70be2…
11-03 03:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xeb2bf5…
11-03 03:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa5e037…
11-03 03:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb965d6…
11-03 02:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x71b5ff…
11-03 02:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x4f308a…
11-02 21:45:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe14a5d…
11-02 19:50:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd9b801…
11-02 17:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xd05cd3…
11-02 16:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb38391…
11-02 16:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe0ece3…
11-02 14:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb7aa52…
11-02 14:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x67b6fc…
11-02 14:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x52cafd…
11-02 14:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x04c8b1…
11-02 13:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x1e544a…
11-02 13:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x6a4602…
11-02 12:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x712bcc…
11-02 12:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xde4b87…
11-02 12:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf2ac24…
11-02 11:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa328ed…
11-02 11:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x2868c2…
11-02 11:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x551bae…
11-02 11:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf87a84…
11-02 11:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x6e261e…
11-02 11:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6dbf3c…
11-02 10:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x0febeb…
11-02 10:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x795c79…
11-02 10:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc3e471…
11-02 09:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x74f8d8…
11-02 09:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa1f035…
11-02 09:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x73cd7d…
11-02 09:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x381909…
11-02 09:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc07d61…
11-02 09:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x4a5817…
11-02 08:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5d6b9a…
11-02 08:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x9098c9…
11-02 07:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc2919a…
11-02 07:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x36c834…
11-02 07:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1b5a1d…
11-02 06:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x2f7a20…
11-02 06:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc4556c…
11-02 06:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x71dd9c…
11-02 06:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xe5b0ca…
11-02 06:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x3971f6…
11-02 05:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xcdd044…
11-02 05:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x84e8dd…
11-02 05:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd829a0…
10-27 10:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xb6825f…
10-27 10:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xa5a60e…
10-27 09:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x9d60f7…