Immediate-Pinafore — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,001

lifetime

Volume

$44.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 06-08 19:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 100% +$2

Other

2% 100% +$6

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 212 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776795300	2	$1.1K	800	775	+25	open	—	04-21 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	108	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-26 18:14
btc updown 5m 1772745600	5	$775	520	520	+0	open	—	03-05 21:25
btc updown 5m 1772750100	2	$745	500	500	+0	open	—	03-05 22:40
btc updown 5m 1776962400	38	$645	1,075	0	+1,075	open	—	04-23 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	35	$600	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-01 07:00
btc updown 5m 1776048300	21	$558	476	476	+0	open	—	04-13 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	52	$542	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-25 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	12	$540	900	0	+900	open	—	05-01 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$520	800	0	+800	open	—	05-03 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$497	354	354	+0	open	—	05-03 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	26	$492	1,056	1,018	+38	open	—	04-25 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$461	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-29 09:39
btc updown 15m 1774724400	22	$457	570	570	+0	open	—	03-28 19:10
btc updown 15m 1776016800	12	$449	689	663	+26	open	—	04-12 18:10
btc updown 15m 1775282400	5	$443	586	570	+16	open	—	04-04 06:09
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	2	$440	233	233	+1	open	—	04-07 21:17
btc updown 5m 1771261200	2	$435	400	399	+1	open	—	02-16 17:05
btc updown 5m 1773433800	2	$432	290	290	+0	open	—	03-13 20:35
btc updown 15m 1774948500	2	$416	400	386	+14	open	—	03-31 09:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	20	$410	800	0	+800	open	—	04-26 16:05
btc updown 5m 1773095400	2	$388	260	260	+0	open	—	03-09 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	26	$375	536	0	+536	open	—	05-03 10:10
btc updown 5m 1772761500	7	$375	253	251	+3	open	—	03-06 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$365	36,500	0	+36,500	open	—	05-04 17:40
btc updown 5m 1773301200	8	$355	240	239	+1	open	—	03-12 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	6	$353	303	303	+0	open	—	05-03 21:55
btc updown 5m 1776972900	4	$347	578	0	+578	open	—	04-23 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$339	343	0	+343	open	—	05-04 16:35
btc updown 15m 1775919600	8	$326	300	291	+9	open	—	04-11 15:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 19:24:58	btc updown 5m 1780946400	Down	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x52afde…
06-08 18:55:04	btc updown 5m 1780944600	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf14c24…
06-02 16:03:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x1c2f11…
05-27 14:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x787d38…
05-26 20:26:21	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x22411d…
05-26 20:25:51	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa15699…
05-26 20:24:47	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xce54a6…
05-26 20:23:35	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x132a12…
05-17 09:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	48	91¢	$44	0xe81cdf…
05-17 09:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x80c060…
05-17 09:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0x78d0be…
05-17 09:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	47	91¢	$43	0x14ae30…
05-14 14:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	500	25¢	$125	0x8ac811…
05-14 14:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xdd0ef7…
05-14 14:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x8ffaf3…
05-14 14:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x1ffae4…
05-14 14:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x181a2c…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xf99210…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xf5d215…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xf59598…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xf57eb5…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xeeb408…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xdedb98…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xdecb37…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xdc1742…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xd8ad38…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xd1afd3…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xcc22df…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	70	20¢	$14	0xc94f89…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xc6fc56…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc69256…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xc0a20e…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	31	20¢	$6	0xb81366…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xb6bbb9…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	63	20¢	$13	0xae7f28…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa986ad…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa5eccb…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xa1327b…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x95845b…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x90163a…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x8c423e…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x893988…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	62	20¢	$12	0x85a009…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x728101…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x704770…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x6c7746…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x6c6a1f…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x5e1f0d…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x4cff8d…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x4cf133…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x435508…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x41cb9c…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4081aa…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x3bfef0…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x25b84e…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x249f9c…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x13cacf…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x12817a…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x0b470b…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x09236a…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x02897c…
05-14 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x00265d…
05-14 14:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x456db8…
05-13 23:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0xad53ec…
05-13 23:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x223ce0…
05-13 22:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x368103…
05-10 14:04:27	Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	Chennai Super Kings	SELL	129	91¢	$118	0x8095b8…
05-10 13:56:04	Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xd70756…
05-10 13:56:01	Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	98	85¢	$84	0x80419b…
05-10 13:56:01	Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x3ae17c…
05-10 13:40:02	Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x13524e…
05-04 17:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	36,500	1¢	$365	0x1e5938…
05-04 16:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	343	99¢	$339	0x752950…
05-03 23:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	76	87¢	$66	0xc48324…
05-03 21:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	303	61¢	$186	0xaf05ff…
05-03 21:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xbc9ba6…
05-03 21:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xac4b3c…
05-03 21:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x534db3…
05-03 21:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	60¢	$18	0x33c830…
05-03 21:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	260	54¢	$142	0x2882e6…
05-03 21:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5db371…
05-03 21:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	354	85¢	$300	0x46a9be…
05-03 21:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	354	56¢	$196	0x18d792…
05-03 20:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x937614…
05-03 20:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf1c49d…
05-03 20:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$5	0xe4682f…
05-03 20:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xbede2c…
05-03 19:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe852f3…
05-03 19:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x719a4a…
05-03 19:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa84e39…
05-03 19:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0xecbde9…
05-03 19:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x73cedc…
05-03 19:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x20b007…
05-03 19:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x05bddb…
05-03 19:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	244	52¢	$127	0x7b2a66…
05-03 19:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf16b73…
05-03 19:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xba322d…
05-03 19:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	72	40¢	$29	0x8bd584…
05-03 19:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x83bac1…
05-03 19:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	64	40¢	$26	0x01a2e6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	306	$21.0K	3,827	05-17 09:24
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	281	$17.0K	2,597	06-08 19:23
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	268	$6.80K	756	05-01 06:25
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	224	$4.70K	640	05-13 23:54
Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75	221	$24.9K	6,011	06-08 19:25
Doting-Assignment 0x4ce2…a9d0	218	$11.1K	2,674	05-14 14:06
(anonymous) 0x88f4…d4db	206	$43.6K	5,455	05-27 14:41
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	204	$26.3K	6,385	06-08 19:24