Lopsided-Might-Ambition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21.0K

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

50.1%

Resolved

1,388

Trades

100,691

lifetime

Volume

$9.28M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$92

Open exposure

$10.8K

1 position

First seen

2026-04-02

last 10-25 11:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Other

77% 50% -$3,554

Sports

23% 45% -$17,478

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 289 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+98,206	$10,800	11¢	$10.8K	+$3	10-25 11:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	974	$161.9K	156,500	156,499	+0	Spain	-$43	07-02 17:56
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1,209	$139.4K	147,618	147,616	+2	Argentina	+$156	07-15 18:51
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	506	$118.8K	132,000	131,998	+1	Spain	+$325	07-14 18:40
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	660	$83.1K	84,000	83,998	+1	Spurs	+$210	06-09 00:08
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	355	$79.5K	61,999	61,999	+0	No	-$50	07-19 19:01
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	750	$77.6K	76,228	76,225	+2	No	+$127	06-25 22:20
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	768	$72.7K	73,605	73,604	+1	No	-$558	06-26 01:56
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	201	$64.2K	59,055	59,054	+0	Over	+$50	07-15 18:56
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	548	$64.0K	41,995	41,995	+0	No	-$45	07-11 20:19
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	540	$63.6K	64,838	64,836	+1	Spain	+$343	07-06 18:52
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	226	$63.0K	60,035	60,034	+1	Under	-$29	07-19 18:55
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	423	$61.3K	63,029	63,028	+1	Belgium	-$127	07-07 00:00
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	305	$60.9K	51,999	51,999	+1	Spain	+$58	07-19 19:00
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	228	$60.8K	51,055	51,055	+0	No	-$55	07-15 18:58
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	816	$54.1K	78,393	78,391	+2	England	-$117	07-11 20:50
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	288	$51.8K	39,500	39,500	+0	Argentina	+$155	07-03 21:52
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	417	$51.5K	55,421	55,421	+0	Yes	-$229	06-26 23:59
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	249	$49.6K	45,000	44,999	+0	No	-$96	07-19 19:08
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	122	$45.8K	46,000	46,000	+0	Under	+$18	07-14 18:50
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	195	$45.1K	26,500	26,499	+1	No	-$55	06-26 23:54
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	315	$43.4K	43,000	42,999	+1	England	+$30	07-06 00:11
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	203	$42.9K	22,442	22,441	+1	No	+$6	06-20 20:37
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	582	$42.8K	42,000	41,999	+1	No	-$5	07-06 23:44
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	262	$41.9K	43,500	43,499	+1	Yes	-$15	06-28 18:46
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	584	$40.9K	49,041	49,040	+0	No	-$750	06-25 18:53
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	433	$40.2K	40,390	40,385	+5	No	-$68	06-27 23:17
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	237	$40.0K	37,514	37,514	+0	No	+$9	07-14 18:13
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	228	$38.8K	58,886	58,884	+1	Under	-$41	07-19 19:07
fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	323	$37.7K	26,773	26,772	+0	Türkiye	+$19	06-26 01:37
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	638	$36.2K	33,932	33,931	+1	No	+$201	05-13 18:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 11:58:53	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	98,206	11¢	$10,800	0x573e9e…
10-19 00:30:47	Commanders vs. 49ers: O/U 50.5	Under	SELL	168	43¢	$72	0x7344d6…
10-19 00:15:26	Spread: Packers (-1.5)	Packers	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x6d65c3…
10-18 23:56:41	Commanders vs. 49ers: O/U 50.5	Under	SELL	307	43¢	$132	0xcc48d7…
10-18 21:48:53	Commanders vs. 49ers: O/U 50.5	Under	SELL	25	43¢	$11	0x81b6cf…
10-18 20:20:27	Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)	Chiefs	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0x2634a4…
10-18 20:20:26	Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)	Chiefs	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0x5abde4…
10-18 20:20:26	Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)	Chiefs	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0x3f49e2…
10-18 20:20:26	Spread: Chiefs (-7.5)	Chiefs	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0x28ae4a…
10-18 20:20:24	Spread: Chiefs (-7.5)	Chiefs	SELL	200	46¢	$92	0x59e1de…
10-18 20:20:24	Spread: Chiefs (-7.5)	Chiefs	SELL	200	46¢	$92	0x4506b0…
10-18 20:00:26	Cardinals vs. Rams: O/U 51.5	Over	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x29556e…
10-18 20:00:24	Cardinals vs. Rams: O/U 51.5	Over	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0x5e4dba…
10-18 20:00:24	Cardinals vs. Rams: O/U 51.5	Over	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0x02695c…
10-18 18:12:23	Cardinals vs. Rams: O/U 51.5	Over	BUY	500	48¢	$240	0xf24eb7…
10-18 16:58:26	Spread: Eagles (-3.5)	Panthers	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0xdfa4df…
10-18 16:58:26	Spread: Eagles (-3.5)	Panthers	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x718dfd…
10-18 16:58:26	Spread: Eagles (-3.5)	Panthers	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0x37c124…
10-18 16:58:24	Panthers vs. Eagles	Panthers	SELL	200	58¢	$116	0x560226…
10-18 16:58:24	Panthers vs. Eagles	Panthers	SELL	116	58¢	$67	0x537b82…
10-18 16:58:24	Panthers vs. Eagles	Panthers	SELL	200	58¢	$116	0x13914b…
10-18 16:58:24	Panthers vs. Eagles	Panthers	SELL	200	58¢	$116	0x00b57b…
10-18 16:58:08	Spread: Colts (-6.5)	Colts	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0xb7ad5b…
10-18 16:58:08	Spread: Colts (-7.5)	Colts	SELL	200	41¢	$82	0xa9ca09…
10-18 16:58:08	Spread: Colts (-7.5)	Colts	SELL	200	41¢	$82	0x746c87…
10-18 16:58:08	Spread: Colts (-7.5)	Colts	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0x23682b…
10-18 16:58:06	Spread: Colts (-6.5)	Colts	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0xe35d2b…
10-18 16:58:06	Spread: Colts (-6.5)	Colts	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0x349197…
10-18 16:58:05	Spread: Browns (-3.5)	Ravens	SELL	100	73¢	$73	0xe12651…
10-18 16:58:05	Spread: Browns (-3.5)	Ravens	SELL	200	73¢	$146	0xda5851…
10-18 16:58:05	Spread: Browns (-3.5)	Ravens	SELL	200	72¢	$144	0xab31ba…
10-18 16:57:47	Spread: Patriots (-7.5)	Patriots	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0xcb1a47…
10-18 16:57:45	Spread: Patriots (-7.5)	Patriots	SELL	200	46¢	$92	0x7a37bb…
10-18 16:57:45	Spread: Patriots (-7.5)	Patriots	SELL	200	46¢	$92	0x49e6f4…
10-18 16:55:27	Bears vs. Falcons	Falcons	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0xd92468…
10-18 16:55:27	Saints vs. Giants	Saints	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0x32ddd3…
10-18 16:55:26	Bears vs. Falcons	Falcons	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0xe90287…
10-18 16:55:26	Bears vs. Falcons	Falcons	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0xe6134e…
10-18 16:55:26	Bears vs. Falcons	Falcons	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0x78dd99…
10-18 16:55:26	Bears vs. Falcons	Falcons	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0x135dde…
10-18 16:38:45	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5	Over	SELL	362	45¢	$163	0x913257…
10-18 16:36:21	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5	Over	SELL	138	45¢	$62	0x48c5c5…
10-18 16:36:09	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 51.5	Over	SELL	500	49¢	$245	0x4ab9ce…
10-18 15:37:48	Titans vs. Colts: O/U 44.5	Over	SELL	500	47¢	$235	0x11b39d…
10-18 15:27:47	Spread: Chiefs (-7.5)	Chiefs	BUY	500	48¢	$240	0xb97c69…
10-18 15:13:23	Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)	Chiefs	BUY	500	67¢	$335	0xd726c7…
10-18 14:39:23	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	48	49¢	$23	0x0317f5…
10-18 14:34:42	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	SELL	500	37¢	$185	0x350e20…
10-18 14:34:41	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	SELL	500	37¢	$185	0x44112a…
10-18 14:13:33	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 51.5	Over	BUY	500	52¢	$260	0x3f9075…
10-18 13:45:39	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	500	39¢	$195	0x4e1023…
10-18 13:45:02	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xafba87…
10-18 13:44:11	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xf8c9fe…
10-18 13:44:05	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	90	39¢	$35	0xbf48f3…
10-18 13:43:32	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xad4a4a…
10-18 13:43:15	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5	Over	BUY	500	48¢	$240	0xd2070f…
10-18 13:42:21	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0x34711b…
10-18 13:41:41	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	33	39¢	$13	0xb49125…
10-18 13:41:26	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	303	39¢	$118	0x095d3e…
10-18 13:37:32	Spread: Browns (-3.5)	Ravens	BUY	500	74¢	$370	0xed69dc…
10-18 13:37:29	Spread: Patriots (-7.5)	Patriots	BUY	500	47¢	$235	0xad44ce…
10-18 13:25:30	Spread: Texans (-3.5)	Jaguars	SELL	82	68¢	$56	0xe247f7…
10-18 13:25:30	Spread: Texans (-3.5)	Jaguars	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0xc7ef2b…
10-18 13:25:30	Spread: Texans (-3.5)	Jaguars	SELL	200	68¢	$136	0x83a7fb…
10-18 12:40:53	Titans vs. Colts: O/U 44.5	Over	BUY	500	48¢	$240	0x8b70cd…
10-18 12:39:48	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xad3f14…
10-18 11:52:53	Texans vs. Jaguars: O/U 42.5	Over	SELL	500	49¢	$245	0x70f3ae…
10-18 11:46:56	Spread: Chiefs (-7.5)	Chiefs	SELL	500	49¢	$245	0x32920f…
10-18 11:31:27	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x519d30…
10-18 11:25:05	Texans vs. Jaguars: O/U 42.5	Under	SELL	500	52¢	$260	0x52f6f5…
10-18 11:25:05	Texans vs. Jaguars: O/U 42.5	Over	BUY	500	48¢	$240	0x52f6f5…
10-18 10:17:27	Spread: Jaguars (-2.5)	Texans	SELL	500	50¢	$250	0x12dfe4…
10-18 09:43:53	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	SELL	500	38¢	$190	0x692629…
10-18 09:43:51	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	SELL	330	38¢	$125	0x5bbb38…
10-18 09:38:29	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	500	37¢	$185	0xda8242…
10-18 08:49:15	Texans vs. Jaguars: O/U 42.5	Under	BUY	500	52¢	$260	0xd78320…
10-18 08:39:09	Titans vs. Colts: O/U 44.5	Over	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbd28b2…
10-18 05:06:30	Saints vs. Giants	Saints	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0xa860bd…
10-18 05:04:56	Saints vs. Giants	Saints	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xad1a35…
10-18 05:00:09	Panthers vs. Eagles	Panthers	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x82d895…
10-18 04:33:44	Panthers vs. Eagles	Panthers	SELL	281	61¢	$171	0x5d0233…
10-18 03:57:51	Spread: Jaguars (-2.5)	Texans	BUY	500	49¢	$245	0x9bbd24…
10-18 02:28:53	Bears vs. Falcons	Bears	SELL	500	51¢	$255	0x77898b…
10-18 00:47:21	Spread: Eagles (-3.5)	Panthers	BUY	500	74¢	$370	0xee07af…
10-18 00:17:35	Spread: Texans (-3.5)	Jaguars	BUY	482	72¢	$347	0x0e8410…
10-17 21:12:02	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x28dcb6…
10-17 21:06:08	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0x652302…
10-17 16:25:32	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x62cd77…
10-17 16:25:30	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0xcfe2cb…
10-17 16:25:30	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0xc253aa…
10-17 16:25:30	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0x3a1367…
10-17 16:25:29	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0x4f9316…
10-17 15:08:08	Bears vs. Falcons	Bears	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0x4ba7c1…
10-17 15:06:09	Spread: Colts (-7.5)	Colts	BUY	500	44¢	$220	0x432363…
10-17 14:31:45	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	500	33¢	$165	0x740850…
10-17 13:55:30	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0xd57c41…
10-17 13:55:30	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0x9ab849…
10-17 13:55:30	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	SELL	199	40¢	$80	0x91c7f8…
10-17 13:55:30	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0x31418f…
10-17 13:55:30	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0x0e5871…