Negative-Wellbeing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.05K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.0%

Resolved

3,777

Trades

10,050

lifetime

Volume

$82.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 11-01 14:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 73% -$2,050

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 310 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 19:50 UTC	3	$2.7K	1,486	1,471	+15	Up	+$187	04-15 19:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 18:05 UTC	4	$1.4K	1,021	1,001	+20	Down	-$54	04-15 18:10
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 10pm et	15	$1.0K	987	970	+17	Up	-$28	03-31 02:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:10 UTC	1	$999	1,204	0	+1,204	Down	-$999	04-16 00:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 19:20 UTC	5	$944	577	565	+13	Down	+$157	04-15 19:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:00 UTC	6	$869	617	605	+11	Down	-$41	04-15 20:02
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 9pm et	8	$808	568	560	+8	Up	+$51	03-31 01:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 04:40 UTC	6	$734	509	490	+19	Up	+$250	04-15 04:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 21:45 UTC	4	$500	412	397	+15	Down	+$115	04-15 21:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 21:45 UTC	6	$437	257	253	+4	Down	+$45	04-14 21:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 23:55 UTC	4	$436	323	314	+9	Up	+$36	04-15 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	7	$396	255	255	+0	Down	+$9	10-29 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	5	$396	291	291	+0	Down	+$76	10-26 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	9	$389	250	250	+0	Down	+$49	10-25 05:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 18:10 UTC	1	$378	878	0	+878	Up	-$378	04-15 18:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:05 UTC	3	$370	709	383	+326	Down	-$302	04-16 00:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 01:05 UTC	7	$340	247	228	+20	Down	+$3	03-31 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	11	$314	170	170	+0	Up	+$10	10-27 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	7	$306	161	161	+0	Down	+$6	10-30 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$306	208	208	+0	Up	+$106	10-29 12:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 00:55 UTC	4	$299	335	318	+17	Up	+$131	04-14 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	6	$298	167	167	+0	Down	+$18	10-25 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	4	$296	196	196	+0	Down	+$56	10-26 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	5	$289	179	179	+0	Down	-$17	10-28 00:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 10:35 UTC	9	$288	208	203	+5	Down	+$12	04-16 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	11	$283	221	221	+0	Up	-$11	10-27 14:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 21:55 UTC	2	$281	200	193	+7	Down	+$88	04-15 21:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 23:45 UTC	2	$278	208	201	+8	Up	+$85	04-15 23:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	11	$269	164	164	+0	Up	+$9	10-29 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	6	$269	153	153	+0	Down	+$9	10-30 14:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 14:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x8326f6…
11-01 14:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xd0525d…
11-01 14:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x7cb76b…
11-01 14:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xac22c6…
11-01 14:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xd71565…
11-01 13:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x75adce…
11-01 13:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x6d4ab3…
11-01 13:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x90ce39…
11-01 13:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3133af…
11-01 13:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe46acb…
11-01 13:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	16	67¢	$10	0xbf32ae…
11-01 13:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x69ef40…
11-01 13:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb00f13…
11-01 13:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2bbaa9…
11-01 13:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x3e633c…
11-01 13:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xf62122…
11-01 13:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd18815…
11-01 13:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x5efb9a…
11-01 13:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x0766db…
11-01 13:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x90dbd1…
11-01 12:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x755355…
11-01 12:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9008e4…
11-01 12:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5e9267…
11-01 12:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xde5929…
11-01 12:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5ba866…
11-01 12:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x111ce7…
11-01 12:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbb25de…
11-01 12:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x37dcd5…
11-01 12:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x171f38…
11-01 12:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xa78cbb…
11-01 12:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x20adc2…
11-01 11:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0xc7babf…
11-01 11:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x55ce53…
11-01 05:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xa5ab6b…
11-01 05:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x31a5ee…
11-01 04:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xf815e1…
11-01 04:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xe80d44…
11-01 04:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x283080…
11-01 04:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x8b4add…
11-01 03:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0x6e4778…
11-01 03:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x29430f…
11-01 03:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x07df6c…
11-01 03:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x24c79d…
11-01 03:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	41	89¢	$37	0xa82733…
11-01 03:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x817197…
11-01 03:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	80	2¢	$2	0x63d1d7…
11-01 03:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	123	46¢	$56	0x9aac54…
11-01 03:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	114	53¢	$60	0x35d322…
11-01 03:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	78¢	$19	0xb1a983…
11-01 03:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	90	78¢	$70	0x39fafa…
11-01 03:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xa8c15c…
11-01 03:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x897c58…
11-01 03:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x723fe2…
11-01 03:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x5d6d25…
11-01 03:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x0d8967…
11-01 02:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	123	94¢	$116	0x5b07b2…
11-01 02:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0xca40b6…
11-01 02:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x241f8b…
11-01 02:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	81	64¢	$52	0x004dda…
11-01 02:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0xdb4e38…
11-01 02:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0xb8c0ae…
11-01 01:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x66be84…
11-01 01:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0x0768f1…
11-01 01:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xee9543…
11-01 01:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	74	81¢	$60	0x70b6d2…
11-01 01:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xbfbac5…
11-01 01:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	41	94¢	$39	0x8560ca…
11-01 01:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x47a3e2…
11-01 01:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x49fb92…
11-01 01:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb01be3…
11-01 01:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x985e2e…
11-01 01:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x611d37…
11-01 01:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x18f436…
11-01 01:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x1dbde7…
11-01 01:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x7c9b33…
11-01 01:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x21f271…
11-01 01:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7050f0…
11-01 01:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	18	46¢	$8	0xbfde8d…
11-01 01:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x21924b…
11-01 01:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x33527d…
11-01 01:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x99e6e9…
11-01 01:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0x4b8f35…
11-01 01:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x1317dc…
11-01 01:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xc10fdc…
11-01 01:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x16a498…
11-01 00:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x226f0e…
11-01 00:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x108241…
11-01 00:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0x3a1fd3…
11-01 00:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xf7388b…
11-01 00:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0xc13d68…
11-01 00:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdc169d…
11-01 00:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xd68f12…
11-01 00:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xb45f8a…
11-01 00:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x228c54…
11-01 00:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xca78f0…
11-01 00:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x3c6333…
11-01 00:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x4201fa…
11-01 00:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0x4f4387…
11-01 00:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x6ce9f4…
11-01 00:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x4a1fba…