Negative-Wellbeing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.20K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.0%

Resolved

3,937

Trades

10,468

lifetime

Volume

$90.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 11-04 15:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 73% -$2,196

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 310 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 19:50 UTC	3	$2.7K	1,486	1,471	+15	Up	+$187	04-15 19:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 18:05 UTC	4	$1.4K	1,021	1,001	+20	Down	-$54	04-15 18:10
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 10pm et	15	$1.0K	987	970	+17	Up	-$28	03-31 02:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:10 UTC	1	$999	1,204	0	+1,204	Down	-$999	04-16 00:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 19:20 UTC	5	$944	577	565	+13	Down	+$157	04-15 19:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:00 UTC	6	$869	617	605	+11	Down	-$41	04-15 20:02
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 9pm et	8	$808	568	560	+8	Up	+$51	03-31 01:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 04:40 UTC	6	$734	509	490	+19	Up	+$250	04-15 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	5	$507	313	313	+0	Up	+$47	11-04 15:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 21:45 UTC	4	$500	412	397	+15	Down	+$115	04-15 21:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 21:45 UTC	6	$437	257	253	+4	Down	+$45	04-14 21:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 23:55 UTC	4	$436	323	314	+9	Up	+$36	04-15 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	7	$396	255	255	+0	Down	+$9	10-29 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	5	$396	291	291	+0	Down	+$76	10-26 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	9	$389	250	250	+0	Down	+$49	10-25 05:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 18:10 UTC	1	$378	878	0	+878	Up	-$378	04-15 18:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:05 UTC	3	$370	709	383	+326	Down	-$302	04-16 00:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 01:05 UTC	7	$340	247	228	+20	Down	+$3	03-31 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	6	$337	273	273	+0	Up	+$17	11-04 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	7	$320	557	0	+557	Down	-$320	11-04 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	11	$314	170	170	+0	Up	+$10	10-27 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	7	$306	161	161	+0	Down	+$6	10-30 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$306	208	208	+0	Up	+$106	10-29 12:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 00:55 UTC	4	$299	335	318	+17	Up	+$131	04-14 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	6	$298	167	167	+0	Down	+$18	10-25 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	4	$296	196	196	+0	Down	+$56	10-26 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	5	$289	179	179	+0	Down	-$17	10-28 00:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 10:35 UTC	9	$288	208	203	+5	Down	+$12	04-16 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	4	$283	190	190	+0	Down	+$23	11-04 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	11	$283	221	221	+0	Up	-$11	10-27 14:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 15:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x9500b6…
11-04 15:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x17f808…
11-04 15:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x5ca6e2…
11-04 15:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x6123a6…
11-04 15:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	42	79¢	$33	0x7e6df1…
11-04 15:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0xd39c39…
11-04 15:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	116	57¢	$66	0xe425d6…
11-04 15:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	115	68¢	$78	0x323648…
11-04 15:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x1e42ed…
11-04 15:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xa62723…
11-04 15:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x6daa5d…
11-04 15:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x84700c…
11-04 15:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xf3bd48…
11-04 15:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x7a4681…
11-04 15:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x245e2e…
11-04 15:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xd44fd5…
11-04 15:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x69a0f6…
11-04 15:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x26ef3b…
11-04 15:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	108	95¢	$103	0xbca24a…
11-04 15:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0x3fd429…
11-04 15:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xba372f…
11-04 15:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	204	85¢	$174	0x1f87f1…
11-04 15:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x7dc3ed…
11-04 15:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0xfb6c4e…
11-04 14:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xcec599…
11-04 14:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x6a5934…
11-04 14:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	44	77¢	$34	0xc7f379…
11-04 14:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x98406b…
11-04 14:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	132	86¢	$113	0x3295d9…
11-04 14:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x6427ec…
11-04 14:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	59	68¢	$40	0xe54a8e…
11-04 14:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x9410e0…
11-04 14:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	36	91¢	$33	0xc59ad9…
11-04 14:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x65b8e4…
11-04 14:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0x1bd74d…
11-04 14:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x047952…
11-04 14:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	106	97¢	$103	0x945aeb…
11-04 14:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xbb1b31…
11-04 14:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe4e0ab…
11-04 14:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	137	99¢	$136	0x53cde3…
11-04 14:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x22d272…
11-04 14:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	158	61¢	$96	0x8654a9…
11-04 14:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	101	30¢	$30	0xa0d04d…
11-04 14:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x710c54…
11-04 14:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x819ee2…
11-04 14:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xffee84…
11-04 14:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xcd4674…
11-04 14:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x1f5d73…
11-04 14:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0xc06ebf…
11-04 14:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0xb9ac15…
11-04 14:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x29f56a…
11-04 13:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0xe3f3c9…
11-04 13:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x53be72…
11-04 13:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x308348…
11-04 13:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	78¢	$30	0x72f17e…
11-04 12:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x4f8619…
11-04 12:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x060ac5…
11-04 12:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x640a4e…
11-04 12:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xf9c936…
11-04 12:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x916961…
11-04 12:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6319ca…
11-04 12:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x59ece6…
11-04 10:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0xd69b4d…
11-04 10:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xc57737…
11-04 09:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0xf33113…
11-04 09:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x6502f8…
11-04 09:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x56b1af…
11-04 09:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xc5fc94…
11-04 09:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x1e4530…
11-04 09:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0xe63cee…
11-04 09:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xd4418e…
11-04 09:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x9942b4…
11-04 08:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x3866aa…
11-04 08:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x780301…
11-04 08:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xfe9f94…
11-04 08:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x5b65ba…
11-04 08:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x888b34…
11-04 08:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x3a31a4…
11-04 07:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$24	0xc38f53…
11-04 07:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0x888cab…
11-04 07:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x310b37…
11-04 07:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xcd9d50…
11-04 06:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xb26187…
11-04 06:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x6cbab1…
11-04 06:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x5e1cde…
11-04 06:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x518d36…
11-04 06:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x9dedf9…
11-04 06:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0xd9ae1e…
11-04 05:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xc7d93f…
11-04 05:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x1a2fba…
11-04 05:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0xb9a920…
11-04 05:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x69eef4…
11-04 05:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x6492d8…
11-04 05:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0xe90dfa…
11-04 04:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc2b0aa…
11-04 04:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x2b50fa…
11-04 04:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x19b69b…
11-04 04:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xa0b8ed…
11-04 04:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x1bdbec…
11-04 04:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xfe986e…