Damp-Loophole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$88

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.4%

Resolved

Trades

427

lifetime

Volume

$3.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 06-03 19:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 18% $-24

Politics

12% — —

Other

8% — —

Sports

4% 100% +$112

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 183 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	25	$251	3,332	57	+3,275	open	—	03-08 21:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$198	139	139	+0	open	—	04-18 14:26
btc updown 5m 1776525000	4	$149	150	142	+9	open	—	04-18 15:14
btc updown 5m 1776480900	7	$120	139	133	+6	open	—	04-18 02:59
btc updown 5m 1776481200	9	$112	162	153	+9	open	—	04-18 03:05
btc updown 5m 1776481500	8	$94	120	110	+10	open	—	04-18 03:10
btc updown 5m 1776474300	5	$88	85	81	+5	open	—	04-18 01:09
btc updown 5m 1776478800	6	$82	86	82	+4	open	—	04-18 02:24
btc updown 5m 1776480000	5	$77	91	86	+5	open	—	04-18 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	10	$77	79	79	+0	open	—	05-15 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	4	$73	61	61	+0	open	—	05-15 00:24
btc updown 5m 1776466200	6	$71	92	36	+56	open	—	04-17 22:55
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	16	$69	1,100	806	+295	open	—	03-08 19:05
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	3	$63	95	47	+49	Sean Brady	+$15	05-10 02:05
btc updown 5m 1776474900	4	$61	49	47	+2	open	—	04-18 01:21
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	5	$61	219	105	+113	Sean Strickland	+$90	05-10 01:51
btc updown 5m 1772565300	4	$52	49	49	+1	open	—	03-03 19:19
btc updown 5m 1776523200	4	$49	240	54	+185	open	—	04-18 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	5	$47	38	38	+0	open	—	05-15 00:30
btc updown 5m 1776524100	3	$45	94	42	+52	open	—	04-18 14:59
btc updown 5m 1776522900	4	$44	63	20	+42	open	—	04-18 14:39
btc updown 5m 1776472500	4	$42	105	9	+96	open	—	04-18 00:40
btc updown 5m 1776478200	5	$41	71	26	+45	open	—	04-18 02:14
btc updown 5m 1772969400	4	$39	34	33	+0	open	—	03-08 11:35
btc updown 5m 1776455100	2	$38	36	34	+2	open	—	04-17 19:50
btc updown 15m 1776475800	6	$37	235	143	+92	open	—	04-18 01:44
btc updown 5m 1776472800	2	$35	28	26	+1	open	—	04-18 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	3	$34	25	25	+0	Down	+$16	05-08 16:15
btc updown 5m 1776465900	7	$34	119	10	+110	open	—	04-17 22:50
btc updown 5m 1776476700	3	$33	166	155	+11	open	—	04-18 01:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 19:58:10	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	89	18¢	$16	0xcdda24…
05-23 20:01:40	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	230	7¢	$16	0xbcbdb3…
05-15 01:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xed7caf…
05-15 01:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x656cda…
05-15 01:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe92769…
05-15 01:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4ff6e5…
05-15 01:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6eefb8…
05-15 01:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x07d566…
05-15 01:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x73023b…
05-15 01:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x3fee9f…
05-15 01:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x097840…
05-15 01:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc20ec4…
05-15 01:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	40¢	$5	0xf686a4…
05-15 01:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x4ca5b1…
05-15 01:23:43	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xe58da7…
05-15 01:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x85e8e9…
05-15 01:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0x7c41e3…
05-15 01:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa4de1a…
05-15 01:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	29	89¢	$26	0x362cfd…
05-15 01:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x4cc9f5…
05-15 01:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xcc572c…
05-15 01:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x86ca1a…
05-15 01:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf5068e…
05-15 01:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x52ace6…
05-15 01:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x07e90b…
05-15 01:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x25d730…
05-15 01:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x0e82b4…
05-15 01:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	41¢	$7	0x0c96f0…
05-15 01:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x4ffa1b…
05-15 01:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x518de2…
05-15 01:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x70513a…
05-15 01:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x730ba1…
05-15 01:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x5b173c…
05-15 01:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x78400b…
05-15 01:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xcb0a32…
05-15 01:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf96172…
05-15 01:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0xbd9817…
05-15 01:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc6c196…
05-15 01:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x0de60e…
05-15 01:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x40e999…
05-15 01:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8d1b98…
05-15 01:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x432c0c…
05-15 01:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb26c8c…
05-15 01:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x47df83…
05-15 01:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x00ad02…
05-15 01:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x49ec35…
05-15 00:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xa77d34…
05-15 00:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc22b63…
05-15 00:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x206188…
05-15 00:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xbf5e72…
05-15 00:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf0824b…
05-15 00:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	63¢	$7	0x7b7fb0…
05-15 00:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5c3caf…
05-15 00:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf0c239…
05-15 00:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf19b57…
05-15 00:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xafec9a…
05-15 00:53:42	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	86	3¢	$3	0xf14374…
05-15 00:43:38	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0x4ca2ea…
05-15 00:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xb87381…
05-15 00:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x07da7c…
05-15 00:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0x74dfe0…
05-15 00:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x8f4483…
05-15 00:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xb83a0e…
05-15 00:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0x903721…
05-15 00:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xa119f4…
05-15 00:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x449e49…
05-15 00:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x108472…
05-15 00:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xe34514…
05-15 00:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	61¢	$6	0xff39a3…
05-15 00:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	51	73¢	$37	0xe0d2d6…
05-15 00:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0xa9607c…
05-15 00:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xda4462…
05-15 00:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xb610d9…
05-15 00:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0xc38b5c…
05-15 00:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2a8c00…
05-15 00:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x019acd…
05-15 00:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x40223e…
05-15 00:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe5d80a…
05-15 00:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2567aa…
05-15 00:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x310cb6…
05-15 00:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x263e79…
05-15 00:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0xda102a…
05-11 21:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	17¢	$5	0x6d9878…
05-11 21:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0xf676a8…
05-11 20:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xbd316b…
05-11 20:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0xc99717…
05-11 20:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xc6a0fa…
05-11 20:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xfecde2…
05-11 20:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0xb9c6a5…
05-11 20:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x08781f…
05-11 20:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x68b283…
05-10 02:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	39	12¢	$5	0xc48ff1…
05-10 02:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xc598fa…
05-10 02:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x5f5595…
05-10 02:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x9d722b…
05-10 02:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x33106f…
05-10 02:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x80c250…
05-10 02:10:04	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x09a269…
05-10 02:05:29	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Joaquin Buckley	BUY	49	9¢	$4	0x991985…
05-10 02:04:16	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Sean Brady	SELL	47	84¢	$39	0xf1d7a8…