Flimsy-Basin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$948

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.2%

Resolved

117

Trades

20,947

lifetime

Volume

$101.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 05-13 11:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 44% $-948

Politics

4% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 1824 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$1.4K	750	750	+0	open	—	02-12 03:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	04-16 06:45
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	5	$1.2K	599	599	+0	open	—	04-16 07:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	90	$340	646	0	+646	Down	+$26	05-11 10:40
will a human or an ai win the aster trading competition	1	$300	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-27 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	78	$297	575	0	+575	Down	+$48	05-13 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	75	$295	530	0	+530	Up	+$25	05-11 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	91	$285	592	0	+592	Up	$-17	05-13 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	73	$264	559	0	+559	Up	$-14	05-11 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	62	$254	502	0	+502	Down	+$6	05-11 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	59	$253	467	0	+467	Down	$-3	05-13 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	61	$250	456	0	+456	Down	$-54	05-11 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	72	$245	495	0	+495	Up	+$27	05-11 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	90	$244	504	0	+504	Down	+$0	05-13 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	52	$244	391	0	+391	Up	$-114	05-13 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	78	$244	477	0	+477	Up	$-43	05-13 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	79	$243	507	0	+507	Down	$-3	05-13 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	81	$240	512	0	+512	Up	$-20	05-11 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	67	$227	456	0	+456	Down	$-47	05-13 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	60	$226	449	0	+449	Up	+$2	05-13 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	61	$210	400	0	+400	Down	+$12	05-11 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	57	$200	362	0	+362	Down	$-68	05-13 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	52	$200	375	0	+375	Up	$-68	05-13 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	61	$200	425	0	+425	Down	+$11	05-11 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	37	$195	309	0	+309	Up	+$1	05-13 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	45	$189	344	0	+344	Up	+$16	05-13 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	47	$186	394	0	+394	Up	+$38	05-13 06:14
btc updown 5m 1772261100	2	$183	100	100	+0	open	—	02-28 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	50	$181	337	0	+337	Down	$-1	05-13 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	44	$180	323	0	+323	Up	+$23	05-11 11:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 11:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xe9fbae…
05-13 11:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x25766a…
05-13 11:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x138de8…
05-13 11:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0xd3d1d3…
05-13 11:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x22ec0a…
05-13 11:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x542842…
05-13 11:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xff4c10…
05-13 11:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xc5c08a…
05-13 11:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xb454da…
05-13 11:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x5cc9c6…
05-13 11:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0x0b363e…
05-13 11:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x05a1cb…
05-13 11:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xd545b8…
05-13 11:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xbd64ed…
05-13 11:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x791055…
05-13 11:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x762201…
05-13 11:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xde8d66…
05-13 11:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x3d415c…
05-13 11:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x4c9ff0…
05-13 11:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xf9ab18…
05-13 11:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xea293e…
05-13 11:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x096acb…
05-13 11:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xcf3797…
05-13 11:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x0084a6…
05-13 11:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf686dc…
05-13 11:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xf5d467…
05-13 11:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$3	0xd4d09b…
05-13 11:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4f5ccb…
05-13 11:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xfd1613…
05-13 11:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x0c6fe9…
05-13 11:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xba6b7a…
05-13 11:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x43dd96…
05-13 11:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x70d38d…
05-13 11:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc4ea88…
05-13 11:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x720162…
05-13 11:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb4474a…
05-13 11:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x7a0a98…
05-13 11:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x549aa3…
05-13 11:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xfa2078…
05-13 11:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcf7047…
05-13 11:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x9c4ddb…
05-13 11:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb83683…
05-13 11:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0x9e8dd8…
05-13 11:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x5d0e34…
05-13 11:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x08a784…
05-13 11:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xcadf06…
05-13 11:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x2dfb6b…
05-13 11:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x75d9d7…
05-13 11:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x02ec8e…
05-13 11:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xdf0528…
05-13 11:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xc78169…
05-13 11:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xaba0d1…
05-13 11:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x7e32ec…
05-13 11:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x649108…
05-13 11:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x00997c…
05-13 11:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xc09021…
05-13 11:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x92e574…
05-13 11:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x660922…
05-13 11:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x036802…
05-13 11:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xe4540a…
05-13 11:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc6a644…
05-13 11:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbe7f3d…
05-13 11:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6a7604…
05-13 11:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x5e450e…
05-13 11:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4aec8b…
05-13 11:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2dbe2f…
05-13 11:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x8a8f9c…
05-13 11:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x777a6c…
05-13 11:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x511eb9…
05-13 11:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x03ae85…
05-13 11:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x9a7de2…
05-13 11:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x2fa6a1…
05-13 11:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x4e6c70…
05-13 11:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x82b1e8…
05-13 11:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc56cbf…
05-13 11:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x7294b6…
05-13 11:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xf4494a…
05-13 11:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x82ebae…
05-13 11:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xab36fb…
05-13 11:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xa45529…
05-13 11:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x834f07…
05-13 11:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x5b8135…
05-13 11:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0xf3b199…
05-13 11:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xeafc47…
05-13 11:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xbd5407…
05-13 11:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf15b1c…
05-13 11:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x42d9e5…
05-13 11:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc91a7b…
05-13 11:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x858b4a…
05-13 11:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x41d70d…
05-13 11:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xb6b306…
05-13 11:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x643b85…
05-13 11:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x320b4d…
05-13 11:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x9b351c…
05-13 11:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x5235de…
05-13 11:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x5f2b78…
05-13 11:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xd53f59…
05-13 11:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xdee1b4…
05-13 11:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xa38613…
05-13 11:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x172c42…