Competent-Rubbish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.74K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

Trades

331

lifetime

Volume

$25.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 09-11 12:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Politics

66% 67% +$2,016

Other

31% 35% -$230

Sports

3% 25% -$46

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	39	$7.7K	6,346	6,346	+0	No	+$736	05-30 22:59
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	58	$1.9K	13,799	5,087	+8,712	No	-$287	03-30 06:21
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	13	$1.7K	1,997	1,997	+0	Yes	-$34	06-03 10:08
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	18	$1.5K	2,183	2,183	+0	Yes	+$236	06-26 11:16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	23	$1.3K	1,372	1,372	+0	No	+$366	04-23 16:32
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	9	$886	724	724	+0	No	+$186	08-09 20:02
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	3	$820	775	775	+0	No	+$620	06-19 04:58
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	10	$710	778	778	+0	Yes	+$200	07-18 19:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$600	1,605	0	+1,605	No	-$600	09-11 12:37
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	6	$599	519	519	+0	No	+$19	04-23 08:54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	4	$491	340	340	+0	No	+$91	05-07 12:45
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$464	339	339	+0	Yes	+$64	05-30 19:01
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	2	$445	250	250	+0	No	+$45	08-09 11:59
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	6	$418	357	357	+0	Yes	+$118	07-13 23:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	5	$402	285	285	+0	No	+$2	05-20 14:35
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	7	$352	345	345	+0	No	+$102	04-23 08:44
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	2	$296	319	160	+160	No	-$4	05-25 12:52
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-26?	2	$291	204	201	+3	Yes	+$94	04-26 18:28
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	4	$270	389	389	+0	Yes	+$14	04-24 12:14
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	4	$269	436	194	+242	Yes	+$211	07-12 10:17
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	3	$250	443	0	+443	No	+$193	08-06 07:10
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	2	$232	137	137	+0	No	+$32	05-25 10:18
tur fen riz 2026 04 17 fen	2	$230	200	196	+4	No	+$130	04-17 18:52
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	5	$219	350	350	+0	No	+$44	04-22 17:51
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	1	$200	253	0	+253	No	-$200	06-20 21:54
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	2	$199	240	240	+0	Yes	-$1	05-06 17:06
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	4	$188	965	370	+595	No	-$77	04-30 11:13
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?	2	$153	106	106	+0	Yes	+$53	06-14 05:43
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	3	$150	313	0	+313	Yes	-$150	07-22 07:46
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	2	$142	93	93	+0	Yes	+$42	08-12 12:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 12:37:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xa74c41…
09-10 15:15:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xc99718…
09-04 12:16:15	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	Yes	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0x5506e5…
09-02 12:22:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xb935a4…
08-31 15:04:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xf4213f…
08-29 19:27:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0x8741e5…
08-15 20:20:12	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-15?	Yes	BUY	366	3¢	$10	0xec0242…
08-12 12:34:10	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	SELL	363	0¢	$0	0x5d7bbf…
08-12 12:33:40	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	Yes	SELL	93	99¢	$92	0xbc1bd9…
08-12 10:00:36	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	67	36¢	$24	0x2784e5…
08-12 09:59:04	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xf74ff9…
08-12 09:46:36	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	76	40¢	$30	0x038103…
08-12 09:24:09	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0xac63d5…
08-11 10:24:27	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	363	14¢	$50	0x79c158…
08-09 20:02:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	111	88¢	$98	0x345612…
08-09 19:51:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	111	88¢	$98	0xdbe50f…
08-09 17:03:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	222	82¢	$182	0xa0737b…
08-09 14:55:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	148	75¢	$111	0xb10b84…
08-09 11:59:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	250	98¢	$245	0xd60222…
08-08 08:49:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0xee9968…
08-08 08:45:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xb68970…
08-07 12:02:00	Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in July?	Yes	BUY	137	7¢	$10	0xe8db9c…
08-07 12:01:22	Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in July?	Yes	BUY	148	7¢	$10	0x7b0b25…
08-07 11:59:22	Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?	Yes	BUY	180	28¢	$50	0x70c9f5…
08-07 06:47:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x7db14d…
08-06 07:10:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	151	66¢	$100	0x499d4e…
08-05 11:04:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0xfcb561…
08-04 14:09:51	Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.3M and 7.4M in June?	Yes	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x0ec3dc…
08-04 14:09:08	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x556b88…
08-04 13:41:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	132	36¢	$48	0x7cf80c…
08-04 12:53:53	Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.3M and 7.4M in June?	Yes	BUY	114	18¢	$20	0x3b2777…
08-04 10:52:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x62e21e…
08-04 10:47:48	Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July?	Yes	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0x117843…
08-03 18:18:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xc88d87…
08-03 13:48:08	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in July?	Yes	BUY	202	5¢	$10	0x453960…
08-03 13:34:23	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July?	Yes	BUY	208	19¢	$40	0x7e6980…
08-03 13:26:30	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x381f8e…
08-03 13:26:18	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x076ac1…
08-03 13:26:17	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x342e44…
08-03 13:08:27	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July?	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0xdf865b…
08-03 11:49:33	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July?	Yes	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0x302b4a…
08-03 10:53:35	Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x41a0e7…
08-03 10:53:09	Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July?	Yes	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0xa87e42…
08-03 10:52:26	Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July?	Yes	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0x1099a5…
07-31 13:55:18	Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4e2a16…
07-31 13:52:42	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in July?	Yes	BUY	154	6¢	$10	0x702c19…
07-29 18:25:35	will warsh say task force 20 times during july press conference 20260720204109030	Yes	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0xd9a134…
07-29 17:02:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	198	25¢	$50	0xa5e987…
07-22 07:46:30	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	138	36¢	$50	0x20aeab…
07-22 06:17:12	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x9efd3c…
07-21 19:43:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xf11af4…
07-21 11:56:49	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xacb6a3…
07-19 18:44:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	120	41¢	$50	0xa80d71…
07-19 16:38:51	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in June?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x380725…
07-19 07:58:49	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	333	7¢	$25	0x973139…
07-18 19:05:55	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	257	90¢	$231	0x871b9e…
07-17 15:01:13	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	90	57¢	$51	0xe0f096…
07-17 13:45:01	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in July?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x18751e…
07-17 13:39:06	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in July?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x4bfadf…
07-17 13:22:51	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in July?	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x61516d…
07-17 13:22:16	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in July?	Yes	BUY	457	11¢	$50	0x62fe65…
07-16 20:15:59	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xdbdf22…
07-15 14:45:43	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	97	47¢	$46	0xc68237…
07-14 13:52:19	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	SELL	76	12¢	$9	0xc42e5c…
07-14 12:02:53	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	70	20¢	$14	0xdd84f4…
07-14 11:59:20	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x81d588…
07-14 10:47:47	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	65	68¢	$44	0xdb3458…
07-14 05:51:49	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	91	47¢	$43	0xc843b2…
07-13 23:43:43	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	195	90¢	$176	0xc618ac…
07-13 23:00:50	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0x3e68b3…
07-13 23:00:37	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x57f20e…
07-13 19:42:20	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	350	30¢	$105	0x2fdb35…
07-12 10:18:40	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	91	23¢	$21	0x2ce27e…
07-12 10:17:20	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	SELL	81	66¢	$53	0x28db73…
07-12 08:00:37	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	87	22¢	$19	0xe66b02…
07-12 05:59:17	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	SELL	113	58¢	$66	0xc0dbd5…
07-08 14:29:23	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	178	28¢	$50	0x8a4e7a…
07-08 13:30:34	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	BUY	113	44¢	$50	0x2ed878…
07-08 12:57:08	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	214	47¢	$100	0x253fdd…
07-08 09:36:02	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	143	53¢	$76	0x28d748…
07-08 08:19:17	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x691b83…
07-07 16:36:31	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	136	13¢	$17	0xa2dda0…
07-06 14:00:04	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x786ddc…
07-06 14:00:04	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in June?	Yes	BUY	95	20¢	$19	0x4b6a70…
07-02 12:39:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	286	14¢	$41	0x9c5ece…
07-01 11:37:31	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x8f4c9b…
07-01 07:03:25	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	136	18¢	$25	0x139bf6…
06-29 12:56:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	286	17¢	$50	0xe2646a…
06-27 22:37:47	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	Yes	BUY	109	9¢	$10	0x3a9df1…
06-26 13:53:54	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x934dde…
06-26 11:16:38	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x045341…
06-26 09:58:53	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	336	85¢	$286	0x5a11c6…
06-26 08:29:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	337	59¢	$200	0x427d67…
06-25 18:14:50	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	308	42¢	$129	0x5f76f1…
06-25 16:28:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	308	41¢	$125	0x966b76…
06-25 15:38:05	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	228	44¢	$100	0x4e4baf…
06-25 12:39:58	Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xaf7a43…
06-25 12:29:14	Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xea867d…
06-23 13:59:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x2f380d…
06-23 10:40:38	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	270	34¢	$93	0x81a25a…