Warlike-Planning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$60

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved

233

Trades

2,276

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 05-27 15:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 77% $-60

Other

2% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 217 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776146100	25	$133	85	79	+6	open	—	04-14 05:59
btc updown 5m 1776145800	28	$129	85	84	+1	open	—	04-14 05:55
btc updown 5m 1776145500	27	$121	103	101	+2	open	—	04-14 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	32	$116	176	136	+39	Up	$-9	05-10 19:29
btc updown 5m 1776634800	17	$111	104	100	+3	open	—	04-19 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	16	$101	72	72	+0	Down	+$4	05-10 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	19	$94	166	94	+71	Up	$-6	05-10 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	15	$91	70	70	+0	open	—	05-17 12:41
btc updown 5m 1776634200	23	$88	76	74	+2	open	—	04-19 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	5	$79	42	42	+0	open	—	05-21 04:57
btc updown 5m 1776642000	20	$76	82	70	+11	open	—	04-19 23:43
btc updown 5m 1776641400	20	$76	70	67	+2	open	—	04-19 23:33
btc updown 5m 1776146400	16	$75	166	157	+9	open	—	04-14 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	12	$74	68	68	+0	Down	+$11	05-10 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	24	$65	100	100	+0	open	—	05-14 17:13
btc updown 5m 1776776100	17	$63	77	74	+3	open	—	04-21 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	15	$61	58	45	+13	Up	$-2	05-10 19:24
btc updown 5m 1776148200	17	$61	148	141	+7	open	—	04-14 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	12	$60	48	48	+0	open	—	05-17 12:55
btc updown 5m 1776754200	12	$60	41	40	+1	open	—	04-21 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	3	$58	42	21	+21	open	—	05-21 05:06
btc updown 5m 1776345300	15	$57	51	50	+2	open	—	04-16 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	5	$57	32	31	+0	open	—	05-21 06:12
btc updown 5m 1776641100	16	$57	60	58	+2	open	—	04-19 23:29
btc updown 5m 1776776400	14	$56	60	58	+2	open	—	04-21 13:02
btc updown 5m 1776635400	8	$55	62	60	+2	open	—	04-19 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	16	$54	110	92	+18	Up	$-4	05-10 19:14
btc updown 5m 1776680700	15	$54	46	44	+1	open	—	04-20 10:29
btc updown 15m 1776105900	39	$50	82	78	+4	open	—	04-13 18:59
btc updown 5m 1776629400	10	$50	42	41	+1	open	—	04-19 20:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 15:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7201e7…
05-27 15:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x40644e…
05-27 15:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xbeb309…
05-27 15:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x3ac9dd…
05-27 15:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xe9ae00…
05-27 15:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x5dd989…
05-26 17:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xcd540a…
05-26 17:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xa0cac8…
05-26 17:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xe8bf42…
05-26 17:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x18c848…
05-24 15:02:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xc8c018…
05-24 15:02:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x6b0e73…
05-24 14:11:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xfd70f6…
05-22 06:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x374917…
05-22 06:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x079c32…
05-21 17:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x4ca637…
05-21 17:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x973d0d…
05-21 17:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6a31eb…
05-21 17:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x8a8578…
05-21 17:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0xa1e1c0…
05-21 17:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xdfc1bc…
05-21 17:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2aa935…
05-21 17:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x1f503a…
05-21 17:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x456df9…
05-21 17:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xc058ea…
05-21 15:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x8cf3e1…
05-21 15:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xcb5749…
05-21 15:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x8212dc…
05-21 15:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x42e608…
05-21 15:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x5c6107…
05-21 15:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5384e1…
05-21 15:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x6b098e…
05-21 15:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4d1e32…
05-21 15:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x9658bf…
05-21 15:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe38d84…
05-21 14:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xf9b4db…
05-21 14:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x86e6e9…
05-21 14:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x10863f…
05-21 14:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x86c147…
05-21 14:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xa718e1…
05-21 14:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9c6d30…
05-21 14:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x6b1c07…
05-21 14:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x73e953…
05-21 14:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x292677…
05-21 14:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xebba60…
05-21 14:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x5b777d…
05-21 14:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1b2d71…
05-21 13:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x404fcd…
05-21 13:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x65590a…
05-21 12:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x4ee6b9…
05-21 12:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xd1c755…
05-21 12:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0x8a906b…
05-21 12:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0xcf286c…
05-21 12:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x95c4ba…
05-21 12:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xeeebea…
05-21 11:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x4705a5…
05-21 11:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x3c99f4…
05-21 11:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x9ab57e…
05-21 11:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x72bf89…
05-21 11:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xf0c4d4…
05-21 11:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x67ba4c…
05-21 11:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x6c26cf…
05-21 11:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xc9bf87…
05-21 10:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0xd7099d…
05-21 10:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0xa7a80a…
05-21 10:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xec6d22…
05-21 10:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xbae9a7…
05-21 09:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x2afe14…
05-21 09:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xd42ced…
05-21 08:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x766a92…
05-21 08:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0x7d70cc…
05-21 08:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xba8fdf…
05-21 08:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0x06bd3c…
05-21 08:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	90¢	$8	0xe0c446…
05-21 08:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x5ff85a…
05-21 08:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x69fa27…
05-21 08:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$4	0xb009a1…
05-21 08:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0x12e718…
05-21 08:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x2357ca…
05-21 08:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xbe3d9a…
05-21 08:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	80¢	$8	0x5a86aa…
05-21 08:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x70fedf…
05-21 08:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0xef7a5b…
05-21 08:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x0c6c6c…
05-21 07:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	80	10¢	$8	0xa80d05…
05-21 07:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	80	10¢	$8	0x748982…
05-21 07:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	87¢	$8	0x48a2c2…
05-21 07:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x905723…
05-21 07:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	12	63¢	$8	0x483591…
05-21 07:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x7b1a47…
05-21 07:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0xa5c307…
05-21 07:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	62¢	$8	0x1e2ec9…
05-21 07:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x136a54…
05-21 07:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xd06786…
05-21 07:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	64¢	$8	0x466987…
05-21 07:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x459966…
05-21 06:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0x59ff82…
05-21 06:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x11be87…
05-21 06:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	16	82¢	$13	0x6b63f0…
05-21 06:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x92faba…