Useful-Softening — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$114

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

Trades

130

lifetime

Volume

$1.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 05-27 23:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

59% 58% -$40

Crypto

30% 50% -$50

Sports

7% 62% -$28

Politics

4% 50% -$1

Tech

1% 100% +$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-27).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	5	$299	157	157	+0	Yes	+$13	02-03 16:55
bitcoin up or down on february 3	2	$51	51	51	+0	Down	+$1	02-02 19:18
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-02 13:00 UTC	3	$41	42	31	+12	Up	+$7	02-02 15:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 00:45 UTC	2	$41	46	45	+1	Up	+$2	02-03 00:55
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$40	22	22	+0	No	+$0	02-07 17:20
trump drops powell investigation by february 28	3	$39	23	23	+0	No	-$1	02-08 10:03
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 180 199	3	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$2	02-08 16:11
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 280 299	2	$37	20	20	+0	No	+$2	02-10 14:52
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	3	$37	20	20	+0	No	+$3	02-10 12:39
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-02 17:00 UTC	2	$32	43	43	+0	Down	-$8	02-02 20:05
bitcoin up or down february 1 4pm et	3	$29	32	32	+0	Down	+$3	02-01 21:35
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 380 399	2	$27	88	0	+88	No	-$27	02-10 15:04
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-02 21:00 UTC	2	$27	51	51	+0	Up	-$13	02-02 22:31
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 260 279	8	$26	166	166	+0	No	-$16	02-09 21:52
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	2	$26	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	02-10 15:03
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	2	$25	15	15	+0	Yes	+$5	02-02 19:18
bitcoin up or down february 2 1pm et	2	$25	48	48	+0	Down	-$15	02-02 18:43
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-01 17:00 UTC	2	$24	125	125	+0	Down	+$14	02-01 20:31
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 65 89	1	$20	37	0	+37	No	-$20	02-03 17:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 22:15 UTC	1	$20	43	0	+43	Down	-$20	02-02 22:12
nhl buf fla 2026 02 02	1	$20	38	0	+38	Sabres	-$20	02-02 23:20
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	1	$20	23	0	+23	No	+$3	02-03 22:10
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 340 359	1	$18	20	0	+20	No	+$2	02-10 13:36
nba chi min 2026 01 22	6	$15	10	10	+0	Bulls	+$1	01-23 03:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 20:00 UTC	1	$13	16	0	+16	Up	-$13	02-01 20:08
bitcoin up or down february 1 3pm et	4	$12	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	02-01 20:26
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-02 13:00 UTC	2	$10	27	27	+0	Up	-$10	02-02 16:14
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 380 399	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	01-22 19:59
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	1	$10	24	0	+24	Hurricanes	-$10	05-27 23:49
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	+$5	05-05 02:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 23:49:06	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x9bcf0d…
05-05 23:45:18	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb2046c…
05-05 02:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 60°F or higher on May 5?	No	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xf66956…
05-05 02:53:02	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xaa6bf0…
04-02 22:25:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x9c2abc…
03-26 20:40:25	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x4a9455…
03-17 00:59:15	nba orl atl 2026 03 16	Magic	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x6ab772…
03-16 20:35:17	nba orl atl 2026 03 16	Magic	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7f629c…
03-12 22:51:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x01c211…
03-06 02:32:15	nba dal orl 2026 03 05	Mavericks	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x08263e…
03-06 01:16:35	nba dal orl 2026 03 05	Mavericks	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xb85fb5…
02-28 02:56:53	nba mem dal 2026 02 27	Grizzlies	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x1e4859…
02-28 02:28:45	nba mem dal 2026 02 27	Grizzlies	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xaae9a5…
02-28 02:25:07	nba cle det 2026 02 27	Cavaliers	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x627760…
02-27 23:04:59	nba cle det 2026 02 27	Cavaliers	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x7d1052…
02-27 22:54:23	will bill clintons remarks not air	No	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xe0f97d…
02-27 22:54:19	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 320 339	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x14d0ed…
02-27 22:51:41	will bill clintons remarks not air	No	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x468bd6…
02-27 22:45:21	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 320 339	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x5dfde7…
02-10 15:04:27	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 380 399	Yes	BUY	68	30¢	$20	0xa1c6b8…
02-10 15:03:37	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x589c47…
02-10 15:00:41	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 380 399	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x23f5fe…
02-10 14:54:23	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x4090a4…
02-10 14:52:27	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 280 299	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x12ef7b…
02-10 13:36:33	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 340 359	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xf58839…
02-10 12:44:21	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 280 299	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xfe5897…
02-10 12:39:41	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa4bd7d…
02-09 21:59:41	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	No	BUY	16	84¢	$14	0xb4a464…
02-09 21:59:05	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xb61dc7…
02-09 21:52:59	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 260 279	Yes	SELL	166	3¢	$5	0x7ef852…
02-08 21:17:45	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 260 279	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xe8045e…
02-08 21:17:27	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 260 279	Yes	BUY	70	13¢	$9	0xe6c482…
02-08 21:17:19	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 260 279	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x076ef0…
02-08 21:17:11	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 260 279	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x67f727…
02-08 21:15:59	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 260 279	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x3d97ee…
02-08 21:06:43	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 260 279	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x27cb59…
02-08 16:30:31	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 260 279	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xf6cea7…
02-08 16:11:27	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 180 199	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xffe3ce…
02-08 10:03:01	trump drops powell investigation by february 28	No	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0xfea5db…
02-07 20:35:05	trump drops powell investigation by february 28	No	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0xea2b05…
02-07 17:20:17	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x737a9f…
02-07 17:18:13	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 180 199	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xc7c81f…
02-07 17:18:05	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 180 199	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x7bcd01…
02-03 22:10:02	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x366800…
02-03 20:24:00	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 40 64	Yes	SELL	252	0¢	$0	0x5a1b7b…
02-03 17:12:00	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 65 89	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xea63b4…
02-03 17:11:52	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 40 64	Yes	BUY	252	2¢	$5	0x60ae81…
02-03 16:55:36	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	Yes	SELL	153	100¢	$153	0x750606…
02-03 16:35:54	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	Yes	BUY	125	96¢	$120	0x9c01f7…
02-03 11:57:26	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xcda961…
02-03 11:50:50	trump drops powell investigation by february 28	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x35c066…
02-03 11:47:32	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x800b12…
02-03 00:55:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 00:45 UTC	Up	SELL	45	46¢	$21	0x69eb99…
02-03 00:54:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0xf99ffc…
02-02 23:20:50	nhl buf fla 2026 02 02	Panthers	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xd50d24…
02-02 22:31:22	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-02 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	51	13¢	$7	0x2b712c…
02-02 22:12:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x3e0d10…
02-02 21:04:36	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-02 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x75f9a8…
02-02 20:08:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xa10245…
02-02 20:08:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x668c42…
02-02 20:05:56	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-02 17:00 UTC	Up	SELL	43	29¢	$12	0x362c30…
02-02 19:19:30	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-02 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xa7779d…
02-02 19:18:14	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xbe3b23…
02-02 19:18:04	bitcoin up or down on february 3	Down	SELL	51	51¢	$26	0x05fa19…
02-02 18:43:04	bitcoin up or down february 2 1pm et	Up	SELL	48	10¢	$5	0x4f1446…
02-02 18:04:08	bitcoin up or down february 2 1pm et	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xacd7f2…
02-02 16:16:40	bitcoin up or down on february 3	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xa93d9f…
02-02 16:14:56	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-02 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0xfd6bf3…
02-02 15:44:48	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-02 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x1bb757…
02-02 15:03:32	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x7a2952…
02-02 15:01:38	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-02 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xc34b44…
02-02 14:59:28	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-02 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	31	60¢	$18	0xfec02d…
02-02 14:33:52	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-02 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	31	42¢	$13	0x044ce0…
02-01 21:35:48	bitcoin up or down february 1 4pm et	Up	SELL	26	50¢	$13	0xa353d4…
02-01 21:35:48	bitcoin up or down february 1 4pm et	Up	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x2c9b41…
02-01 21:29:56	bitcoin up or down february 1 4pm et	Up	BUY	32	41¢	$13	0x680c42…
02-01 20:31:08	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-01 17:00 UTC	Up	SELL	125	15¢	$19	0xfc3af1…
02-01 20:29:48	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-01 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x2aaeb5…
02-01 20:26:14	bitcoin up or down february 1 3pm et	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x7bc178…
02-01 20:26:14	bitcoin up or down february 1 3pm et	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x61d14f…
02-01 20:26:14	bitcoin up or down february 1 3pm et	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x1e716f…
02-01 20:20:04	bitcoin up or down february 1 3pm et	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x6de93a…
02-01 20:15:36	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	No	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x81af17…
02-01 20:08:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	79¢	$13	0x4296cc…
02-01 19:37:20	highest temperature in seattle on february 1 50 51f	No	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x7406c7…
02-01 13:48:54	highest temperature in seattle on february 1 50 51f	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x5d81b8…
02-01 13:47:28	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x270035…
01-30 02:50:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 02:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xc30a2e…
01-30 02:46:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd0a207…
01-30 02:21:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 02:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x9cdab8…
01-30 02:17:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9f88d2…
01-30 02:13:52	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	84	0¢	$0	0x6fe000…
01-30 02:12:58	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	84	1¢	$1	0x55ce77…
01-30 02:07:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x4ad3a1…
01-30 02:07:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x45c33f…
01-29 23:44:32	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-29 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x31d588…
01-28 03:22:53	nba sac nyk 2026 01 27	Knicks	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7f841c…
01-28 03:22:39	nba nop okc 2026 01 27	Thunder	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2f58c4…
01-28 01:28:19	highest temperature in london on january 28 8c	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x3a9445…
01-28 01:04:35	nba sac nyk 2026 01 27	Knicks	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x1622d9…