Linear-Chance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 06-04 01:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 92% +$8

Other

13% 100% +$3

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$222	111	111	+0	No	+$0	01-27 07:03
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$212	213	0	+213	No	+$1	04-05 15:38
will ethereum dip to 800 in february 2026	2	$205	103	103	+0	No	$0	02-14 03:06
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	1	$126	127	0	+127	No	+$1	03-10 01:59
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	1	$111	113	0	+113	No	+$2	01-27 07:04
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	1	$102	103	0	+103	No	+$1	02-14 03:06
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	1	$102	102	0	+102	No	+$0	06-04 01:42
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	1	$102	102	0	+102	No	+$0	05-13 02:48
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$73	38	38	+0	Yes	+$1	04-05 15:38
will ethereum reach 4000 in february 2026	2	$72	36	36	+0	No	+$0	02-21 04:12
will ethereum dip to 1000 in february 2026	1	$68	69	0	+69	No	+$1	02-04 07:19
will solana reach 180 in january 2026	1	$59	59	0	+59	No	+$0	01-25 13:20
afc u23 final china vs japan	1	$57	59	0	+59	Japan	+$2	01-24 15:54
googl above 250 on march 31 2026	1	$48	48	0	+48	Yes	+$0	03-24 02:48
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$47	48	0	+48	Yes	+$1	03-10 01:58
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$36	37	0	+37	Yes	+$0	02-21 04:12
will ethereum dip to 1800 in january 2026 971	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	01-16 03:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 01:42:19	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x5f30cb…
05-13 02:48:07	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x4eef72…
04-05 15:38:59	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	213	100¢	$212	0x2bc17c…
04-05 15:38:19	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	38	96¢	$37	0x3d1fa4…
03-24 02:48:23	googl above 250 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0xe1caf0…
03-10 01:59:17	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	127	99¢	$126	0xf9f96e…
03-10 01:58:27	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0x236373…
03-10 01:58:03	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0xcc6514…
02-21 04:12:12	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	37	99¢	$36	0x86dafe…
02-21 04:12:00	will ethereum reach 4000 in february 2026	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x5bd3af…
02-14 03:06:43	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	No	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0x52c558…
02-14 03:06:29	will ethereum dip to 800 in february 2026	No	SELL	103	100¢	$102	0xe2d99c…
02-04 07:19:18	will ethereum dip to 800 in february 2026	No	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0x350ea6…
02-04 07:19:12	will ethereum dip to 1000 in february 2026	No	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0xe5579b…
02-04 07:18:44	will ethereum reach 4000 in february 2026	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x14b3e7…
01-27 07:04:09	will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	No	BUY	113	98¢	$111	0x8e9227…
01-27 07:03:45	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0xe71fe7…
01-25 13:20:40	will solana reach 180 in january 2026	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x578f6c…
01-24 15:54:36	afc u23 final china vs japan	Japan	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0xfc78ae…
01-16 03:34:38	will ethereum dip to 1800 in january 2026 971	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x374f48…
01-16 03:34:28	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x031671…