Simple-Developmental — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-05 15:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

62% 100% +$1

Crypto

29% 100% +$1

Sports

5% 67% +$0

Politics

4% 50% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$109	109	0	+109	No	+$0	07-03 04:53
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$105	106	0	+106	No	+$0	10-05 15:04
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$105	105	0	+105	No	+$0	09-01 04:57
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$101	101	0	+101	No	+$0	06-07 05:58
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-12 11:31
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$80	55	25	+30	No	+$0	08-29 02:33
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	03-07 01:12
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$66	66	0	+66	No	+$0	04-06 07:43
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$54	54	0	+54	No	+$0	08-03 01:56
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	1	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	02-02 03:06
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$51	51	0	+51	Yes	+$0	02-02 03:04
will bnb reach 1200 in february	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	02-23 14:24
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	1	$34	50	0	+50	Yes	+$16	02-08 02:42
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	04-24 12:23
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	08-30 03:48
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-17 07:27
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	1	$16	50	0	+50	No	-$16	02-08 02:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-24 12:23
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-23 10:24
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	06-17 12:32
will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in january 2026	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	01-14 11:42
will hyperliquid hit 46 in january	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	01-14 11:42
will hyperliquid dip to 8 in january	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	01-14 11:42
will bnb dip to 400 in january	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	01-14 11:42
will ethereum dip to 1200 in january 2026 477	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$0	01-14 11:34
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$0	01-14 11:34
will ethereum dip to 1400 in january 2026 585	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	01-14 11:34
will ethereum dip to 1600 in january 2026 383	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	01-14 11:34
will bitcoin dip to 55k in january 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	01-14 11:34
will xrp dip to 0pt8 in january 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	01-14 11:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 15:04:29	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$105	0x5c31a2…
09-01 04:57:36	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xc931a9…
08-30 03:48:57	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9bce62…
08-29 02:33:21	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xda56e5…
08-03 01:56:03	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x7d52cc…
08-03 01:55:21	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x962231…
07-03 04:53:23	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xac4f06…
06-17 12:32:11	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42f8df…
06-07 05:58:07	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xd21f3f…
05-23 10:24:13	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x2a1c89…
05-12 11:31:49	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8ca3d7…
05-12 11:31:35	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,440	0¢	$3	0xb451fc…
05-12 11:31:19	Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x79a6b8…
04-24 12:23:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8a60c4…
04-24 12:23:14	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x0f35b5…
04-06 07:43:03	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xf87f6d…
03-29 06:21:58	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x036d28…
03-22 15:13:49	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd20149…
03-17 07:27:39	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb71aca…
03-07 01:12:41	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x391c48…
02-23 14:24:56	will bnb reach 1200 in february	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x58d113…
02-08 02:42:39	will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xa7d8a3…
02-08 02:42:33	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x5eafc2…
02-02 03:06:18	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xc0e928…
02-02 03:04:52	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xad4bb8…
01-14 11:43:02	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc468a7…
01-14 11:42:44	will bnb dip to 400 in january	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x298dc0…
01-14 11:42:22	will hyperliquid dip to 8 in january	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x49f250…
01-14 11:42:16	will hyperliquid hit 46 in january	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe3defd…
01-14 11:42:02	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in january 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x495951…
01-14 11:35:36	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in january 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xae3220…
01-14 11:35:28	will xrp dip to 0pt6 in january 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbe286c…
01-14 11:35:22	will xrp dip to 0pt4 in january 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe24706…
01-14 11:35:12	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in january 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x05a10d…
01-14 11:34:58	will ethereum dip to 1600 in january 2026 383	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf50737…
01-14 11:34:50	will ethereum dip to 1400 in january 2026 585	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x50c2c1…
01-14 11:34:42	will ethereum dip to 1200 in january 2026 477	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x8643d6…
01-14 11:34:36	will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbad07a…
01-14 11:34:08	will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xb32eca…
01-14 11:34:00	will bitcoin dip to 55k in january 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x289d5a…
01-14 11:33:50	will bitcoin dip to 50k in january 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe047b2…
01-14 11:33:40	will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xff0225…
01-14 11:33:32	will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9de273…
01-14 11:33:22	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1ac6c9…
01-09 08:40:16	bitcoin above 80k on january 10	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe71830…