Realized P&L
+$63
Unrealized P&L
-$55
Hit rate
74.2%
Resolved
318
Trades
5,283
lifetime
Volume
$203.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$1
3 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 06-12 07:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 84 days
Categories
Other
94%
70%
+$185
Politics
4%
62%
+$68
Sports
2%
28%
-$138
Crypto
1%
71%
-$51
Tech
0%
100%
+$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-12).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | +100 | $30 | 1¢ | $1 | -$29 | 06-04 05:46 | |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | +100 | $13 | 0¢ | $0 | -$12 | 06-03 15:35 | |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | +100 | $14 | 0¢ | $0 | -$14 | 06-04 05:46 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139 | 79 | $14.0K | 6,950 | 7,050 | -100 | No | +$2 | 04-01 15:53 |
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 497 | $13.7K | 25,311 | 25,827 | -516 | Yes | +$69 | 01-23 06:36 |
| elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 360 379 | 190 | $13.4K | 6,997 | 6,519 | +478 | No | +$34 | 03-20 15:37 |
| fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting | 127 | $7.0K | 4,796 | 4,713 | +83 | No | +$8 | 01-21 03:59 |
| elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64 | 82 | $6.9K | 3,767 | 3,129 | +638 | Yes | +$5 | 03-25 15:46 |
| elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 300 319 | 85 | $6.8K | 3,269 | 3,575 | -306 | No | +$2 | 03-27 14:59 |
| fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting | 78 | $6.8K | 3,422 | 3,422 | +0 | No | -$3 | 01-19 08:05 |
| elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 115 139 | 84 | $5.6K | 2,483 | 3,173 | -689 | No | +$2 | 03-28 13:15 |
| elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399 | 69 | $5.6K | 3,070 | 2,675 | +395 | No | +$5 | 03-24 15:42 |
| elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279 | 141 | $5.2K | 2,065 | 3,217 | -1,152 | Yes | -$5 | 03-27 16:35 |
| elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 65 89 | 86 | $4.5K | 2,221 | 2,491 | -270 | No | +$25 | 03-25 15:45 |
| elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 90 114 | 51 | $4.3K | 2,115 | 2,150 | -35 | Yes | +$2 | 03-18 15:16 |
| elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 400 419 | 32 | $3.8K | 1,920 | 1,920 | +0 | No | +$1 | 03-24 14:43 |
| elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379 | 62 | $3.8K | 1,770 | 2,003 | -232 | Yes | +$9 | 03-24 15:42 |
| elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 40 64 | 117 | $3.6K | 1,772 | 1,912 | -140 | Yes | -$55 | 03-30 15:44 |
| elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 90 114 | 21 | $2.6K | 1,400 | 1,200 | +200 | No | +$1 | 03-28 15:37 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 32 | $2.5K | 1,280 | 1,280 | +0 | Yes | $0 | 02-11 11:47 |
| elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 165 189 | 15 | $2.4K | 1,200 | 1,200 | +0 | No | +$0 | 03-11 15:02 |
| elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299 | 53 | $2.4K | 1,108 | 1,358 | -250 | No | +$3 | 03-27 15:43 |
| elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 65 89 | 66 | $2.3K | 974 | 1,325 | -351 | No | -$17 | 03-30 15:22 |
| elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359 | 139 | $2.1K | 1,113 | 1,047 | +65 | Yes | -$93 | 03-10 17:04 |
| cbb howrd mich 2026 03 19 | 3 | $2.0K | 1,000 | 1,000 | +0 | Michigan Wolverines | -$1 | 03-19 07:40 |
| elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 340 359 | 14 | $1.8K | 900 | 900 | +0 | No | +$0 | 03-17 13:19 |
| elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 65 89 | 63 | $1.8K | 1,024 | 780 | +244 | Yes | +$15 | 03-28 15:42 |
| elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 115 139 | 14 | $1.7K | 1,045 | 700 | +345 | Yes | +$0 | 03-21 14:59 |
| elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 190 214 | 16 | $1.7K | 861 | 861 | +0 | No | $0 | 03-21 12:52 |
| will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666 | 14 | $1.7K | 820 | 970 | -150 | No | -$5 | 01-28 08:37 |
| elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 165 189 | 21 | $1.7K | 831 | 831 | +0 | No | +$0 | 03-21 13:05 |
| elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 40 64 | 71 | $1.6K | 822 | 842 | -20 | No | -$7 | 02-25 14:16 |
| elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 440 459 | 16 | $1.6K | 820 | 820 | +0 | No | +$1 | 03-13 12:08 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||