Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$329

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

416

Trades

700

lifetime

Volume

$3.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 10-13 10:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 60% -$177

Tech

24% 50% -$175

Other

14% 42% +$24

Politics

2% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will claude by anthropic be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 6	2	$398	252	252	+0	Yes	+$43	03-05 16:49
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	7	$166	1,823	0	+1,823	No	-$166	04-25 11:46
will claude 5 not be released by february 28 2026	2	$159	86	86	+0	Yes	+$3	02-17 13:41
highest temperature in nyc on february 15 2026 36 37f	4	$110	47	77	-30	No	+$41	02-15 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 14:00 UTC	1	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	02-18 14:04
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 600k 366	2	$91	92	0	+92	Yes	+$1	02-15 22:21
will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 6	3	$74	162	162	+0	No	-$54	03-05 22:30
highest temperature in miami on february 16 2026 84 85f	2	$62	34	34	+0	Yes	+$2	02-16 20:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 23:00 UTC	7	$57	121	41	+80	Up	+$7	02-12 23:04
highest temperature in toronto on february 15 2026 1c	2	$51	23	33	-11	Yes	$0	02-15 21:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 22:10 UTC	5	$46	44	44	+0	Up	+$24	02-12 22:14
highest temperature in toronto on february 12 2026 neg 3c	6	$44	23	23	+0	Yes	+$0	02-12 22:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 22:55 UTC	6	$41	118	32	+86	Up	-$2	02-12 22:59
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$39	49	49	+0	Yes	-$1	02-18 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:05 UTC	14	$33	192	26	+166	Down	+$9	10-13 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 22:40 UTC	3	$33	29	29	+0	Up	+$13	02-12 22:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 22:35 UTC	4	$29	55	54	+1	Up	-$1	02-12 22:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 22:20 UTC	4	$28	27	27	+0	Up	+$12	02-12 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 22:15 UTC	7	$24	200	0	+200	Down	-$24	02-12 22:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 23:10 UTC	3	$23	118	0	+118	Down	-$23	02-12 23:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:10 UTC	11	$22	1,116	16	+1,100	Down	+$2	10-13 10:14
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$21	76	73	+3	No	+$1	04-24 11:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 23:05 UTC	4	$21	27	27	+0	Up	+$1	02-12 23:08
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	2	$20	43	43	+0	No	$0	02-18 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 13:55 UTC	2	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	02-18 13:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC	3	$19	17	17	+0	Down	+$15	10-13 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	4	$19	220	0	+220	Up	-$19	10-12 21:24
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$19	1,233	1,233	+0	No	-$1	04-24 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 20:55 UTC	8	$18	20	17	+2	Down	+$6	02-12 20:59
highest temperature in seattle on february 15 2026 48forhigher	4	$18	33	33	+0	No	-$6	02-15 23:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 10:27:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x457629…
10-13 10:27:11	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	2¢	$1	0x95c5aa…
10-13 10:25:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x74bdf4…
10-13 10:25:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb9233f…
10-13 10:25:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x04352a…
10-13 10:24:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1d9d52…
10-13 10:23:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xee0c43…
10-13 10:23:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa999cf…
10-13 10:23:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xeb3d00…
10-13 10:22:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x920a31…
10-13 10:21:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xee6846…
10-13 10:20:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb7ff54…
10-13 10:20:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9d1dc1…
10-13 10:20:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc77adf…
10-13 10:18:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	131	1¢	$1	0x741cd3…
10-13 10:18:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0xd485e5…
10-13 10:17:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x15b054…
10-13 10:16:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xedb3eb…
10-13 10:16:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x33678c…
10-13 10:16:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xfffd23…
10-13 10:16:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x350d37…
10-13 10:15:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe6d605…
10-13 10:15:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd5a691…
10-13 10:15:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x17c123…
10-13 10:15:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf557ae…
10-13 10:15:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x67a4e0…
10-13 10:15:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xdf747f…
10-13 10:14:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9e4aa7…
10-13 10:13:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3da931…
10-13 10:13:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb2390a…
10-13 10:13:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9a4a41…
10-13 10:12:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:10 UTC	Down	SELL	16	73¢	$12	0x898af7…
10-13 10:12:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2bdf65…
10-13 10:11:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd33ba5…
10-13 10:11:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe66971…
10-13 10:10:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe7e44a…
10-13 10:10:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xfa7dc8…
10-13 10:10:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x310ef9…
10-13 10:09:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x15abab…
10-13 10:09:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x445506…
10-13 10:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0b8842…
10-13 10:09:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9865ed…
10-13 10:09:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe3de47…
10-13 10:08:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:05 UTC	Up	SELL	23	81¢	$19	0x92de18…
10-13 10:08:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4dcc86…
10-13 10:07:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe360ca…
10-13 10:07:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x73c11f…
10-13 10:07:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9c30bb…
10-13 10:07:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2472f5…
10-13 10:07:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x380e95…
10-13 10:06:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0x6e7755…
10-13 10:05:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7872df…
10-13 10:04:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x83e5ad…
10-13 10:04:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x187013…
10-13 10:03:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x23fd71…
10-13 09:58:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:55 UTC	Down	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0xcc9426…
10-13 09:57:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf60a1d…
10-13 09:57:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa31e24…
10-12 21:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x4c0bb1…
10-12 21:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xad662f…
10-12 21:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xe6b680…
10-12 21:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	109	11¢	$12	0x87d4f8…
10-12 21:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3adfe3…
10-12 21:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x14729c…
10-12 20:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x24e9e4…
10-12 20:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9868bc…
10-12 20:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x81ccb3…
10-12 20:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x453414…
10-12 20:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x12ad30…
10-12 20:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x838270…
10-12 20:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd9f2d1…
10-12 19:52:39	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	4¢	$3	0xd439ef…
04-25 11:46:08	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	781	10¢	$80	0xb74484…
04-24 12:40:20	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	12¢	$26	0x2f0b41…
04-24 11:24:04	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	9¢	$10	0xc40b8f…
04-24 11:23:48	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	15¢	$11	0x0aaa3d…
04-24 11:18:06	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	228	9¢	$20	0xf1e20e…
04-24 08:23:40	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	302	7¢	$20	0x438eb9…
04-24 07:35:12	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x6055bc…
04-24 07:34:52	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,233	1¢	$9	0x5620e0…
04-24 07:33:10	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0x97fbd9…
04-17 06:25:36	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	4¢	$5	0x4d9ded…
04-17 06:25:30	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,233	1¢	$10	0xbb2ff6…
03-05 22:30:57	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 6	Yes	SELL	157	6¢	$9	0x00e78f…
03-05 20:36:37	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 6	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x5b7cda…
03-05 20:34:01	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 6	Yes	BUY	162	40¢	$64	0x05d864…
03-05 16:49:33	will claude by anthropic be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 6	Yes	SELL	252	88¢	$221	0xb1236a…
03-03 21:58:33	will claude by anthropic be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 6	Yes	BUY	252	70¢	$177	0xf67a4d…
02-20 17:49:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$6	0xbd169f…
02-20 17:49:40	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0x29c558…
02-20 17:24:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$6	0x40d786…
02-20 16:09:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x12f25d…
02-20 16:09:56	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x08fe41…
02-20 15:49:44	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6e5e0f…
02-20 15:44:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbd97cf…
02-20 15:44:38	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5d77c1…
02-20 15:39:48	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x15fdda…
02-20 15:39:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf5ef5b…
02-20 15:39:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x941b5b…
02-20 15:29:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3b9367…