Dense-Sideburns — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$35.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.5%

Resolved

Trades

122

lifetime

Volume

$20.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$168

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-05 17:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Tech

100% 71% +$35,571

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	65	$11.8K	50,299	679	+49,620	Yes	+$38,089	06-05 06:22
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	23	$3.5K	20,452	20,280	+172	No	-$933	05-28 18:37
claude 4pt7 released by april 17 411	17	$3.3K	4,026	0	+4,026	Yes	+$711	04-16 01:45
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	7	$880	0	4,878	-4,878	Yes	-$3,998	06-05 17:10
claude 4pt7 released by april 24 251	4	$671	784	0	+784	Yes	+$113	04-15 05:57
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	5	$261	1,799	0	+1,799	Yes	+$1,538	06-05 17:33
Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by June 30, 2026?	1	$13	64	0	+64	Yes	+$51	04-20 08:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 17:33:33	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	500	18¢	$92	0x2fa8d5…
06-05 17:32:21	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xd0675f…
06-05 17:32:10	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	544	18¢	$99	0x88ed43…
06-05 17:10:09	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	456	39¢	$178	0x39ef26…
06-05 06:22:37	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	28¢	$140	0x8920fc…
06-05 06:22:18	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	28¢	$1,120	0xc53040…
06-05 06:22:03	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x1dc123…
06-05 06:21:57	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x34878f…
06-05 06:21:54	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	159	27¢	$43	0x6ddd34…
06-05 06:21:48	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	407	27¢	$109	0xca7f1c…
06-04 23:41:15	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,960	25¢	$490	0x9386f8…
06-04 23:30:19	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	240	27¢	$66	0x083ef4…
06-04 05:19:21	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	17¢	$68	0x6fe82d…
06-03 16:08:24	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	18¢	$1,800	0x18dddf…
05-30 08:40:29	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	11¢	$3	0x0a4089…
05-29 05:45:28	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	682	9¢	$59	0xbd2f8a…
05-28 18:37:24	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0x099407…
05-28 18:37:03	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,873	1¢	$22	0x14d504…
05-28 18:35:45	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	942	23¢	$218	0x55648e…
05-28 18:35:45	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	299	24¢	$72	0x080974…
05-25 03:47:46	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,602	1¢	$47	0x3524d1…
05-25 03:47:05	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13,852	2¢	$257	0xa15647…
05-22 07:44:29	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	6¢	$3	0xe74ead…
05-22 07:44:19	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	579	7¢	$40	0xeb87c7…
05-22 06:36:28	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$73	0x199673…
05-20 07:53:10	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	513	21¢	$108	0x54f5c5…
05-20 07:53:07	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	22¢	$22	0x235a37…
05-17 05:24:07	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,693	3¢	$103	0x5dc4ca…
05-16 00:54:01	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	22¢	$220	0xdb205e…
05-14 17:53:54	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	20¢	$200	0x376a7c…
05-14 02:34:22	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	188	19¢	$36	0xd6e995…
05-13 16:52:09	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	19¢	$13	0x297e28…
05-13 16:40:39	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,633	19¢	$310	0x390e0f…
05-13 16:40:29	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	451	18¢	$80	0x30b0d7…
05-13 00:40:40	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	19¢	$950	0x58d000…
05-12 00:14:36	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	20¢	$6	0xfd8499…
05-11 22:04:54	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	20¢	$9	0x5ee6d8…
05-08 21:05:17	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	603	12¢	$72	0x85ca33…
05-08 21:04:54	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,999	14¢	$286	0xe64a38…
05-06 15:54:23	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	610	25¢	$152	0x3c52da…
05-05 01:22:58	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	310	15¢	$46	0x70c412…
05-05 01:22:52	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x0e37af…
05-05 01:22:16	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	410	17¢	$70	0x931788…
05-04 17:44:10	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xb1d24b…
05-04 17:43:50	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x5652a2…
05-04 17:43:36	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x36d690…
05-04 08:49:04	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	490	34¢	$167	0x3a6d52…
05-04 02:40:34	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,800	37¢	$1,036	0xec751b…
05-03 22:29:02	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,064	7¢	$76	0xb9a304…
05-03 21:09:16	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	773	30¢	$230	0x52f1b3…
05-03 00:19:42	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	29¢	$87	0x548198…
05-03 00:19:24	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0xfd4fc4…
05-01 16:09:58	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	28¢	$84	0x31c311…
05-01 05:25:30	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	28¢	$98	0x1a4353…
05-01 05:25:24	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	28¢	$98	0x9b8d2a…
05-01 05:25:22	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	28¢	$98	0x06f7a0…
05-01 05:25:20	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	28¢	$98	0x58e865…
05-01 05:25:18	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	28¢	$98	0x8bf499…
05-01 05:25:16	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	28¢	$98	0x41e242…
05-01 05:25:14	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	28¢	$98	0x7837d3…
05-01 05:25:10	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	28¢	$98	0xb1fa65…
05-01 05:25:10	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	28¢	$98	0x590c2e…
05-01 05:25:08	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	28¢	$98	0x86802e…
05-01 05:25:06	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	28¢	$98	0x8c4e72…
05-01 05:25:06	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	28¢	$98	0x29d8f5…
05-01 05:25:04	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	28¢	$98	0x140d15…
05-01 05:25:02	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	28¢	$98	0x100d19…
05-01 05:24:58	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	28¢	$98	0xd06072…
05-01 05:24:52	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	28¢	$98	0x34fec1…
04-30 20:24:12	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,400	29¢	$1,271	0x1cc80b…
04-30 19:46:06	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	750	11¢	$82	0x133a9d…
04-30 18:22:40	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,600	9¢	$498	0x06f43d…
04-30 15:53:26	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	351	26¢	$91	0xc34b8e…
04-30 05:51:20	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xadf0db…
04-30 05:46:48	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xb40c86…
04-29 19:11:00	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,000	6¢	$377	0xf5a007…
04-28 19:03:44	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,676	17¢	$454	0x967357…
04-28 19:03:44	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x10e0d8…
04-28 19:03:44	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x016d19…
04-28 19:03:18	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	16¢	$160	0x4abc9b…
04-28 15:45:24	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	4¢	$26	0x33c3cd…
04-28 15:40:50	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,286	15¢	$343	0xc83fce…
04-28 15:40:50	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x847c1a…
04-28 15:40:50	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x5a1c31…
04-28 15:40:50	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x464c9e…
04-28 15:39:50	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x1ace41…
04-28 15:39:46	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xb00ed3…
04-28 15:39:44	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x5e8c09…
04-28 15:39:08	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	21¢	$212	0x36cb85…
04-21 22:40:04	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	525	93¢	$488	0x91d29f…
04-21 15:08:30	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0xb66451…
04-21 12:13:48	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x7e926f…
04-21 05:25:14	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0xa2df75…
04-20 22:53:40	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	93¢	$17	0x27d3c2…
04-20 22:53:28	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	81	93¢	$75	0x4699d6…
04-20 22:53:14	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	81	93¢	$75	0x7f167d…
04-20 22:52:58	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	81	93¢	$75	0xceaf2d…
04-20 22:52:50	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	141	93¢	$131	0xf680be…
04-20 18:53:20	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x19b91e…
04-20 08:50:32	Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	21¢	$13	0x0a28e7…