Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

56.6%

Resolved

Trades

181

lifetime

Volume

$4.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$171

3 positions

First seen

2026-09-07

last 09-15 02:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

74% 50% +$521

Politics

13% 0% -$260

Sports

12% 50% -$241

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+666	$147	23¢	$150	+$4	09-14 23:36
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	+17	$10	64¢	$11	+$1	09-14 20:41
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	+157	$29	6¢	$10	-$19	09-15 01:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A	14	$700	1,312	0	+1,312	MIBR	+$612	09-08 05:48
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics	7	$350	846	0	+846	Athletics	-$350	09-08 04:47
Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	15	$314	184	168	+16	open	—	09-15 01:59
deepseek matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	6	$213	221	0	+221	open	—	09-15 00:31
moonshot matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	4	$200	207	0	+207	open	—	09-15 00:19
Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	4	$166	110	73	+37	open	—	09-15 02:03
mlb chc mil 2026 09 07 total 4pt5	3	$150	259	0	+259	Over	+$109	09-07 19:48
alibaba matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	3	$150	161	0	+161	open	—	09-15 00:32
No one announced as next James Bond?	4	$147	666	0	+666	open	—	09-14 23:36
zai matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	8	$134	196	0	+196	open	—	09-14 23:52
US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx	3	$128	159	82	+77	Alexander Blockx	-$72	09-07 19:41
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	4	$111	120	0	+120	No	+$9	09-15 01:38
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	24	$106	3,253	0	+3,253	No	-$106	09-14 21:56
Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 2-5%?	2	$100	140	0	+140	Yes	-$100	09-14 23:25
google matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	8	$79	176	0	+176	open	—	09-15 02:07
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State election?	2	$71	110	0	+110	open	—	09-08 04:27
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Attorney General election?	3	$67	115	0	+115	open	—	09-08 04:28
spacexai matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	2	$56	90	0	+90	open	—	09-15 02:11
microsoft matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	3	$54	98	0	+98	open	—	09-15 02:09
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election?	1	$50	60	0	+60	open	—	09-08 04:25
Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	1	$50	55	0	+55	Yes	-$50	09-07 18:06
Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?	1	$50	62	0	+62	open	—	09-08 04:26
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs magic - Map 2 Winner	1	$50	65	0	+65	magic	-$50	09-08 04:34
SMU vs. Florida State	1	$50	54	0	+54	SMU	+$4	09-08 04:28
wta osaka rybakin 2026 09 07	1	$50	88	0	+88	Elena Rybakina	+$38	09-07 19:45
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election?	1	$50	64	0	+64	open	—	09-08 04:25
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B	1	$50	67	0	+67	Alliance	-$50	09-08 05:02
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	09-15 01:40
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	2	$44	88	0	+88	Yes	+$44	09-14 23:58
amazon matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	4	$37	41	0	+41	open	—	09-14 23:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 02:19:46	Will Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x1c03f1…
09-15 02:19:45	Will Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc419b2…
09-15 02:19:39	Will Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xdf6a5c…
09-15 02:19:37	Will Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xc59da4…
09-15 02:11:12	spacexai matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	60	63¢	$38	0x686ee1…
09-15 02:11:10	spacexai matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x3a0b13…
09-15 02:09:22	microsoft matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	86	53¢	$45	0x58c1f5…
09-15 02:07:31	google matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	84	44¢	$37	0xe2ca40…
09-15 02:07:31	google matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	42	44¢	$18	0xbf6943…
09-15 02:03:18	Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	27	90¢	$24	0xf4f6db…
09-15 02:03:09	Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	46	90¢	$42	0xbac662…
09-15 01:59:12	Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	125	90¢	$112	0x68cf10…
09-15 01:46:12	Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7c175d…
09-15 01:46:12	Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x0a557a…
09-15 01:46:03	Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	No	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0xfc917b…
09-15 01:46:01	Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	No	BUY	26	44¢	$12	0x63605f…
09-15 01:45:21	Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xf6b8ae…
09-15 01:45:21	Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$6	0x112fd0…
09-15 01:45:16	Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$6	0xdfcd03…
09-15 01:45:16	Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xa214c9…
09-15 01:44:52	Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0xd0dfd7…
09-15 01:44:52	Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0xa602e8…
09-15 01:40:10	Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x29f4d0…
09-15 01:38:33	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x5e8bd4…
09-15 01:38:31	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb90e94…
09-15 01:38:25	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xef68fb…
09-15 01:38:25	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xb8afc1…
09-15 01:37:31	Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$10	0xa7c235…
09-15 01:37:25	Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	23	89¢	$21	0xc4b2a8…
09-15 01:29:25	Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x133d0b…
09-15 01:29:25	Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x10020e…
09-15 01:28:54	Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xa4bdd5…
09-15 01:28:54	Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x7f5de8…
09-15 01:28:40	Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xaaf390…
09-15 01:28:40	Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x6ac5ea…
09-15 01:27:52	Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x7df5d6…
09-15 01:27:51	Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x4d5aed…
09-15 01:25:42	Will Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xb11c70…
09-15 01:25:40	Will Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x9ee764…
09-15 01:24:16	Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xa6e49e…
09-15 01:24:16	Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5a9f46…
09-15 01:22:58	Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	102	19¢	$19	0xabaa8b…
09-15 01:22:57	Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0x76e965…
09-15 00:36:01	Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x37f81d…
09-15 00:35:58	Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	14	61¢	$9	0x871317…
09-15 00:35:57	Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x64d598…
09-15 00:35:52	Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xd4858c…
09-15 00:35:48	Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd8d7a7…
09-15 00:35:42	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x04d561…
09-15 00:35:33	Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xd88b00…
09-15 00:35:33	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0x72e50b…
09-15 00:35:24	Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xf3cae5…
09-15 00:35:24	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x075070…
09-15 00:35:07	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0xd7c398…
09-15 00:35:07	Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5b6b68…
09-15 00:35:00	Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x798f6d…
09-15 00:34:58	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x305e38…
09-15 00:32:19	alibaba matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xe59195…
09-15 00:31:30	deepseek matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x68e31f…
09-15 00:31:30	deepseek matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x54e470…
09-15 00:28:21	deepseek matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xe5223e…
09-15 00:28:21	deepseek matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe2eee1…
09-15 00:19:12	moonshot matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x662f54…
09-15 00:19:12	moonshot matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x53bc36…
09-15 00:12:18	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x4933fd…
09-15 00:12:10	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xb1704d…
09-15 00:09:25	google matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xce7460…
09-15 00:09:25	google matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x48e205…
09-15 00:09:16	google matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	Yes	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0xa65fd5…
09-15 00:09:16	google matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$4	0x8aa92c…
09-14 23:58:19	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xa48b1d…
09-14 23:58:19	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	58	50¢	$29	0x4fc804…
09-14 23:52:30	zai matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x964277…
09-14 23:52:30	zai matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x21042f…
09-14 23:52:19	zai matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x8b4095…
09-14 23:52:19	zai matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x21b39f…
09-14 23:52:12	zai matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	Yes	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0xd771a1…
09-14 23:52:12	zai matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xcb9901…
09-14 23:50:31	deepseek matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xfc3098…
09-14 23:50:30	deepseek matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xd5c7a8…
09-14 23:49:10	zai matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x837716…
09-14 23:49:10	zai matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	48	94¢	$46	0x78b088…
09-14 23:47:42	moonshot matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x7514f1…
09-14 23:47:42	moonshot matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x4097c0…
09-14 23:46:19	alibaba matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x6dd388…
09-14 23:46:18	alibaba matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xb91d63…
09-14 23:45:25	amazon matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x3f62a7…
09-14 23:45:21	amazon matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x370208…
09-14 23:45:15	amazon matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	20	89¢	$17	0xb29491…
09-14 23:45:15	amazon matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x5738c4…
09-14 23:43:18	google matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0xe3d7a8…
09-14 23:43:10	google matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1574ec…
09-14 23:42:33	microsoft matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x8f6652…
09-14 23:42:31	microsoft matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x034184…
09-14 23:36:10	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	141	22¢	$31	0x2162db…
09-14 23:36:09	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x476c75…
09-14 23:36:07	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x75e54c…
09-14 23:34:51	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	70	22¢	$16	0xc78d42…
09-14 23:25:24	Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 2-5%?	No	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x4d3abd…
09-14 23:25:22	Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 2-5%?	No	BUY	71	71¢	$50	0x21c2ad…